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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23461

    I’ve easily got over 20 games for each of the leagues in question but my concern is 20 feels too low. The uncertainty I’ve got is whether the data for the league is running below average now or whether it was above average before, so whether it’s going to go back up or whether this is the normal level!

    I guess I need to do more delving to see if there’s another reason. I wouldn’t stop collecting the data, just stop trading those particular games, but like Stuart said I could be throwing the baby out with the bath water and it may be another reason those games performed badly

    ? S ? 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23462

    @lee-woodman
    As others have said its a tough choice. I would say the same as Chris, at least 20 for me.

    I have set my SHG spreadsheet in such a way that I can easily switch a league from 'A' status to 'B' status. I very rarely trade my Bs but keep them there in case the leagues improve and might switch them to A.

    Personally I am loathe to exclude things as I like as complete a set of data as possible. Means more work I guess but I still fairly new so I might see a better way in the future.

    Catch that Green!

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23463

    @lee-woodman I've done it on a couple I'm testing, ideally as many as possible but probably at least 20 or so

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23464

    @lee-woodman

    Really hard to say. I want to say a season, but I guess that would annoy you (it would and does annoy me as well). I find "bad" results come in clusters.
    My FHG filter has thrown up 5 games with no FHG out of 9 since Thursday. It's never done that before, but looking back, there are clusters of no FHG with series of FHGs.
    The danger is throwing out the baby with the bath water.
    I suppose you could look at thestatsdontlie and see what the means are for late goals in the leagues in question, compare it to your results and see if recently there has been a "correction". With any luck, those same leagues will revert back to the mean, giving you a nice run of late goals in the leagues in question.
    That said, and I'm sure you mentioned this, getting rid of the second tier of most countries is invaluable.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23465

    What’s peoples opinions on cutting out certain leagues if they don’t perform well for a certain filter? I’ve got a couple which have gone really poor for late goals on one particular filter. How many games from that league do you consider enough data to remove it altogether?

    S ? Matt WoodM Richard LatimerR 4 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23466

    @daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Laid Mjondalen who are 1-0 up over Molde

    1-1

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  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #23467

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    LTD / LCS in the Newcastle v Everton match. Curently 0-0 at HT. Not a great game if truth be told, but I'm still expecting a goal

    Goal! 1-0

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23468

    Laid Mjondalen who are 1-0 up over Molde

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23469

    @gordon-mitchell yes unfortunately 😞 same here.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #23470

    LTD / LCS in the Newcastle v Everton match. Curently 0-0 at HT. Not a great game if truth be told, but I'm still expecting a goal

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23471

    @john-hurst Was that the elfsborg game. I missed it by about 3 secs

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23472

    nothing worse than being one tick away from being matched and then you see the suspended........brutal

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23473

    If anyone has PSV on a Trading Plan later, they have had 9 players who are Covid positive including Cody Gakpo and are down to the bare minimum of players

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23474

    Will be ltd/lcs in elfs vs norrkoping currently 1-1 at HT.

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23475

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lcs anderlecht vs antwerp 73 mins, same as a few i see 🤞

    GOAL! 1-0 76 mins, good start to nov! The way the game was going, pre match stats and price is a traders dream game

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23476

    Goal anderlecht.....a goal was coming, could have gone either way

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23477

    Lcs anderlecht vs antwerp 73 mins, same as a few i see 🤞

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    wrote on last edited by
    #23478

    Lcs Anderlecht vs Antwerp

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #23479

    Am LTD in anderlecht vs antwerp currently 0-0 60 mins

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #23480

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    James Warde Prowse has to be the best direct fk taker in the premier league. He is awesome

    This is no good for my fantasy team at all!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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