The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@keith-anderson Annoying, as it neatly wiped out the weekend's profit.
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD / LCS in the Hertha Berlin v Wolfsburg match. Currently 1-1 at HT
Finished 1-1. Plenty of chances too
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
What’s peoples opinions on cutting out certain leagues if they don’t perform well for a certain filter? I’ve got a couple which have gone really poor for late goals on one particular filter. How many games from that league do you consider enough data to remove it altogether?
I removed Belgium from ELO's after over 20 matches buy still track them. Despite a recent purple patch it was still the right thing to do.
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frustrating day today missing out on 2 winners by seconds. Havent made much this weekend.
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
lcs hammarby vs hacken 0-1 72 mins
GOAL! 90 min winner, thats 8 in a row for late goals posted, all with min odds to back at 1.61
(united game was a winner but pen happened as i typed) and average above 1.7 -
lcs hammarby vs hacken 0-1 72 mins
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LTD / LCS in the Hertha Berlin v Wolfsburg match. Currently 1-1 at HT
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
lcs/ltd man utd vs arsenal 0-0, goal gone in as i type, sorry guys
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD / LCS in the Man United v Arsenal match. Currently 0-0 at HT
Goal! 0-1
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@matt-wood Sweden, Norway and Japan (top 2 tiers) and MLS. No real difference between tier 1 and 2 in the first 3 countries
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@darri Yeah its very much systematic
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@frode-lia said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Backing Besiktas @ 1.74
Besiktas goal, 0.447 pts green.
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LTD / LCS in the Man United v Arsenal match. Currently 0-0 at HT
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@lee-woodman just read through your thread, are these all systematically traded. So regardless of inplay action/stats and lineups?
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@lee-woodman What are the countries?
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@darri Yes, current season, minimum 10 games played overall and scope of 5 games. The leagues are well into their season now. The big problem is that the 4 countries made up 90% of my selections from this filter, so there wasn’t even decent results elsewhere to dilute the poor statistics
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Backing Besiktas @ 1.74
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@lee-woodman are your selections based off current season?
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@lee-woodman
Have a look here: https://www.thestatsdontlie.com/football/stat-leaders/early-late-goals/
This gives you an idea of the average for the league in question, after 75 mins.
If yours are well down on the percentage there, then it may be the teams in question.
You can look at each league and see how each team is performing as well. It may be a team effect, rather than a league effect. -
@lee-woodman The problem with discounting anything at the moment is because this is far from a normal time for obvious reasons and we can get some abnormal results.
For example the CSL which is normally pretty good for me has been awful this year and I've stopped trading but still collecting data. Ryan and Keith also mentioned a couple of days ago that the MLS has been horrendous for trading this year.
