The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@matt-wood theres nothing wrong with your sheet mate, i track very basic stuff and it works for me. Dont over complicate trading, keep it simple. I dont rule out leagues based on this data style, i only remove them based on liquidity. Each league will have hidden gems of games and its not about what they did before but how easy they are to trade. Its just your job as a trader to hunt out those high value trades. This is when you gain edges. Most traders are using this data led approach and over relying on historic data/performance, well so does the markets. This should only guide you to the right games to monitor/further research not to just trade regardless. Keep it simple and repeatable.
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@matt-wood Lol... Probably a wise decision
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood Tell her it only broke because she didn't build it right in the first place... You'll be absolutely fine
Hahaha not sure I'm taking your advice on that one
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@matt-wood Tell her it only broke because she didn't build it right in the first place... You'll be absolutely fine
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@alan-steward Excellent
appreciate you taking the time Alan, thank you. Will have a play around as you suggested and see what happens 
Hopefully I wont break the complex formulae the mrs put in for me -
My goals trading shortlist for tonight. Whether I can get into any will depend on goal times and IP stats.
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@matt-wood Excellent work Matt that's really good and the information looks fine... Doesn't look like you need to re jig it at all... Now let me help you with that data, I'll take you into a little deep dive
Add some filters to your "Country" "League" "Match" columns etc... Then select each country and each Country's leagues separately, one at a time and see which offers the best conversion for say SHG on 60mins (bet it's Iceland lol).
Make a note of each leagues conversion rates and then when you've finished going through them one at a time only select the leagues which convert at 80% plus... Then look at your conversion figure above.
This is what I call a "Smart Filter" (you may have noticed me reference that before) you can then create a sub filter from your main filter (by only including those leagues) and extract only gold... Let me know how you get on
I know I harp on about this like Ryan with his "What has to happen" but "What we measure we can manage" best of luck mate
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@alan-steward That looks like a better version of mine
Think I might re jig mine a little going forward:
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward
"... just working out the best trade to fit the data and I think I'm almost there now".
I think Im finding that the tough part. Making and testing a good filter for SHG is relatively easy. Finding the 'best' way to trade the data is the harder part.
I'm in the same position, do I go for a split stake, back the next plus one goals market or wait 15 mins until goals market has value in it and then what is the exit strategy?
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@matt-wood This is the match data I collect there's more stuff to the left but removed it for clarity... Up above I have mini calculators where I can back test certain trades...
Don't focus too much on some of those Goal Machine trades as they are only estimated and the matches don't really suit the profiled games in the filter but the SHG data is spot on, you can also see that this specific filter doesn't suit a FHG trade/bet either but feel this could change as the winter leagues settle.
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@alan-steward Afternoon. Yes I collect number of FHG and then the min of each SHG
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@matt-wood Hi mate... What level of data do you collect, do you collect goal times as well... Such as minute first goal scored and minutes of shg's?
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@john-hurst
Nice set of results so far mate. Also as @Keith-Anderson pointed out SHG galore!
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@alan-steward
"... just working out the best trade to fit the data and I think I'm almost there now".
I think Im finding that the tough part. Making and testing a good filter for SHG is relatively easy. Finding the 'best' way to trade the data is the harder part.
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@bottlabroon Cheers mate will give it a go
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@john-hurst Excellent results mate and just to pick up on @Keith-Anderson's excellent comment re SHG... Maybe note he SHG times and minute first goal is scored this can help to evaluate both FH & SH trades
Although with that said, I can't make up or beat Gary's SHG filter with any of mine it's just working out the best trade to fit the data and I think I'm almost there now.
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@alan-steward
This should do the job roughly for you. Just be aware it's been designed around the over 2.5 prices and at rough starting odds of 2.00 so the more you move from those parameters the less accurate it will become.
Just add the over 2.5 odds at the start into cell E1 and it should calculate everything else for you. Any queries, shout up
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Solid start on LTD filter/sh goals. Unlikely i will get this many drawing at HT but its a good start. Will share if any good after 100+ results or now if anyone wants it just message.
Did you notice how it looked good for a SHG too?
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Solid start on LTD filter/sh goals. Unlikely i will get this many drawing at HT but its a good start. Will share if any good after 100+ results or now if anyone wants it just message.
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@keith-anderson Nice!!!
