The BTC Football Trading Thread

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@james-woodroffe Its a scuffed 50 yard pass that lobs the keeper and flies in the top corner!

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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alan-steward I found that the decent figures for indicating a SH goal are some of the following:

Home scored by FT %
Away scored by FT %
Overall average goals scored
Home O1.5 SH
Away O1.5 SH

I’ve 2 filters running at over 80% post 60’ and those seem to make as much a difference as anything

My first filter is quite simple. I first created it after analysing a database which ran 2013-2018. Since i ran it live its got nearly 500 results of 'grade A' leagues and is running at about 80% post 60' and decent results post 70'. I have started to record additional stats to see if i can tweak as i didnt create it to look for late goals but not expecting too much to alter it

Overall FH O0.5 >= 70%
Overall SH O0.5 >= 80%
Home H2 O1.5 >= 55%
Away H2 O1.5 >= 55%

Matches Played = 10+, Scope 5 games

The two most significant stats are the last 2, obviously 55% would be 3+ from 5 or 6+ from 10

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Laid under 3.5 Bayern

Topping up on that with a lay of under 1.5 SHG.

bottlabroon

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@lee-woodman yeah was it what mate. Deep breath head shake laugh at self move on.

It evens out mate, just compensates for those games when they hit the post and bar a dozen times in the last few minutes and you come away with nowt!

James Woodroffe

@lee-woodman yeah was it what mate. Deep breath head shake laugh at self move on.

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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG games that have a high % chance of a goal in are.....

Odd v Molde 1-0 HT 1-4 FT
Zenit v Spartak HT 1-1 FT 3-1
Luzern v Zurich HT 0-0 FT 0-0
Genoa v AC Milan

Not too bad so far!

what odds did you go for these so far?

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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS at Angers on 80 0-1.
Oh Doh! Dyslexic moment terrible trade.

Lucky lucky boy 0-2.

Dont talk about luck too much in trading but that one was

Ryan

@nick-terracciano said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@ryan-carruthers Great forum some really great tips from people think my heads about to explode!

Yes some great things happening in here bud, just take your time and ask if you get stuck you’ll do great!

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@gary-brown its been a busy day and i think alot of games have been in a late goal esq situation with good scorelines to lay. As long as they have done the research and have limited risk the more games the better, as long as they are high quality trades.

Nick Terracciano

@gary-brown I have jumped in on a couple while I lost on Lurzen there was 20 shots in the second half alone to me I would do it again on those stats. Sometimes the action going on at the same time is overwhelming at that point I do go with people that in my eyes have a good track record

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@terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

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Ah figured it out, you sir are a legend!

its no problem mate, it was a nice find

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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

holstein game came good some goal!

couple more tonight, games qualifying ill post here:

lcs montpellier
lcs leicester
lcs leeds

GOALS! 3/3 all landing back to profits

James Woodroffe

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS at Angers on 80 0-1.
Oh Doh! Dyslexic moment terrible trade.

Lucky lucky boy 0-2.

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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown Ive only seen about 5 posted and if someone posts one then if someone follows then they will need to do their own research aswell

thats what the intention is from the post.
when it gets mad with loads of selections their is always some newbies who jumps on them all.

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@gary-brown Ive only seen about 5 posted and if someone posts one then if someone follows then they will need to do their own research aswell

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best to be safe then sorry.
agree with Rich if not sure stick to your pre match plans or watch the games.
Advice taken from Darri i guess.

Richard Latimer

@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown What 'random' selections do you not agree with out of interest?

I'm sticking to my plan.

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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown What 'random' selections do you not agree with out of interest?

we seem to have a lot mate just flying in.
dont want peeps to jump on a lose money without being sure they have a good reason themselves for entering the trade.

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@gary-brown What 'random' selections do you not agree with out of interest?

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Seems a little bit mad tonight guys like people are just jumping on random selections from software such as traderedge if stats look good rather than concentrating watching games and getting a feel whats happening.