The BTC Football Trading Thread

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Watched the first 10mins of Sluts game and thought it looked pacey... Unfortunately as per most of this league the final third looked woeful.

Was being tempted with laying FHG, but was looking for sub 1.75... Think it hit evens... Ah well onto the next one

Richard Latimer

Isloch looks like an under all day long but those odds pretty rubbish. Maybe if there's an early goal it might be worth laying over 2.5. Isloch have scored in 8/10 but away team only 4/10 and 80% games have gone under 2.5.

Richard Latimer

Moving along swiftly......Belarus 1. I reckon there's a goal in Khimik but those odds are prohibitive so will leave well alone.

james everard

@richard-latimer ok mate will keep an eye on the data then thanks

Richard Latimer

I reckon there's a goal in Asgabat game Turkmenistan. Home has scored in 8, away in 6. 1x 0-0 on either side and odds for LTD or LCS shouldn't be too bad after HT. I'll keep track of this one.

Ryan

@alan-steward Very similar to myself, been able to pick these last few games for HT LTD, been some things in the game that put me off, will watch this one closely.

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Today's Belarus Premier League Games

Slutsk v Belshina - My trade of choice will be LTD @ HT if still 0-0 and in-play stats show attacking intent.

Torpedo BelAZ v Ruh Brest - My trade of choice will be LTD @ HT if still 0-0 and in-play stats show attacking intent.

Isloch v Vitebsk - My trade of choice will be LTD @ HT if still 0-0 and in-play stats show attacking intent.

For In-Play stats in either game I will be looking for minimum 1 dangerous attack per minute played & 4 SOT by SH before entering... If less than 4 SOT by HT I might wait for LTD odds to lower and look for good attacking intent i.e solid pressure from either team but both teams have been attacking through the game. Also if entering after HT I will be looking for both teams to have had SOT.

Best of luck!

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Don't fancy too much with todays games in Belarus, mostly low scoring tems... Although I can't see how 3 games could end 0-0 @ HT looks like I will only be trading second half if scores are 0-0 @ HT

Will update soon

Ryan

I'll be keeping an eye on the Slusk v Belshina today, if 0-0 @ HT I will look for LTD on this one if there is some action

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-capstick I have been trying to avoid football the last few weeks but I got that urge back with all the news coming out leagues hope to get the seasons completed in the not so distant future ( I think and hope).
I was going to try to revert back to a couple of strategies that will be profitable if I keep my mentality right and stick to the rules.With no football ratings at the moment to help with the lay the underdog strategy, I am left with one which is the back over 1.5goal split stake to look at which I fell foul to in the Belarus reserve league match earlier! I think the only way to play this is if I can get a live stream of the match. Will attempt with caution

In addition I would be very careful when the stats you're looking at aren't that current. Belshina stats were mainly 2016. I've made that mistake before.

Richard Latimer

Today the trades I've planned have MOSTLY worked out well. The ones where I reacted to a situation and though to myself, this looks a good trade......have not!

james everard

@stuart-capstick I have been trying to avoid football the last few weeks but I got that urge back with all the news coming out leagues hope to get the seasons completed in the not so distant future ( I think and hope).
I was going to try to revert back to a couple of strategies that will be profitable if I keep my mentality right and stick to the rules.With no football ratings at the moment to help with the lay the underdog strategy, I am left with one which is the back over 1.5goal split stake to look at which I fell foul to in the Belarus reserve league match earlier! I think the only way to play this is if I can get a live stream of the match. Will attempt with caution

Stuart Capstick

Well, I got screwed by Slutsk Belshina reserves today.
@50 goals in 12 games. No 0-0s for over 2 years...

A salutary lesson that there are no certainties. Or that I shouldn't trade reserve teams in shite leagues.

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Finally Energetik Mary.....wtf haha!!

I reckon they must have named the team in honor of the village bike!

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Will have to cross fingers for another goal then.

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@richard-latimer They've scored but I can't get out, bloody monkeys!

Richard Latimer

@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

He's sat on the suspend button again on the FC Smorgon v Volna Pinsk game!

@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

He's sat on the suspend button again on the FC Smorgon v Volna Pinsk game!

The monkey?

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He's sat on the suspend button again on the FC Smorgon v Volna Pinsk game!

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@pete-smith

Good luck mate, I will monitor in play stats and if lively will split stake at 30mins I think, if not so lively will monitor start of 2nd half and the n maybe ltd if it picks up

Richard Latimer

@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Anyone think a split stake o1.5 might work on bate game mate?

My reasoning is this

88% o1.5 h2h
Bate avg goal time 32mins
Goro avg goal time 51min
Overall 1st goal avg 26mins
As Ryan said earlier chance of 1st half goal, which on avg come after or around 30mins.
On overall h2h only 13% chance of ending a scoreline under 2 goals

What's people's thoughts on this as new to using the stats, have I read them right?

I'm hoping to lay at HT if 0-0

Same