The BTC Football Trading Thread
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The other game kicking off now is the Sabanas vs Real Madriz match I have had a look at and both teams have only scored 1 in goal each in the last 5 matches in the first half matches. So backed the draw for ht result but like Richard has said trade out if inplay stats suggest a goal
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Next game of interest is Deportivo Ocotal. Looking at the first half I would say an early goal is unlikely but not out of the question. Early 2nd half goal however looks even less likely. I'll be laying the over/backing the under @HT and keeping an eye on inplay stats. Plan to get out 60 mins latest.
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@pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Hi Richard, sorry for the daft question. Are you saying you will try and lay over 2.5 goals and at the same time back under 2.5 goals. Then if a goal is scored you would do the same again on the over/under 3.5 goals or if no goal you would back/lay the 1.5 goals?
At what point would you hedge or would you just let it run until 60 minutes?
It's been a long day!
No problem. No difference in backing or laying so I won't do both. It's just preference. I'll be out by 30 mins latest but if the inplay stats suggest a goal I'll be out sooner. If they hit the woodwork once I'm out, couple sot and I'm out. 3 shots anywhere and I'm out. 3 corners and I'm out. 2 corners/2shots off and I'm out.
For the 2nd half, if the score is say 2-0 I'll lay under 3.5 and be out 60mins latest or if a goal looks likely following above reasoning.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Hi Richard I have been studying the pre match stats on this match also for the last 20mins. Great you have a bit more info than me on the scoring times of the sides. I was looking at the under 2.5 goal market to trade as well, odds for under 2.5 should be lower than the current 2.16 true odds should around 1.7-2.0 I think I may scalp pre match for a small stake as a test to see if my thoughts are correct and they will drop before kick off.
Got in a hour ago at 2.18 now down to 2.1 so hopefully will drop further if anyone is getting in before k/o only done a £2 back bet as just trying to learn to see if I am finding an edge early or not , if the price was to go up won't lose much
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@richard-latimer Hi Richard, sorry for the daft question. Are you saying you will try and lay over 2.5 goals and at the same time back under 2.5 goals. Then if a goal is scored you would do the same again on the over/under 3.5 goals or if no goal you would back/lay the 1.5 goals?
At what point would you hedge or would you just let it run until 60 minutes?
It's been a long day!
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@richard-latimer Chinandega FC v Juventus Managua,ill be scalping the u2.5 market mate,im also backing u3.5.
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@gary-haigh said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer thats exactly what i was thinking.
About just the first game or two or Nicaragua in general?
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@richard-latimer thats exactly what i was thinking.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Hi mate I hadn't only looked on flash scores so far , Soccerway has some extra stats which is handy. Desperate times but with such little football on it enables you to do thorough research on matches to find potential trades good training for the future when more markets are back on in 2030 lol
Haha yeah
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@richard-latimer Hi mate I hadn't only looked on flash scores so far , Soccerway has some extra stats which is handy. Desperate times but with such little football on it enables you to do thorough research on matches to find potential trades good training for the future when more markets are back on in 2030 lol
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Hi Richard I have been studying the pre match stats on this match also for the last 20mins. Great you have a bit more info than me on the scoring times of the sides. I was looking at the under 2.5 goal market to trade as well, odds for under 2.5 should be lower than the current 2.16 true odds should around 1.7-2.0 I think I may scalp pre match for a small stake as a test to see if my thoughts are correct and they will drop before kick off.
All goal times on Soccerway
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@richard-latimer Hi Richard I have been studying the pre match stats on this match also for the last 20mins. Great you have a bit more info than me on the scoring times of the sides. I was looking at the under 2.5 goal market to trade as well, odds for under 2.5 should be lower than the current 2.16 true odds should around 1.7-2.0 I think I may scalp pre match for a small stake as a test to see if my thoughts are correct and they will drop before kick off.
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Nicaragua all looks a bit short on goals to be honest. You could probably make a case for the other game on at the same time being good for scalping unders market.
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Same again 2nd half. Only 4 games from the combined 20 have seen a goal early than 60 where another goal followed. Only one of these 4 scored by either team competing. The other 3 were conceded.
I'll prob take the score from 1st half and add a 1.5 goal cushion to the next over/under before laying the over/backing the under. Plan to get out on 60 mins latest or when action heats up.
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In the Chinandega game it looks quite unlikely a goal will be scored before the half hour mark. Only 2 out of the 20 combined have seen either team score before then. Once in the 4th and once in the 13th. Away team have conceded a few before 30 mins but I don't put a massive amount of stock into this. I will prob try and lay over 2.5/back under 2.5 from kickoff. Keep an eye on inplay stats and either get out before the 30 minute mark or when inplay stats begin to look dangerous, whichever is soonest.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard yep think i will have to start working later in the day now! need to reset my body clock!
It's mental ain't it . My body clock is all over the place . I have been trading horses and Greyhounds and most of them are overnight ( I stayed awake trading the greyhounds until 5am lol).
I thought I was bad haha!!
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard yep think i will have to start working later in the day now! need to reset my body clock!
It's mental ain't it . My body clock is all over the place . I have been trading horses and Greyhounds and most of them are overnight ( I stayed awake trading the greyhounds until 5am lol).
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@james-everard yep think i will have to start working later in the day now! need to reset my body clock!
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HI Guys
Don't forget the Nicaraguan league has 3 matches this evening kicking off at 10pm, I see one match has over 80k matched so far so liquidity won't be a problem. I am going to go out now for an hours walk but when I get back I will have a look at soccerway/ flash score stats to see if there is an angle to trade on any of the matches later.
