The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Had a winner on the lays ruled out by betfairs down time. Only for data but annoying nonethless.

Beaten by a short head, I've decided to included it as so obv qualified.

So here are results after today. Looking at the system as a whole rather than the shitness of betfair so assuming the btn sh horse would have traded pretty damn low if it was able!!

0_1591910096051_3fb7a93c-a3b8-47fb-9bf2-8eca0112d885-image.png S

These are all horses on winning warlock with a rosette placed by their name meaning they have ran well over the last 5. They are also all horses that have won no more than once during this time.

And for the 2nd lot these are all horses marked between 2*-5* on the career in running stats rather than just last 5. Again crucially no more than one win in the last 5 though.

0_1591910360071_59696bac-b5b2-4b93-9aef-b257b1ee3393-image.png

This is a much more restricted criteria so way less selections.

Early days again but today has seen the price point of 2.56 strengthen claim as best for now. Less liability and only one horse ruled out so far. 2.24 the next best in terms of profit. A few horses ruled out but liability obv much better.

On the other selections it's still 2.8 as best but with 2.62 quite close.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Had a winner on the lays ruled out by betfairs down time. Only for data but annoying nonethless.

Beaten by a short head, I've decided to included it as so obv qualified.

Richard Latimer

Had a winner on the lays ruled out by betfairs down time. Only for data but annoying nonethless.

Martin

@alan-steward yeah quite a few get down to 1.81 and 2.04 but rarely reach 1.61

? Offline

@martin-futter What 1.61 rarely matches twice?

Richard Latimer

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer yeah using it fine here

weird

Martin

@alan-steward I'd be interested in your 6 f results! 1.81 and 2.04 seem to be good entries, 1.61 rarely matches from what i've seen

Martin

@richard-latimer yeah using it fine here

? Offline

@martin-futter Am still testing 6f to 1m inclusive

Richard Latimer

Anybody else able to get on timeform? Been down for ages here.

Martin

@alan-steward what distances are you testing? i'm testing the ones in the email already but they are limited to 7f now

? Offline

@martin-futter Hey Martin, was working on the allotment this afternoon and had one of those aha moments... As you know I'm running Bet Angel in simulation mode to see what the best odds are to get matched with LTF... Am running 1.81, 1.98 & 2.04, am running these 30 times each to see best average profit/loss.

Yes I realise it's simulation mode and may not be a true reflection of live mode, but it's not bad.

Then this afternoon I realised why not save a file in all 3 odds and then run simulation mode with different odds in the same races... Doh!!! Lol.

I can open Bet Angel 100 times under 1 licence!

Therefore I can test all 3 odds in the same races... Do you have any other odds you want testing?

Martin

profit on the lay the field today either 2 or 3 depending on your odds requested, 3 went below evens 2 went to 1.16. the first race was a write off thanks to betfair being down!

Martin

@alan-steward lay the place in the BSP option

? Offline

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Found place lays to BSP to most reliable but win and place were profitable last year.

Hi mate, fully understand laying a horse not to win but "place lays to BSP" ???

Cheers

Martin

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-futter seems to be back

maybe not.

Martin

@richard-futter seems to be back

? Offline

Thought it was a problem with my computer, just restarted it and ran updates. Annoying, because there seem to be a few good opportunities today!

Bob

Yep, its crashed on me with an open trade. No idea whether my exit point has been filled. Fingers crossed!

Richard Futter

@martin-futter typical, get some sport back and the site crashes; luckily I wasn't in mid trade so no harm done. Hope no one loses out.