The BTC Horse Racing Thread

james everard

@martin-futter Hi Martin , Not done much ltf recently either . But I have noticed the 19.15pm looks like it could meet the criteria currently 9 runners, fav 4.5 odds , 6furlong maiden 5 under 10.0.

james everard

@keith-dow Hi Keith hope you are well mate. I am studying a selection process for the B2L system you posted about yesterday. . The American horses website looks good, and i am just looking at potentials for this evening. The first race 19.15pm at Will Rogers Downs I have looked at the site and Poppy Oats and Vivace look good for front runner material but the later's odds will be too high I reckon currently 11.5, the former is the favourite currently but not on the timeform selections. Would this horse be on your list for a b2l if the volume is high on this horse upto the off?

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@martin-futter Yeah been a bit up and down of late mate, just been chatting with Charles via PM and am thinking of just setting up Bet Angel to kick in at different odds with low stakes and see what sticks on Betfair

Martin

no ltf for me today, how has everyone been getting on with it?

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@keith-dow
Cheers mate.appreciate it.will have a look at that website mate and see what I can gather from it.

John Folan

@richard-latimer bloody suicide odds. 1.6/1.7 and 1.8. Staggered lays. Show me the money.

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer Lol, so how does your data sheet look? Have you got a link?

I have been thinking about but not done yet. However, I know from your sheet it's working thus far.

I need to start recording these for myself for sure.

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@richard-latimer Lol, so how does your data sheet look? Have you got a link?

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer Sorry mate upping my price? Do you mean odds? From 1.98 to 2.04?

Yeah. Well I do 2.02 haha

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@richard-latimer Sorry mate upping my price? Do you mean odds? From 1.98 to 2.04?

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Next race for example, at the moment, Lost in Limbo looks good. She's top in Timeform, runs close to pace and has the fastest pace in the 1st and 2nd sections of the course. The Fav seems to be heavily backed and seems to a have a steady speed rating. The favourites shorter price means more ticks to hit the 10% (you could do it by ticks as opposed to stake % though) but it may be a safer option. It looks like there may be more value in Limbo though.

Saying all this, I have just had my second loss of the night (although I am still in profit) and I as fairly new to the US races.

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@dan-erridge Hey mate. I check the running style first on Betfair. I'm looking for a horse that runs close to pace, tracks pace or front runs ideally. Midfielders can work too if the stats allow but it may take time in the race to hit the lay.

Then I see if they are listed in Timeform on Betfair, I'm not overly bothered if they aren't though, it's just another to add weight to the choice.

The best place to look at stats is horses.betamerica.com. Here I look at the pace and the speed stats for the horse(s) I am assessing.

Lastly, I like money to be drawn towards it so it needs to be in the top 3 of the trading volume.

When I am happy, I use bet angel to lay an offset bet with greening for around 10-20% depending on my confidence. If its one of the first out and into the lead it gets matched pretty quickly.

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@keith-dow
What your b2l method in America mate, where are you getting your info from to d3cide what will shorten etc, thanks in advance

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer 4.1, 5.1, 5.17, 6.6 then 15.78

You getting close to upping your price?

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@richard-latimer 4.1, 5.1, 5.17, 6.6 then 15.78

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Only 1 matched in 20:12 @ 1.98 second lowest price was 2.0!!!

What was fave price then? I missed it but sp's looked like quite low.

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Only 1 matched in 20:12 @ 1.98 second lowest price was 2.0!!!

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Bollocks, my first B2L loss in 2 days. The lay bet came in though. Overall still 1.2pts up. Reset and on to the next races.

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@richard-latimer
Think it started at about 3.25 roughly

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Don't think 18:12 qualified... Have I missed any others?

Looked on at the races. Fave was 7/4 so highly unlikely