The BTC Horse Racing Thread

John Folan

@richard-latimer bloody suicide odds. 1.6/1.7 and 1.8. Staggered lays. Show me the money.

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer Lol, so how does your data sheet look? Have you got a link?

I have been thinking about but not done yet. However, I know from your sheet it's working thus far.

I need to start recording these for myself for sure.

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@richard-latimer Lol, so how does your data sheet look? Have you got a link?

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer Sorry mate upping my price? Do you mean odds? From 1.98 to 2.04?

Yeah. Well I do 2.02 haha

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@richard-latimer Sorry mate upping my price? Do you mean odds? From 1.98 to 2.04?

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Next race for example, at the moment, Lost in Limbo looks good. She's top in Timeform, runs close to pace and has the fastest pace in the 1st and 2nd sections of the course. The Fav seems to be heavily backed and seems to a have a steady speed rating. The favourites shorter price means more ticks to hit the 10% (you could do it by ticks as opposed to stake % though) but it may be a safer option. It looks like there may be more value in Limbo though.

Saying all this, I have just had my second loss of the night (although I am still in profit) and I as fairly new to the US races.

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@dan-erridge Hey mate. I check the running style first on Betfair. I'm looking for a horse that runs close to pace, tracks pace or front runs ideally. Midfielders can work too if the stats allow but it may take time in the race to hit the lay.

Then I see if they are listed in Timeform on Betfair, I'm not overly bothered if they aren't though, it's just another to add weight to the choice.

The best place to look at stats is horses.betamerica.com. Here I look at the pace and the speed stats for the horse(s) I am assessing.

Lastly, I like money to be drawn towards it so it needs to be in the top 3 of the trading volume.

When I am happy, I use bet angel to lay an offset bet with greening for around 10-20% depending on my confidence. If its one of the first out and into the lead it gets matched pretty quickly.

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@keith-dow
What your b2l method in America mate, where are you getting your info from to d3cide what will shorten etc, thanks in advance

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer 4.1, 5.1, 5.17, 6.6 then 15.78

You getting close to upping your price?

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@richard-latimer 4.1, 5.1, 5.17, 6.6 then 15.78

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Only 1 matched in 20:12 @ 1.98 second lowest price was 2.0!!!

What was fave price then? I missed it but sp's looked like quite low.

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Only 1 matched in 20:12 @ 1.98 second lowest price was 2.0!!!

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Bollocks, my first B2L loss in 2 days. The lay bet came in though. Overall still 1.2pts up. Reset and on to the next races.

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@richard-latimer
Think it started at about 3.25 roughly

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Don't think 18:12 qualified... Have I missed any others?

Looked on at the races. Fave was 7/4 so highly unlikely

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So far I’ve traded the first 3 races at Tampa. I’ve done a bit of a double up. I’ve played a B2L and a straight lay based on pace and speed stats.

So far I’ve won them all. So far tonight I’m 1.8pts up.

Had the same success last night. I do plan to start posting my picks but it’s still early days and my confidence isn’t quite there yet!

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Don't think 18:12 qualified... Have I missed any others?

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@richard-latimer Not sure if it did. It certainly wouldn't have paid. Might have secured 2 matches at the most.

Richard Latimer

I missed the 18:12. Anyone see if it qualified for LTF?

james everard

@charles-cartwright Be interested on your feedback please when/if it helps with identifying laying horses