The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@richard-lillis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Matewan in 17:00 Newmarket was a rarity. SP of 2/1 but BSP of 2.03. I've seen higher BSP's before but by that much??? Crazy!!!
This was because Fox Vardy was Withdrawn at the start - 30p rule 4 on the 2/1.
Cheers but how come the SP wasn't reduced as well then? Does that mean you wouldn't have known the true BSP until race finished? ie, would have been easy to lay it at 2.80 in-running not knowing the price was reduced. Sorry for stupid questions but my knowleadge on racing is patchy.
I know it's a bit random when this happened there was a race in Tampa during lockdown where the BSP recorded on timeform was not the same as it first appeared as the race started.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Matewan in 17:00 Newmarket was a rarity. SP of 2/1 but BSP of 2.03. I've seen higher BSP's before but by that much??? Crazy!!!
This was because Fox Vardy was Withdrawn at the start - 30p rule 4 on the 2/1.
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Matewan in 17:00 Newmarket was a rarity. SP of 2/1 but BSP of 2.03. I've seen higher BSP's before but by that much??? Crazy!!!
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Today's Trob's. These are pretty static since the return of racing. Hopefully start moving upwards again soon. 3.5-20 odds range only: Edit: Johan and Red Treble are non runners.
2 points lost today. Yuck
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Definitely one matched in the 13:50 at Ascot, potentially 2. I saw a 2nd trade under 2.8 but for not much money. A few hundred traded at 2.88. I'll see what it says on timeform and record according to that for consistency. I guess then I need to look and see whether increasing odds any further to incorporate one more horse would be a smart move at present.
Possibly need to track them.
May track as many different price points as possible before 100 selections and then continue with only the top 3.
This is interesting. These numbers could only ever be better than what I'm recording and not worse if laying with a bot or just before the off keeping an eye on non runners). Prince Eiji definitely matched @ 2.88 for over Β£100.00 and a small amount even lower than that. While I'm not talking specifically about this race if it's happened today it has no doubt happened before as well.
S/r, profit, alll of it could be better than what I have. Pretty exciting as it's good enough like this.
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Definitely one matched in the 13:50 at Ascot, potentially 2. I saw a 2nd trade under 2.8 but for not much money. A few hundred traded at 2.88. I'll see what it says on timeform and record according to that for consistency. I guess then I need to look and see whether increasing odds any further to incorporate one more horse would be a smart move at present.
Possibly need to track them.
May track as many different price points as possible before 100 selections and then continue with only the top 3.
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@martin-futter Am continuing to measure mate and will look to go live with small stakes as soon as my boy sets me up on his personal server... Then Bet Angel should never crash as it did when I left my laptop on battery mode lol (currently in simulation mode but proved to be very accurate)
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Todays potential 'winning warlock' inplay lays:
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@martin-futter Since when have you been measuring 2.04?... Obviously this has been my preferred entry point since testing started in the USA season... My stats show 2.04 @ +3.65pts since 12th July but early days of testing to confirm it's profitable just yet
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan it seems to be that the flat season is best for these is this something you have found also?
Yes the flat is better for a lot of lay strategies. I think with jumps the horses are (generally) a lot more experienced so people have a better idea what to expect from them.
So these lovely tipsters seize on anything with a bit of form and tip it when there is a lot of unexposed horses out there who surprise and beat ones with a track record.
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@john-folan it seems to be that the flat season is best for these is this something you have found also?
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Full house on the horse lays yesterday!
Win is 9.14pts up and Place is 2.116pts up.
Wins are a little precarious as one loss could wipe that but it's good to see the places picking back up.
Today's selections:
13:50 Asct REGAL REALITY
15:00 Asct BATTLEGROUND
15:15 NmkR EXMOOR BEAST
18:30 Rdcr HIGHLIGHT REEL
19:00 Rdcr TOMBOLOGood, glad these are settling.
had a nice 1.18 lay win in the place yesterday
I love those. Feels like free money.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Full house on the horse lays yesterday!
Win is 9.14pts up and Place is 2.116pts up.
Wins are a little precarious as one loss could wipe that but it's good to see the places picking back up.
Today's selections:
13:50 Asct REGAL REALITY
15:00 Asct BATTLEGROUND
15:15 NmkR EXMOOR BEAST
18:30 Rdcr HIGHLIGHT REEL
19:00 Rdcr TOMBOLOGood, glad these are settling.
had a nice 1.18 lay win in the place yesterday
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Full house on the horse lays yesterday!
Win is 9.14pts up and Place is 2.116pts up.
Wins are a little precarious as one loss could wipe that but it's good to see the places picking back up.
Today's selections:
13:50 Asct REGAL REALITY
15:00 Asct BATTLEGROUND
15:15 NmkR EXMOOR BEAST
18:30 Rdcr HIGHLIGHT REEL
19:00 Rdcr TOMBOLOGood, glad these are settling.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@Richard-Latimer Is your winning warlock up the spout for everywhere apart from Beverly?
@John-Folan did contact on twitter and the guy who runs it has another site but only limited info there. The Aspiring HorsePlayer.
Sent him a tweet. Will let you know if I get anything back? At the very least I would hope to be able to get the data in terms of results so I can keep adding to the sheet.
Itβs back @Richard-Latimer . Our moaning worked
Actually all working bar Ascot
Saved you some cash today then as only one qualifier and that bloody well won haha!
I looked through and found one. Half Nutz? Ascot might be affecting it this week. Big festivals seem to affect a lot. I know @Charles-Cartwright thinks the same and he knows a lot more than I do.
2 wins on Ascot so far so can't complain haha!
Me too, I'm hoping these trobs will start doing what they did last august now they are back up and running.
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Full house on the horse lays yesterday!
Win is 9.14pts up and Place is 2.116pts up.
Wins are a little precarious as one loss could wipe that but it's good to see the places picking back up.
Today's selections:
13:50 Asct REGAL REALITY
15:00 Asct BATTLEGROUND
15:15 NmkR EXMOOR BEAST
18:30 Rdcr HIGHLIGHT REEL
19:00 Rdcr TOMBOLO -
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@Richard-Latimer Is your winning warlock up the spout for everywhere apart from Beverly?
@John-Folan did contact on twitter and the guy who runs it has another site but only limited info there. The Aspiring HorsePlayer.
Sent him a tweet. Will let you know if I get anything back? At the very least I would hope to be able to get the data in terms of results so I can keep adding to the sheet.
Itβs back @Richard-Latimer . Our moaning worked
Actually all working bar Ascot
Saved you some cash today then as only one qualifier and that bloody well won haha!
I looked through and found one. Half Nutz? Ascot might be affecting it this week. Big festivals seem to affect a lot. I know @Charles-Cartwright thinks the same and he knows a lot more than I do.
2 wins on Ascot so far so can't complain haha!
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Today's Trob's. These are pretty static since the return of racing. Hopefully start moving upwards again soon. 3.5-20 odds range only: Edit: Johan and Red Treble are non runners.