The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
The timeform table can work sometimes if you look at the outsiders. I noticed there were a number of horses not racing and the third tip (second was one of the absentees) was odds of 42.0 backed it and just let it run ( only £2) and it won lovely. Then tried again at the 18.52 and the outside timeform tip this also at 42.0 coincidently put up a good fight and went under 3.0 traded out.
Sweet. That's a lot of green right there haha!
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The timeform table can work sometimes if you look at the outsiders. I noticed there were a number of horses not racing and the third tip (second was one of the absentees) was odds of 42.0 backed it and just let it run ( only £2) and it won lovely. Then tried again at the 18.52 and the outside timeform tip this also at 42.0 coincidently put up a good fight and went under 3.0 traded out.
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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Got greyhounds aswell apparantly
Cheers Dan very useful when looking to lay a trap number, I have been using greyhound-data for the percentage chance of the trap number wins with distance at each course. This now helps with deciding what price range I should be looking at. Just had a quick look and it appears between 3.0 and 5.0 looks good price to base on , below that it appears to low and work above you are relying on such a high strike rate.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
I wonder if there's some sort of angle to take advantage of these ridiculous 1 &2 races!? There must be something surely. Trouble is I can't find a damn thing about them on the interweb. Maybe the dark web haha!
Richard...they are actually quite fun to watch. Those quarter horses can't half shift over a short distance. Of course there is nothing in play (just like the dogs) but you could mess around with backing steamers or laying drifters before the off maybe.
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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
https://promo.betfair.com/betfairsp/prices
There it is guys, some people all replying on Twitter saying it's great, like I say not looked myself
Well played sir! Bit of work to turn it into something usable but frankly all most of us have these days is time!!!
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I wonder if there's some sort of angle to take advantage of these ridiculous 1 &2 races!? There must be something surely. Trouble is I can't find a damn thing about them on the interweb. Maybe the dark web haha!
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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@adamwilliams
Is there anyway using the link I posted below we can pull the data we need for our laythefield research we are trying
Cheers
Dan
If you search back a week or two you'll find a couple of posts where I uploaded an Excel file with a sample of the data...this will give you an idea of what you could do with it.
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@adamwilliams
Is there anyway using the link I posted below we can pull the data we need for our laythefield research we are trying
Cheers
Dan
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Got greyhounds aswell apparantly
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https://promo.betfair.com/betfairsp/prices
There it is guys, some people all replying on Twitter saying it's great, like I say not looked myself
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Guys I picked peter Webb’s brains on twitter yesterday about in running prices in aus and USA and to my shock, he replied with a link, will post here in a minute, not looked myself yet, but could be the data you guys were looking for, let us know if you find it,will post in a minute
Dan
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@richard-latimer Ran it in simulation mode and got 3 matched but didn't record data as it didn't fully meet.
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@charles-cartwright said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
LTF
I notice the last had 3 horse at a price in the 3's. 3 matched. Didn't do it as didn't fit what has been looked at but interesting nonetheless.
Would be easy enough to look at...maybe in smaller fields look for just 3 to 4 horses within say 3 pts of the fav at a min of >2.9 and set a more aggressive trade point so that if you get 2 then you get a decent return?
Just set it up now to run on BFBM, small fields (so 5-8 runners) to avoid having two in play at the same time. Fav between 2.5 and 4.0 and at least 3 runners within 3 points of that mark. Lay to fire at 1.61. Liability of only a quid since have nothing to base this on!!
Nothing looks like firing in the US meetings today for me on the regular LTF. Will see how I go overnight on the Aus meetings. Have upped the min liquidity to $150K to try to get rid of most of the dross but it may mean I get almost no action.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
LTF
I notice the last had 3 horse at a price in the 3's. 3 matched. Didn't do it as didn't fit what has been looked at but interesting nonetheless.
Would be easy enough to look at...maybe in smaller fields look for just 3 to 4 horses within say 3 pts of the fav at a min of >2.9 and set a more aggressive trade point so that if you get 2 then you get a decent return?
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@richard-latimer
Yes I was thinking of trying that aswell mate, as the earlier you get one matched the more time you have for something else to happen, waiting to drop from 4 to say 1.81,ain’t gonna happen quick but if you have a fav of say 2.5 might hit 1.81 earlier then get drift out and if it wins then so be it, could be interesting -
@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
LTF
I notice the last had 3 horse at a price in the 3's. 3 matched. Didn't do it as didn't fit what has been looked at but interesting nonetheless.
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Nothing really matching yet tonight for LTF
