The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[Dan MacKinnon]

Something that I've really enjoyed looking at is the lay strategies on the software. I think it suits my trading style more having lots of small wins and the occasional big loss, but (hopefully) overall heading in the right direction.

I had a mess around with Martin's Beaten Favourite. The filter is here 0_1668523149182_rules_export-laybeatenfav.json

It has a really decent strike rate and when I went through the individual results there were only 251 losing trades from c.2,900

Using £1 flat stakes this is what I got

But after listening to Martin's YouTube Q&A video he mentioned wanting to know your liability. This is something I never really thought about as I see this as a hobby. I then thought what if I changed it to a fixed liability so I went into every trade like it was a placing a bet and I've written off my £14 from a worst-case scenario.

This is using £14 liability from a £100 bank.

The software is really good at running the numbers on a thought experiment like that!

[John Folan]

@greg-mitchell said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Been playing around with Johns Back the Fav on a Mon, Tue & Sat strategy, here's the results:

Strike Rate about the same, ROI% doubled.

Plus its actually profitable if you use it every day of the week.

0_1668519455925_BACK FAV.json

Sweet. Thanking you

[Martin]

@greg-mitchell some amazing work going on here guys! Thanks

[Greg Mitchell]

Been playing around with Johns Back the Fav on a Mon, Tue & Sat strategy, here's the results:

Strike Rate about the same, ROI% doubled.

Plus its actually profitable if you use it every day of the week.

0_1668519455925_BACK FAV.json

[Greg Mitchell]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

70% career dob rate
100% in last 3 races
Class 4/5 and No AW
DSLR 8-80
Runners 5-20
Odds 8-100

0_1668422644958_rules_export.json

Nice One!

[John Folan]

70% career dob rate
100% in last 3 races
Class 4/5 and No AW
DSLR 8-80
Runners 5-20
Odds 8-100

0_1668422644958_rules_export.json

[Greg Mitchell]

Here you go.

0_1668422321303_DOB.json

[Martin]

@razvan-alexandru said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@greg-mitchell Can you please share the strategy? Or how did you find 80% DOB in the last 10 races? I've been trying to do something similar with 70% but I got some errors and couldn't run it..Thanks!

Ditto that!

[A Former User]

@greg-mitchell Can you please share the strategy? Or how did you find 80% DOB in the last 10 races? I've been trying to do something similar with 70% but I got some errors and couldn't run it..Thanks!

[Nick Allan]

@greg-mitchell fab, well keep us updated ill be very interested to hear how you get on

[Greg Mitchell]

@nick-allan Yes, starting today

[Nick Allan]

@greg-mitchell said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan Just messing around myself:

80% DOB in Last 10 Races
Course Characteristics - Everything but Sharp and Sharp/Undulating
Class 3, 4, 5 and 6
Pace Rating - Everything but 0
Odds of 3 to 100 at 10 mins before Start Time.

Impressive.....are you going to forward test this Greg?

[John Folan]

@greg-mitchell said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan Just messing around myself:

80% DOB in Last 10 Races
Course Characteristics - Everything but Sharp and Sharp/Undulating
Class 3, 4, 5 and 6
Pace Rating - Everything but 0
Odds of 3 to 100 at 10 mins before Start Time.

Absolutely cracking!

[Greg Mitchell]

@john-folan Just messing around myself:

80% DOB in Last 10 Races
Course Characteristics - Everything but Sharp and Sharp/Undulating
Class 3, 4, 5 and 6
Pace Rating - Everything but 0
Odds of 3 to 100 at 10 mins before Start Time.

[John Folan]

Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[John Folan]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan that picture you shared looks super blurred to me

They always seem to come up like that from the horse software. Ok when you click on them tho

[A Former User]

If you click on it you will see it a little bit better

[Martin]

@john-folan that picture you shared looks super blurred to me

[John Folan]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan hang on I'll just ready my 3D glasses!

That’s confused me. Not difficult

[Martin]

@john-folan hang on I'll just ready my 3D glasses!