BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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I said one thing to @Eamonn-Hogan and then the complete opposite to @Simji thanks @Paul-Keighley for making me realise that.
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@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@simji I’m surprised also mate. Maybe the consensus is the Windies can have a good day tomorrow I certainly thought it would shorten more.
Sorry @Simji ignore me I meant the opposite just had a dumb moment. It’s been a long day. Bad day not good day for the Windies
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@paul-keighley said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe on the contrary, the draw price going back out indicates they don't think the Windies can have a good day tomorrow! I tend to agree, don't see them getting 250 personally.
Haha yeah you’re right mate it’s drifted
dunno what I was thinking! Yeah I’m with you I think they struggle just didn’t think that thru did I. Glad I’ve laid it then. -
@james-woodroffe on the contrary, the draw price going back out indicates they don't think the Windies can have a good day tomorrow! I tend to agree, don't see them getting 250 personally.
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@simji I’m surprised also mate. Maybe the consensus is the Windies can have a good day tomorrow I certainly thought it would shorten more.
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@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.
Mate they only need a poor first session or if they find themselves at 100-4 the draw odds will shoot out. It’s an interesting one and will be a riveting days play. It’s still a 4th day deck that’s spent a whole day under covers and with the sun shining who knows how it will play.
so you reckon i should take my red
I don’t wanna be that guy mate who tells you what to do. I know cricket but I’m still relatively new to trading test matches. I’m kinda conflicted myself. I’ve taken a small Red personally and will lay the draw but it depends on your situation. If it’s hardly any red then maybe stick around. The night watchman Azzari Joseph is batting with Braithwaite tomorrow morning if they get him early doors the draw price by rights won’t move much at all. However if they get Braithwaite early that will be a big wicket for England and with Shai Hope out of form 2 down could become 3 and if it’s 3 down by lunch chasing 279 or whatever it is to avoid the follow on they’ll be under pressure and the draw price may very well show that also by ballooning out.
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@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.
Mate they only need a poor first session or if they find themselves at 100-4 the draw odds will shoot out. It’s an interesting one and will be a riveting days play. It’s still a 4th day deck that’s spent a whole day under covers and with the sun shining who knows how it will play.
so you reckon i should take my red
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@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.
Mate they only need a poor first session or if they find themselves at 100-4 the draw odds will shoot out. It’s an interesting one and will be a riveting days play. It’s still a 4th day deck that’s spent a whole day under covers and with the sun shining who knows how it will play.
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@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.
Likely but not necessarily its not going to be easy for them to get to 270 to avoid the follow on - England need quick wickets tomorrow morning
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If West Indies get to 300 tomorrow which Im sure they will, I cant see it not being a draw. I must be missing something.
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Draw drifted out a bit more. 2.46 to lay now
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@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?
Hey Eamonn, I think with it going back out the consensus could be that England are a big chance given the weather over the last two days. I thought the draw backers in Asia might have shortened it more today but the fact it drifted makes me think England are the value with either a win or a good enough performance tomorrow for the draw to balloon out.
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@chris-osborne fine and sunny for the next two days but we still have 200 overs at least. I think a lay at 2.34 is worth it going into tomorrow especially if England can get Braithwaite cheaply. I’d assume given the situation if England find themselves in a position to enforce the follow on they definitely have to. If that happens we could be in a good spot tomorrow if the draw is laid or England are backed.
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@eamonn-hogan said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?
Depends how much play there is tomorrow - If England bowl WI out cheaply and enforce the follow on then can easily get the win.
Only two possibe results England win and Draw
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@james-woodroffe said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
I backed a draw at 2.2, it went down to 2.04. Any idea why its back at 2.34. Surely it will be a draw now?
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Stumps and draw price now 2.14.
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@nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@james-woodroffe cheers abort all for now until tmr
I think so mate. Draw price now at 2.04.
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@james-woodroffe cheers abort all for now until tmr
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@nathan-bennett said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
No vision or updates on cricinfo Fired in a draw lay here @2.2 look to get half out @3.4 . What's the feel locally lads total write off today yeah ?
It’s not flash mate which is probably an understatement.
