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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #461

    EOP ENG 238 runs behind with 8 wickets left.
    Its a good wicket to bat - groundsman says days 2 and 3 will be best days to bat.
    Possible scenario: England score 360 runs tomorrow (90 overs x 4- ok, i know ENG are going at circa 6, but once/if it starts going around the park, IND will slow it down with slow over rates etc.) - so gives a lead of 130+ . Assume all out by EOP.
    So, if that is the situation , then India will either 1) Bat for as long as poss for draw, or 2) will be bowled out for less than 300 . Or another scenario is that ENG just bat IND out of it by scoring 600+ (in the last 2 tests here the teams batting first have scored 550 and 650ish.
    India have 1.5 days to bat to save the Test , to get 250 ahead.

    Ashwin just said that this wicket will be hard to bat on on day 5.
    So, in essence given the wicket, and the rate that England go at, I cant see IND being able to win this. The only way they could is by getting circa 300 and England not being able to make 170ish in their innings.
    So, my strategy will be , if England dont lose a wicket in first Bumrah burst tomorrow morning, say, 10 overs , then lump on IND lay, then again, Bumrah looked to be struggling with a hammy problem (couldnt bowl last over)
    Any thoughts anyone? Based on my appalling trading of the IND v ENG games so far then this will likely be absolute bollox !

    Stephen HancoxS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #462

    LTD now approaching 4

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #463

    Loving this
    Bloke told me a long time ago laying teams odds on first INNS usually a profitable strategy
    went well here
    Greened more up 2.1 ENG

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #464

    IND v ENG - just cant trade this properly , everything i touch goes to red - been the same for virtually all 3 Tests .

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #465

    @Stuart-Wallace no stale markets when bat so good

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #466

    One thing you cant call this England team is boring ! They really have rejuvenated Test cricket. Going at 7 runs per over off first 11.

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #467

    IND ENG
    My IND LAY taken 1/4 stake back out 1.55
    Evens next target be huge then eye towards draw price lays

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #468

    @Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    HMMM Did Siraj do a hammy here far this could be huge

    Would rather it was Bumrah who has done knee in !

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #469

    HMMM Did Siraj do a hammy here far this could be huge

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #470

    Quite a static market in Rajkot. Need England to get into bat and score some substantial, quick runs to even up the odds a bit.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #471

    IND LAY for me at the mo
    Think rock bottom

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #472

    whats thoughts re LTD on ENG game? im really undecided at present as to what way to go - leaning on LTD once ENG start batting but then know that if Crawley and Duckett go their usual pace and score a thousand runs in first 10 overs then draw price will swiftly come in - but will it? However, should there be quick wickets then price will move out.
    hmmm, undecided.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #473

    NZ SA
    NZ LAY 1.13 rude not to for a swing
    Spin looking threatening enough still 150 odd to win
    BANG
    TIMING
    1/4 stake back 1.26

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #474

    nz V sa game is a bit of a conundrum...
    Would be the biggest chase ever at that ground.
    However, its generally thought to be SA's third choice bowling attack - albeit Paterson and Piedt have looked a handful so far this game.
    Another strange thing for me was that Brand took 9? wickets in first Test , yet didnt even bowl himself in 1st innings !
    As usual, Williamson (and now Ravindra) will be walls that SA will have to push through.
    Might have a large lay of NZ for first 5 overs or so to see what is possible.
    Might do the same with ENG.
    Sarfaraz looks a good player, however, you would think he would struggle in somewhere like England.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #475

    Happy to lay 1.37 INDIA

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #476

    The draw price has been roller coasting quite nicely in Rajkot - dropped as low at 5.5 before hitting 20 briefly and is now down to around 8. This looks an excellent batting track so I could easily see it dropping to around 5 again.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #477

    @Stuart-Wallace Nice one!

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #478

    wow, thought id take large NZ lay at 1.17 as it was last over of day, and Conway was facing..et...voila....BINGO. Recovered loss from earlier.

    Richard FutterR 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #479

    yeah, took a loss too. However, nulled that with AUS W.
    Had a big lay on NZ at 1.3 that ive also exited - was thinking of Conways lack of form.
    Cant watch any of games as currently power cut for another 30 mins

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #480

    AUS W v SA W
    AUS LAY 1.03 having a poke will take half stake out 1.06 green the lot 1.12

    side note so weak Healy choosing to field in the heat surely no one does this
    how do you not bat and put on a show versus weak opposition

    certainly not great viewing for the 5 people that paid to watch ha
    ...
    didnt put alot of thought into this pre game looking back 1.4 aus wow huge price

    1 Reply Last reply
    2

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