BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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NZ win toss and bat first and, rather as expected, the odds put England and New Zealand on an even keel. I'm having a little back of England at 2.4 as I expect the England seam attack to make an early impact. It won't be a long term trade though as I think leaving out Jack Leach is a big mistake; if the Kiwis post a large first innings score - as they're well capable of doing - a spinner will be crucial later in the match, and I don't see Joe Root as any more than a part-time bowler in English conditions.
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Finally!! So excited to get back into the summer of cricket. Fascinating series coming up here in the U.K. and before long SA touring the Caribbean. Best thing tho will be fans. Personally think NZ are a huge chance v England but like Richard I like the draw lay at 5.50. Hopefully it rains heaps in Paris over the next few days and i can be glued to the cricket.
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Huge amount of cricket to look forward and hopefully mass profits #bringit
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Can't wait for the return of Test cricket at Lord's tomorrow (Wednesday) when I'm expecting a cracking match, even if both England and New Zealand are short of full-strength.
England are currently odds on favourites with New Zealand available at better than 2/1, but I would have it much closer than that - pretty much a 50-50 shot.
The Kiwis have an excellent head to head record against England in recent years and even without No.1 seamer Trent Boult, they have more than enough in their armoury to cause a depleted home outfit plenty of problems.
For me, though, the true value is - as so often - in laying the draw. The current odds of 5.5 look short enough already, and if they contract further during the opening overs, there should be plenty of profits available.
Draws at Lord's are virtually unheard of in recent years, unless matches are affected by rain, and with everything looking set fair for five days of uninterrupted play, the chances of a draw look remote indeed.
I'll be following events closely throughout the match, and if I see any further opportunities I'll post as quickly as possible.
It promises to be an enthralling summer.
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Having a small lay on Scotland at 1.12
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Nothing as yet on Cricinfo but it looks like the PSL will resume on June 1st in Dubai and Abu Dhabi.
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@nathan-bennett nice one
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Solid enough day 1
Laying PAK till end INNS
Worst case shouldn't be seeing red -
@martin-futter That was my next question regarding staking. Continuing to add lay bets on lay bets seems like a quick way to build up a big liability. But using reduced stakes clears this up, cheers
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PAK ZIM underway . backed draw @15 try get some green to start test . laying @10-7's . stop loss 24 ish
PAK hopefully bat for days -
@jonathan-busch it's basically a way of getting in the market a bit earlier at a higher price with less risk, so if I lay at 3.0 for 50% of my stake and then at 2.0 for the other 50% my average lay price is 2.50. If I lay at 3.0 for 100% of my stake my average lay price is higher at 3.0 and I may not be comfortable with having a whole stake on at that price.
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@jonathan-busch on the money . eg if think draw price is great value to be against and say lay@4 if market continues to go south and your happy to lay again [email protected] 3.0 2.5 2.0 etc do so as you wish
no science to it just feel after first lay especially if balls dominating but markets still trimming
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Just going through the forum, the term/strategy 'drip laying' is coming up quite a bit.
Reading between the lines, this usually occurs when the draw price is coming in and is being layed
This is probably obvious, but can someone please clarify what is occurring when you are 'drip laying'
Thanks...
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@james-woodroffe I guess it was inevitable, far more important things going on in India currently
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I guess the indefinite suspension of the IPL isn’t really that much of a surprise. Ahmedabad was always going to cause a problem.
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Delayed
1.31 LAY
see if get 1.6 start dripping it out -
@martin-futter thanks yeah closed off trades when sri hit 1.33 thinking of switching lay sri now for an earn
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@nathan-bennett bit of rain around apparently so be careful!
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Most cases try to look for improvement by teams INNS to INNS SRI spinners are all over this test now , still when BANG come into bat again looking for potential low odds lay of SRI for example say [email protected] then a back bet [email protected] BANG openers were good in first INNS and at this stage of the test markets should move fast .
