BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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With pre match lay odds of 1.34 for England Women I was hoping that NZ would bat first this morning, however with lay odds on England now 1.18 after just 9 overs I’m happy to jump in here.
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KKR looking good as far as runs on board
two slices of luck
still holding
could be a situation back on fall of wickets late as maybe irrelevant to likely big total -
Punjab V Sunrisers:
Not a great trade. Backed Punjab @ 1.50 at 12 over mark when Sunrisers were struggling and needed 8-9/over.
At 15th Over SH had a set batsmen in SAHA but I doubted with his strike rate he could get them over the line. Should have bailed at this point as this is when the markets flipped within 2 6's from Jason Holder.Lesson learnt: Follow the rule: Back the chasing team with set batsmen in last 5 with a manageable target. Or in this case, bail. They may not win but there could be a good swing
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Are these the type of pitch’s World Cup be played on
Maybe Bangladesh should be favs ha -
Back of DC was good
Having small lay 1.05 now 1.20 would takeNice to have 3 games straight traded for green
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BACKED DC @1.84 till end INNS
might look at runs market later
wicket thats too funny but midway through a decent partnership couldnt go forever ha
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Good to be back in the forum
I have been spending time getting to grips with The T20 markets, using practice mode in The Hundred and micro-stakes in the CPL. Trading The Hundred didn't really help my confidence, but things started to make a bit more sense to me in the CPL.
So looking forward to learning more during the IPL and WC, still using low stakes
Getting back in the thread, I was immediately drawn to Darri's clarification/explaination of his strategy and it cleared up a few areas for me and mistakes I have been making.
Simple trade today with no hiccups. Backed Chennai at the start of the second innings at 1.39. Based on this being a below par score in any cricket ground, let alone Sharjah. All milestones reached. I did add to it because of this at 1.10, and I'm not sure if this is is good value going forward, but everything was under control, and 10 ticks is 10 ticks?
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
WOWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE never in my life seen that 3 to win off last ball for aus to win and caught out
review showed waist height no ball
2 off last ball to win
BANG
Some free trading that review sensationalSURELY NEVER AGAIN
Amazing game for trading!
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WOWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE never in my life seen that 3 to win off last ball for aus to win and caught out
review showed waist height no ball
2 off last ball to win
BANG
Some free trading that review sensationalSURELY NEVER AGAIN
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AUS IND W Market starting to believe a little
taken alot out for a big free roll AUS to get it done ! -
Backed AUS W
IND W have this ball swinging under lights
AUS winning streak under the pump
Trading to get some out if aus get odds onwas out driving but did a 1.06 lay to back 1.11
1.2's be outstanding -
Backed IND W o226.5 runs
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Well now... 6 needed from 6, 2 new batsmen in... isn't cricket the best!
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
England W need a record chase at Derby to catch 244... the highest chase I can find at Derby is around 180.
NZ have been taking early wickets in this series.England are still favs at 1.75 so look a good lay.
At this stage its looking like a successful world record chase! There were opportunities to green up mid-innings, hope you had some success!
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England W need a record chase at Derby to catch 244... the highest chase I can find at Derby is around 180.
NZ have been taking early wickets in this series.England are still favs at 1.75 so look a good lay.
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@dan-mackinnon mate I’ve just seen that the Royals won!! F me! My wife had her first day back in the office in over 18 months today and when she got home I just walked away with Kings needing not much at about 6 an over yes Nathan is right mate laying low late you never know what’s going to happen. I think I feel a bit sick now.
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@james-woodroffe something I noticed which had the potential to be huge was Nathan’s point about laying low odds. PK were 1.01 just before the Pooran wicket. With the way things were going it made sense they would go on to win, but it’s never a given with that many balls still to be bowled. In the end it quickly drifted in the last over and was above 3 before the last ball was bowled.
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@dan-mackinnon nice one mate and pretty much spot on. I got into trouble when KL Rahul launched the newbie in the 4th over and my position quickly turned Red. I had stayed on the Royals back because 186 is a pretty steep chase and was just looking for 1 wicket before the openers settled. RR bowled well to start with (first 3 overs) and the run rate was already over 10. KL got dropped on 2 and that could have changed everything (never mind the other two times they dropped him) the 16 off 3 balls in the 4th over changed everything. I got out for 2 points Red and then clawed it back as PK hit the 10 over target and were never bothered after that. It’s a tricky one for me to gage getting KL cheaply changes the dynamics of the entire innings letting someone of that quality off the hook does likewise.
Well done tho mate you read it really well -
Today’s IPL game was a great learning experience following on from James, Darri and Nathan’s post. I didn’t trade it but was making a note of the odds every time something happened.
1st innings, batting team was going well by the 10 overs mark. Odds around 1.6. Once they started hitting sixes as Tom said probably would have been a good exit as it dropped down about 1.3 before a bit of a collapse but made it past 180. RR finished innings around 1.64.
2nd innings, slow start so odds dropped again to 1.54 as James suggested. But Darri’s 2nd bit of advice to compare the batting with the 1st innings, PK were roughly 10 runs ahead with no loss and the 10th over really went for it. Backing PK would have been good as they were around 1.50.
As they pushed on, Nathan’s advice of laying low odds for hardly any risk at this stage. Once they hit 1.10 it was then jumped up after a wicket to 1.3.
Finally, the temptation to fanboy trade Pooran was avoided.
Is that how you guys try to trade T20? Also thanks so much for sharing your advice!!