BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe. Are they expecting to lose days 4 and 5? I only have 20 tests in my data sheet from Sri Lanka... 19 results tho.
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Just having a quick look ahead and the draw price for the Sri Lanka v West Indies test match is at 3.40. Thunderstorms are expected for days 4 & 5 but draws in SL are very rare.
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@james-woodroffe. Cheers James. Lol it's very gimmicky but worth a look.
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@matt-ayles. Thanks for the feedback Matt, I'll definitely include that. I know of horse racing tipsters who will add comments like the horse was suited or not suited on the day either by bias, tempo or other. Especially when looking back questioning the result when previous form or conditions were sound.
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@andy maybe take in the Power Boost that they use for the BBL where sides get a bonus point if they outscored the opposition after 10 overs. It’s a bit gimmicky but it could add something for you.
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@Andy expanding on Martins point, I'd consider putting in a comments box where you could add a key piece of information such as "the teams strongest batsman was injured (Jason Roy)" or "their death bowler was injured (Tymal Mills)" etc...
It's not vital, but in a years time when analysing the data, and you see a shock result that messes up your figures, a reminder note like that may allow you to remove that shock result from your thinking. -
Hi Guys. 1st time posting on the forum outside of introductions. I'm in the process of rebuilding a BBL data sheet. Previously I'd only really looked at SP data, home and away just looking at trends very top level. I've got a sheet built with home and away, SP, venue, 1st inn score, 2nd inn score, winning total, bat or chase won and if they were fav to do so. I'm going to add if it was a night or day game also. In your experience is there something else I should add?
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End of the WC... Frustrating to trade given the number of one sided games, but made some good progress this tournament.
Could only trade 15 games and ended + 18 points (excluding outrights).
Most importantly, only had 3 losses and the average loss was only 0.9 points. This was where I really wanted to improve on after the IPL.
Making some slight refinements to entry points and staking
For the first time, I'm starting to see the effect of a slow and steady accumulation...Outrights were a shocker...I had England, India and West Indies dutched, and got on Pakistan after they beat India. Fortunately I traded out of Pakistan during the Aus game so didn't lose any there. Lost 6 points on this market
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles I think 11/12 chasing teams have won here in this tourney.
Indeed. They were a very backable price at around 2.2 early on in the chase, and once Warner and Marsh got going you could green up any time from the 8th over to the end, whenever you fancied!
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Australia
you little bloody beauty!!! -
And AUS smashed it, fairly easy game to trade really only regret is not adding to NZ lay when they were at 1.5
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Highest chases at Dubai, 180 by Afghanistan v UAE and 177 by Oz in this tournament against Pakistan... The market suggests Oz won't do it... what do we think?
Game on I say, think Aus can clinch it but all credit to NZ this tournament
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Highest chases at Dubai, 180 by Afghanistan v UAE and 177 by Oz in this tournament against Pakistan... The market suggests Oz won't do it... what do we think?
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Australia and NZ need to differentiate their flags a bit more!
When i was at school i used to tell myself that Australia were the big island and had the big star. Only way I could remember.
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I'm guessing the toss will be a big trading opportunity today given the huge advantage of batting second, fastest finger first! Also hoping we see more low odd lays on the bowling team during the chase.
20 tick drop roughly
