BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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The Victorian in me would love to see Harris score runs today, the trader side of me would love it if we were 5 down by lunch.
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Small
BACK to LAY DRAW after Lyon wicket
Long term expectation AUS score millions and ENG try a repeat of Adelaide and can full flip and then LAY DRAW lower odds
If doesn’t happen always got a void covid market on your side ha -
IF and its a big IF, England can somehow bowl us out for around 300 they get themselves back in the test match and a little light at the end of the tunnel. I'm not convinced England are that bad I personally think that some of them are tired. I can't remember a captain since Alan Border possibly Brian Lara who's had so much pressure on them to score and put their side into some semblance of hope. If the England bowlers can stand up today who knows.
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Weird all this testing of healthy people
Draw the line move on worldHere here
now let’s make some money. I’ve laid Oz at 1.16 England have to show something today. The Ashes are gone but they have to show up and give themselves a fighting chance to claw back their way. -
Weird all this testing of healthy people
Draw the line move on world -
@dan-peacey said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Breaking news, a family member of the England cricket team has tested positive for covid.
Actually it was a false positive because PCR testis are not a diagnostic test. The sooner we stop wetting our pants because of a highly faulty testing procedure which is now a billion dollar industry the sooner we can all get back to normal. Testing people who are asymptomatic because boxes need to be ticked is ridiculous and why we are still in this crap. Thank god a semblance of common sense has prevailed. Bring on Day 2.
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@matt-ayles yep just read that. Only chance of a draw gone.
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@dan-peacey said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Breaking news, a family member of the England cricket team has tested positive for covid.
All players negative but arrived later than planned.
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Breaking news, a family member of the England cricket team has tested positive for covid.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
The market seems wedded to the idea that this match is going to be a draw, but I reckon there could be some tasty lay prices tomorrow. Even today, 1.64 seems a ridiculous price.
India have batted well today and look like they're trying to set a big number. Even with a full days play missed (if that happens) the way they've gone about their business today I'd fancy a result.
After looking at the Weather forecasts, and knowing the weather patterns of the area, i get the feeling that they may well get in a couple of hours play during tomorrow between the showers and thunderstorms. If they can also gain an extra hour a day on days 3,4,5, then we are close to getting a full 5 days play in. As i said earlier, i think India will likely declare with circa 470 on board early on day 3 (unless, of course, they decide to bat as long as poss with a view to bowling SA out twice - however, this tactic may be slightly flawed should they adopt the latest strategy given the option of a follow on, and bat again . Thats something to be aware of.)
TBH, with the exception of De Kock,Edgar and Markham, the likes of Petersen (test average of 14), VD Dussen,Bavuma, Mulder are not quite Smith,Amla,Kallis,ABDV,Du Plessis !
Plus also, India have probably one of the best Test bowlers in Bumrah at their disposal too.
TBH, i dont quite understand the LTD odds, quite boggling to me, and feel that most people are believing that there is going to be a total wipe-out of tomorrow, without understanding the possibility of extra play on the other days, which all look good. In my view, SA will likely have to bat for best part of 3 days to get a draw - which will take a lot of doing.Oh, and also, Centurion is known to be a pitch which gets quicker as the Test goes on.
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SA’s batting to me does look a little thin and India has an awesome attack. They’ve set themselves up where anything less than 400 will be deemed a disappointment.
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
The market seems wedded to the idea that this match is going to be a draw, but I reckon there could be some tasty lay prices tomorrow. Even today, 1.64 seems a ridiculous price.
India have batted well today and look like they're trying to set a big number. Even with a full days play missed (if that happens) the way they've gone about their business today I'd fancy a result.
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No Kohli statement innings then
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Does anyone else think given the fact he’s been canned as ODI skipper and seems to have an issue with Ganguly that Kohli could be in for a statement innings? Draw price is looking a tasty lay that’s for sure will be interesting to see just how juicy it gets.
Entered at 1.74.
Home sweet home after a day at the in-laws. Looking forward to more food and drink before a power nap this evening and day 2 of the Ashes. -
The market seems wedded to the idea that this match is going to be a draw, but I reckon there could be some tasty lay prices tomorrow. Even today, 1.64 seems a ridiculous price.
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@stuart-wallace ruled out for the series.
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Just noticed Nortje isnt playing - assume he is injured?
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@stuart-wallace brilliant
Missed the 1.5’s
Still seems a good LAY THE DRAW and more of back to 1.6’s -
(SA) Weather looks like holding out for today, and maybe get in a couple of hours tomorrow afternoon. Weather for days 3,4 and 5 look like being full days, so, could be a 4 and half day Test what with some catchup hours on days 3,4,5 maybe - so, in the end, probably not a lot of play lost overall.
Can see India getting close to 300 today, and maybe 400/450 early on day 3. If they do get to 450, lets say, and get 2-3 wickets early on a helpful pitch after a bit of sweating after the rain then can see the Draw odds going out - hope so, else i am on for a big red !
Lesson learnt from this one - dont place any trades until at earliest the morning of the match. !! -
I had laid the draw in SA around 2s so early wickets would help. I'm working today and its going to be very busy in the sporting world so just gonna let it ride a few days.
That's the beauty of test cricket, it can all change in 1 session.
