BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@matt-ayles yeah i wouldn't be sweating that
sounds like good trading to me
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With my inexperience, at this point I'm sat on +3.5 points across all 3 outcomes. At the current odds I could remove the draw amount for an extra 0.5 points but in my head that doesn't sound like value...
What would a more experienced trader do there?
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Had a smart ass trade
Backed ENG 50 green up @30 when start 8/0whoops ha abort to DEC should of
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Doesn't look like Australia will get anywhere near the 100 runs some were anticipating in the first session, but I don't think that will have any real impact on the game. It's more a question of timing for them; they'll want to bat until the lights come on and have a go at taking two or three wickets before the close. Very few teams come back from that sort of position on the final days of Test matches - and that goes doubly for an England batting line up which is very short of confidence. I think it will take a major collapse even now to move the Australian win price any significant amount.
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Jos the enigma
Howcome on man
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Life got in the way and couldn't trade day 3...Looked like a great day for trading with some massive swings and predictable batting from England
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@stuart-wallace think be hard to expect the AUS market to drift a whole lot now until ENG show some fight with the bat markets will move fast in 4th INNS
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Aus to Bat till tea or just after tmr with 4-450 lead
wonder what the odds are then
thinking not to far off current hense a LAY im comfortable with
couple quick poles by ENG be great
280 ahead at EOP. So, would expect 100 runs min in first session tomorrow (Eng made 120 today - but it was an earlier start) , then they will throw the bat in middle session to be 500 ahead by Tea, declare at, or just before Tea, and then ENG at least 2-4 wickets down by EOP.
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NEVER LEAVE THE DEASK NEVER LEAVE THE DESK HAHA that was a full bank green light lay change inns and easy remove red almost double the odds 1.14-1.28 example
Always learning
as it is got in at 1.19 and looking for 1.3 remove red and monitor
if doesn't and market goes back to 1.19-1,15 i'll cop it and hold for another angle -
@stuart-wallace key factors be ENG get a chance for wickets and with AUS batting to set there total more time is taken from the game with still AUS needing 10 wickets for the win
so in that regard
the 1.14 price was madness at change of INNS -
Thank you England that was a lovely way to spend a couple of hours.
Greened up now and more than likely going to relax for the rest of the test now. -
Aus to Bat till tea or just after tmr with 4-450 lead
wonder what the odds are then
thinking not to far off current hense a LAY im comfortable with
couple quick poles by ENG be great
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I've LAY AUS here for a while see what happens
surely we dont see 4-5 runs per over stuff -
OZ to bat again
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opourtunity for wickets in hard conditions
missed a trick me wasn't paying attention
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OK, how does this work?
AUS get ENG all out, yet AUS go out from 1.14 to 1.2 and draw comes in from 8 to 7.Dont make sense to a newbie like me !?
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could be all she wrote for trading
if enforced and ENG 2 down quickly reckon could get a super cheap lay in basically back root and malan for a period of time again
if not all good happy days
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Commentators saying bowlers are fresh, and after England skittled Aus out cheaply last time they should enforce the follow on as it then won't allow England back in
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enforcing maybe pointless if eng guts out a hour here
slight hint of showers tmr ?think this test points towards eng second INNS tmr night
.., or not ha
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Deja vu this....... we need a 3 Roots and Malans.
Should it get there, do we think Aus will enforce the follow on or bat again to rest the bowlers?
I suppose normal etiquette is not to enforce, but Glenn Mcgrath suggesting that they may well do this time being that it is a day nighter.
