BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@stuart-wallace In Bet Angel if you click on the profit/loss (green/red) column where you want to close the trade on England, it will 'hedge' your bet in that column only. This won't effect the other bets you have on in Australia or The Draw.
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wanker
was looking forward first hour tmr and aus price maybe shooting upall good
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@stuart-wallace regarding your England trade. It sounds like it could be a similar situation to what I said on the horse racing. If you back and lay England you’ll only win if that outcome occurs. To guarantee profit you’ll need to green over all outcomes. As England’s chance of winning diminishes so does your profit.
I don’t use Bet Angel so can’t help you on how you can green up without impacting the LTD trade
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@stuart-wallace you can make money on DRS but its hard have to be sniper quick
i dont bother
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace points are basically another word for percentage. 1 point is 1% of whatever your total bankroll is... so if your bank is £100 thats £1. Its just a way to discuss our trades without the actual financial numbers as we are all at very different places in the journey so if you won 5 points but to you that was £5, that is a better trade than someone who won £100 but that was only 1 point...
As for bet angel I'm afraid I cannot help you as I have never used it.
Thanks Matt
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@stuart-wallace points are basically another word for percentage. 1 point is 1% of whatever your total bankroll is... so if your bank is £100 thats £1. Its just a way to discuss our trades without the actual financial numbers as we are all at very different places in the journey so if you won 5 points but to you that was £5, that is a better trade than someone who won £100 but that was only 1 point...
As for bet angel I'm afraid I cannot help you as I have never used it.
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Aus to Bat till tea or just after tmr with 4-450 lead
wonder what the odds are then
thinking not to far off current hense a LAY im comfortable with
couple quick poles by ENG be great
280 ahead at EOP. So, would expect 100 runs min in first session tomorrow (Eng made 120 today - but it was an earlier start) , then they will throw the bat in middle session to be 500 ahead by Tea, declare at, or just before Tea, and then ENG at least 2-4 wickets down by EOP.
Not a bad (obvious) guess.
ANother simple question....is it possible to make money from DRS? - for example, if , on watching the wicket given lbw, but its obvious from your own eyes that it ,say, pitched outside leg, you could possibly beat the 5 second rule on Betfair and make money on the market rebound.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
With my inexperience, at this point I'm sat on +3.5 points across all 3 outcomes. At the current odds I could remove the draw amount for an extra 0.5 points but in my head that doesn't sound like value...
What would a more experienced trader do there?
Hi Matt, how do points get calculated ?
Also, and this is going to sound like a real stoopid question for you seasoned guys.....i made a small back and then lay with a small profit for England on day 1, but now i see the green amount on Bet Angel on left diminishing almost down to zero - what has happened to my profit?
I havnt greened out during the whole game as i wanted to let other trades (LTD) run . -
find a way ENG 2 down to stumps 3 at worst and it burns next out would love a fight and more trading angles
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@matt-ayles yeah i wouldn't be sweating that
sounds like good trading to me
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With my inexperience, at this point I'm sat on +3.5 points across all 3 outcomes. At the current odds I could remove the draw amount for an extra 0.5 points but in my head that doesn't sound like value...
What would a more experienced trader do there?
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Had a smart ass trade
Backed ENG 50 green up @30 when start 8/0whoops ha abort to DEC should of
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Doesn't look like Australia will get anywhere near the 100 runs some were anticipating in the first session, but I don't think that will have any real impact on the game. It's more a question of timing for them; they'll want to bat until the lights come on and have a go at taking two or three wickets before the close. Very few teams come back from that sort of position on the final days of Test matches - and that goes doubly for an England batting line up which is very short of confidence. I think it will take a major collapse even now to move the Australian win price any significant amount.
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Jos the enigma
Howcome on man
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Life got in the way and couldn't trade day 3...Looked like a great day for trading with some massive swings and predictable batting from England
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@stuart-wallace think be hard to expect the AUS market to drift a whole lot now until ENG show some fight with the bat markets will move fast in 4th INNS
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Aus to Bat till tea or just after tmr with 4-450 lead
wonder what the odds are then
thinking not to far off current hense a LAY im comfortable with
couple quick poles by ENG be great
280 ahead at EOP. So, would expect 100 runs min in first session tomorrow (Eng made 120 today - but it was an earlier start) , then they will throw the bat in middle session to be 500 ahead by Tea, declare at, or just before Tea, and then ENG at least 2-4 wickets down by EOP.
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NEVER LEAVE THE DEASK NEVER LEAVE THE DESK HAHA that was a full bank green light lay change inns and easy remove red almost double the odds 1.14-1.28 example
Always learning
as it is got in at 1.19 and looking for 1.3 remove red and monitor
if doesn't and market goes back to 1.19-1,15 i'll cop it and hold for another angle -
@stuart-wallace key factors be ENG get a chance for wickets and with AUS batting to set there total more time is taken from the game with still AUS needing 10 wickets for the win
so in that regard
the 1.14 price was madness at change of INNS
