BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Nathan Bennett

First bet
SRI runs over 229
early in the partnership happy to gamble and may go again in the 40th overs assess

if another quick wicket shortly maybe a aus lay at stupid low odds for a swing

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Aus lay going well so far... oh dear. Will see if there's any sign of a SL partnership but may be an early exit here.

Nathan Bennett

Wonder if marnus bowls
Pitch looks similar to game 3
Bounce and spin first INNS

Nathan Bennett

What a dick

Stuart Wallace

Russell Arnold thinks good pitch - 260 par. Certainly looks good.

Hasaranga in and also Cummins

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Australia to chase.

Nathan Bennett

AUS SRI
standard stuff attempting 5 ticks pre game laying the favs aus if bat first after initial market reaction
Toss is huge if pitch is similar to game 3 , think win toss and chase surely
AUS down in the series (so good to see)

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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@nathan-bennett i got in at 3.8 and out at 3.05 - now sitting with nice green to play with.

Likewise mate. Few points of green to play with. I'd actually like to see any of the 3 options go sub 1.5 on day 1 or 2 for a lay.

Stuart Wallace

@nathan-bennett i got in at 3.8 and out at 3.05 - now sitting with nice green to play with.

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So, Im thinking if sri bats first it would be a good idea, to lay aus (or back sri). Sri was quite a problem for aus. Your thoughts?

Nathan Bennett

@stuart-wallace sorry just saw very bottom question . Got in 3.85 just took 25% of red out 3.2
Plenty equity now to see how things unfold . No feel for how low could go
But if rain is on horizon definitely say day 2 onwards
I prob wouldn’t abort draw back just yet
Day 1 wickets may not budge market

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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

The weather isn’t looking too bad from what I can see during play, I’d expect as usual it won’t be as bad as early forecasts predict,we might lose 1 or 2 sessions. Hopefully the price will keep hammering in, odds of 3 is a massive value lay for Headingley in my opinion

Yes, my thoughts as well Tom. however, my App says continuous breaks from days 2 to 5. Also, neither side has an incentive to win.

England will 100% play to win, I tend to not lay the draw before the off these days and like to wait and see how the game develops

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This Australia v Sri Lanka series has been great for trading, interesting to see how stubborn the market is and keeping aussie price low, hopefully more of the same tomorrow, would like Aus to bat first again for run lines and then lay the s**t out of them sub 1.4

Stuart Wallace

@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

The weather isn’t looking too bad from what I can see during play, I’d expect as usual it won’t be as bad as early forecasts predict,we might lose 1 or 2 sessions. Hopefully the price will keep hammering in, odds of 3 is a massive value lay for Headingley in my opinion

Yes, my thoughts as well Tom. however, my App says continuous breaks from days 2 to 5. Also, neither side has an incentive to win.

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The weather isn’t looking too bad from what I can see during play, I’d expect as usual it won’t be as bad as early forecasts predict,we might lose 1 or 2 sessions. Hopefully the price will keep hammering in, odds of 3 is a massive value lay for Headingley in my opinion

Stuart Wallace

i worked in Leeds for 2 years - i could count on the fingers of 2 hands the total number of sunny days we had. Even forecasting Fog on Saturday !

Stuart Wallace

@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace cheers for that could be a back to lay kick things off

exactly what i'm doing, and gonna keep a regular eye on the forecast.

I backed at 3.8 and now 3.4 - obviously people now looking at the worsening weather situation.
What do you think it could go to ?
I'm thinking of greening up at 3.1 .

Stuart Wallace

@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace cheers for that could be a back to lay kick things off

exactly what i'm doing, and gonna keep a regular eye on the forecast.

Nathan Bennett

@stuart-wallace cheers for that could be a back to lay kick things off

Stuart Wallace

@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

Leeds early forecast any weather guru’s out there

Nathan,

Weather looks grim for Leeds for this weekend with my App (XC Weather) with 14.6 mm (6 inches !) forecast for Sat night !
Apart from Thursday, which looks clear, it seems that Leeds will be affected by rain every day.

I beleieve Headingley has the new drainage system , so might not be too much affected however outfield will be very wet.
The LTD price has been reflected in this, and is currently at 3.85.