BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Very surprised to see the draw starting out at a very low 3.7 in the final Test between England and New Zealand.
There has been just one draw in the last 21 Test played at Headingley and, although there may be the occasional shower tomorrow afternoon, it seems very unlikely the weather will play a major part here.
Add to that the fact we have two very attack minded sides competing in Leeds, and I reckon if - as often happens - the draw price contracts during the opening exchanges, we might even get to lay around 3.0, which would be amazing value.
The loss of James Anderson is a blow, but Jamie Overton will at least reduce the length of the England tail, while the long overdue call up of Neil Wagner will excite the Black Caps' fans.
Kane Williamson returns to skipper the Kiwis, but he's been badly out of form so far this year so that isn't necessarily a game changer.
With temperatures set to hit a balmy 27 degrees, whoever wins the toss will surely bat first and I'm sure their price will tumble. I always try to get on that move to get a little bit of green on the board before the match gets underway.
While I'm on, I am very surprised to see Surrey available at 1.8 in tonight's T20 Blast match against Sussex at Hove. Yes, the league leaders have players missing, but as a big Sussex fan I can tell you they've been woeful in white and red ball cricket this season, while cricket's 'moneybags' have been carrying all before them. I'd love to see Luke Wright & Co upset the applecart, but I see it as a pretty remote chance.
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Green is green, but I wish I’d held my nerve for the second and third wicket at Northants
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@stuart-wallace yeah it gives confidence that it can be done. I still make silly mistakes but they are fewer and further between luckily.
I'd love to do this professionally but i need to firstly build a bank, and secondly believe it can be done.
Anyway, we have a test match to look forward to tomorrow, and thanks to the weather I'm starting with 2 points green before a balls been bowled. Thats a nice feeling!
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@matt-ayles good thats its a consistent profit recently.
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@stuart-wallace honest answer? I had been struggling! Up until April I wasn't getting there, had plenty of months where i was actually down. April was great with the IPL, +30. May was really up and down +10. June so far is +15 after todays efforts.
I've been with BTC about a year now and its only these last few months where I've been making consistent profit. Very positive and I feel I'm understanding cricket trading alot better now but I'm constantly trying to learn.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace still a great effort mate. My monthly target is only 20 points lol.
I was +2 points on England today which was pleasing, usually i stop at +1 but felt there was enough market movement to repeat the effort.@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace still a great effort mate. My monthly target is only 20 points lol.
I was +2 points on England today which was pleasing, usually i stop at +1 but felt there was enough market movement to repeat the effort.Out of interest, how are you doing with the 20 point target?
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@stuart-wallace still a great effort mate. My monthly target is only 20 points lol.
I was +2 points on England today which was pleasing, usually i stop at +1 but felt there was enough market movement to repeat the effort. -
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace 20 points?! Wow. I usually deal with 1s and 2s lol. Probably why it's taking me so long to build the bank. Excellent stuff mate.
sorry mate, a bit of finger trouble , it was 10 - but as i said its on a tiny bank.
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@stuart-wallace 20 points?! Wow. I usually deal with 1s and 2s lol. Probably why it's taking me so long to build the bank. Excellent stuff mate.
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Good Green on the NED game..... about 10 points (on a tiny bank), looking for that time to go for big bank , feel its not far away now.
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@stuart-wallace yes mate. DLS results are still wins/losses on the match market.
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As a slight aside, does anyone know if Betfair accepts a D/L result as a result?
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Payne bowled well.
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what a balls up one runs line bet good second unlikely
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@stuart-wallace suspect these all overcast conditions surely ha #swing
No Jimmy injured
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First innings scores at Headingley for last 5 Tests...
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@stuart-wallace nice work !! my main thought process start this series was that the NED batters wern't hopeless .. they made me a stack v the West Indies put together some fine partnerships at the top so had me think 1.03 eng seemed an opourtunity for a in and out scenario
you could be quite right in thoughts on NED best batter , NED lower order did real well to put a score on board other game .., so yes another lay to back scenario could produce itself
eye on if the two at the crease if settled looking to rotate strike etc and feel the price is right to hook in
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Thoughts at moment is that NED's best batter is Edwards (imo) , so might look to Back NED when they are 4 down (he is coming in no 6), on the thought that there is more ticks ?
Maybe there will be a point where backing ENG becomes viable ? -
@kevin-gedny said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles well they certainly drifted, hope someone benefited
I got a small green, layed at 1.05 after missing the start of the game, and bottled out at 1.09 - still, green is green !
It's been an interesting experience though listneing to Nathan and Matt and their thoughts and has given me another strategy to think about when we get these 1 sided games on a good track.
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@matt-ayles well they certainly drifted, hope someone benefited
