BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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West Indies are so s**t
Didn’t lay the starting price
Next time be a don’t think just bet -
@stuart-wallace-0 Don't forget there will be extra playing hours over the final two days to make up for the time lost yesterday, so Australia will feel time is on their side. England's ageing spearhead looked very tired yesterday and, unless there are early wickets this morning, I can see the Aussies making runs at a steady pace today and possibly setting England a record breaking run chase at tea, or just afterwards. England will certainly go for it but they'll need Root to be at his resilient best - not showing the scattergun approach he displayed in the first innings - to have any realistic chance. England are fielding the longest tail I can remember; Broad coming in at six wickets down illustrates that perfectly.
Laying the draw at 7.2 already looks a gift, but if Australia start strongly today, there's a decent chance the price will get even shorter, even though in my estimation the true odds should be around 25/1.
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Have traded this game appallingly, and still showing a small red.
However, should still get a small green. - thats the beauty of trading Test Cricket.AUS currently 220 ahead, should be 400 at least by tea tomorrow, then put ENG in with hour to go with circa 500 lead.
Else ENG bowl well and keep it down to 400.
Either way, in my eyes, there will be a result. Obviously will be if ENG are chasing 400, but scenario could be that Cummins takes
defensive view because of Bazball and just bats ENG out of it, and doesnt declare til morning of day 5.
Draw price coming in mainly coz of rain, but 2 days of full sunshine now. -
Run rate bring this draw down ?
AUS could say be 280-300 ahead two days to go
Could bat on till after lunch day 4
So
Perception
Maybe see draw odds tumble in to lay decently in that 6-5 range some point -
@Richard-Futter any chance bad light today
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@Nathan-Bennett Good move. Look good bowling conditions and if England don't take three or four wickets in the next session they will only have themselves to blame. Would be nice if the draw price could come in a bit though, as there's no way there won't be a positive result in this match. Ideally a lay at around 6 would be golden.
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Incredible scenes lords really
after day 1and2 greenBack in laying AUS 1.4
will go again if 1.2 ish -
@Stephen-Hancox said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Looks like perhaps rain at Lords about 2ish. If England can bat until then and play gets stopped then I'm thinking the draw price could be at layable levels again. Doesn't look like too much rain about last 2 days.
Good job I said 'if'. How quickly things can change.
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SRI LANKA v NED
LAYING SRI 1.65
hope to LAY NED 1.65 as wellhappy days great partnership
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Mental stroke play we're witnessing
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Sounds like LYON is toast forsure
Athers made a good point
And
I felt Cummins was already a puss when came to declarations .., now he’ll be more edgy knowing no Lyon 4th 5th days -
Damn was looking forward to laying ENG 1.8 ish
Great catch
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Looks like perhaps rain at Lords about 2ish. If England can bat until then and play gets stopped then I'm thinking the draw price could be at layable levels again. Doesn't look like too much rain about last 2 days.
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NZ v SRI W
NZ 1.04 7500 lay
want
1.08 for 5000 back then monitor the PPdisapointing close to 1.08
say a loss here make me even for this series which also annoying
G1 minimal winnings ruined own trades not holding on and here G2 just didnt happen best player golden didnt help -
So painful when miss a opportunity
Had noted SRI LANKA massive lay if bat first early overs
1.12-1.4/5's missed grrr
Ohwell
Only 1000 more games in year to go -
typical recovery time for Calf injury is 6-8 weeks
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Fell asleep before tea
Please inform me more of Lyon injuryOk calf
Wow -
@Matt-Ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Followed @Nathan-Bennett with the Aus lay earlier, have now greened that up.
Ideally like to lay the draw but the price is too high for me. Maybe England can bat 2 sessions tomorrow, bring it in a bit.
The way ENG bat, if they do bat for 2 sessions, then expect them to be 100 runs ahead by tea. If they have enough wickets left, then expect a declaration some hour before EOD with a 150 lead , its Stokes's style. Might be getting ahead of myself here !
Would put AUS under big pressure, also prob Lyon wont bat (not thats he is likely to score many runs anyway, though he did participate in partnership with Cummins for first Test.). -
Followed @Nathan-Bennett with the Aus lay earlier, have now greened that up.
Ideally like to lay the draw but the price is too high for me. Maybe England can bat 2 sessions tomorrow, bring it in a bit.
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Fascinating test match , finely poised.
Lyons injury may well mean him being out of the Ashes, would be a huge loss to the Aussies.
Especially in the 4th innings of this game.
Great fightback from ENG today.
