BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Fraser-cord Yes, i was thinking the same way and steered my trading towards AFG v IRE instead. Actually made a good green too. Basically stayed clear of first 6 overs concerned about IRE openers (batting and bowling) and then just piled on AFG once they'd gone through the 145 mark - it worked well.
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@Stuart-Wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Any thoughts on PSL final today?
Multan v Islamabad.Ive followed a bit of the PSL without putting much money on. Hasnt really followed any of the usual 20/20 trends in the matches ive seen.
Currently watching AFG vs IRE. If yesterday is anything to go by, could be some good chances.
In Sharjah, if the 1st innings score is above 145, team batting 1st has won 16/19. If its under, team batting 1st has lost almost everytime.
So given how IRE started yesterday then folded, watching this closely.
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Any thoughts on PSL final today?
Multan v Islamabad. -
@Stuart-Wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@andrew-page Similarly, i am trialling a strategy that i have been trying to implement for some time now....
Works on using a Bot to manipulate the prices at the correct time...Have a LaytoBack bot that kicks in on the away team at 31 mins prior to start (ie 1 minute before Toss) that has an offset of 8 ticks, and a stop loss of 4 ticks. The idea being that there is always a swing caused by toss - half the time it will come on your side, and you collect the 8 ticks, and 50 per cent of the time you exit via the SL and lose 4 ticks - however, over the 2 games (avearge) you come out with a 4 tick net gain.
The idea of it being on the away team, is that the swing on the away team is going to be greater should they lose the toss.
Had mixed results so far, and the params need to be fettled - however, i am convinced there is a strategy there, as i see the odds change in every game based on the Toss.
Needs strong liquidity and close teams.As i said, i am trialling this , but any input is highly valued. Any way of making a regular profit on the IPL games before the game starts is a real possibility.
If you look at todays game, it 'worked', however.... Peshawar won the toss !!!!
am no cricket expert i have to rely on knowledge of my indian buddy
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@Stuart-Wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@andrew-page Similarly, i am trialling a strategy that i have been trying to implement for some time now....
Works on using a Bot to manipulate the prices at the correct time...Have a LaytoBack bot that kicks in on the away team at 31 mins prior to start (ie 1 minute before Toss) that has an offset of 8 ticks, and a stop loss of 4 ticks. The idea being that there is always a swing caused by toss - half the time it will come on your side, and you collect the 8 ticks, and 50 per cent of the time you exit via the SL and lose 4 ticks - however, over the 2 games (avearge) you come out with a 4 tick net gain.
The idea of it being on the away team, is that the swing on the away team is going to be greater should they lose the toss.
Had mixed results so far, and the params need to be fettled - however, i am convinced there is a strategy there, as i see the odds change in every game based on the Toss.
Needs strong liquidity and close teams.As i said, i am trialling this , but any input is highly valued. Any way of making a regular profit on the IPL games before the game starts is a real possibility.
Coin flip always going to be 50/50 even if it goes against 10 times consecutive odds never change
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@andrew-page Similarly, i am trialling a strategy that i have been trying to implement for some time now....
Works on using a Bot to manipulate the prices at the correct time...Have a LaytoBack bot that kicks in on the away team at 31 mins prior to start (ie 1 minute before Toss) that has an offset of 8 ticks, and a stop loss of 4 ticks. The idea being that there is always a swing caused by toss - half the time it will come on your side, and you collect the 8 ticks, and 50 per cent of the time you exit via the SL and lose 4 ticks - however, over the 2 games (avearge) you come out with a 4 tick net gain.
The idea of it being on the away team, is that the swing on the away team is going to be greater should they lose the toss.
Had mixed results so far, and the params need to be fettled - however, i am convinced there is a strategy there, as i see the odds change in every game based on the Toss.
Needs strong liquidity and close teams.As i said, i am trialling this , but any input is highly valued. Any way of making a regular profit on the IPL games before the game starts is a real possibility.
If you look at todays game, it 'worked', however.... Peshawar won the toss !!!!
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AUS NZ
No live trades at mo
But come on NZ
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Ok laying some NZ 1.4 -
@Nathan-Bennett I considered an NZ lay under 3.0 but a little nervous the pitch is flattening. Also if NZ get a 250+ lead, I would be concerned on OZ chasing it, their batting has been poor.
Excellent Test but glad I havn't gone in again yet, not sure where this match is going. Will see how things start tomorrow then assess.
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RE ENTRY
NZ AUS
Laying NZ 3.15 till stumps -
IND ENG
IND Lay 1.04 see if can get double my money -
NZ AUS
My AUS 1.14 Lay looking good at lunch with aus 8 down
Taken stake out 1.23
See what NZ can do from here
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Taken some 1.42 this is great
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Eye on nz lay under 3 if happens
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Didnt lay NZ instead have no greened up for now 1.8 AUS -
I had my LTD queued at 4.9 for NZ vs AUS, missed it by a couple of ticks. Managed to get some green from earlier entries but gutted to miss the big one. Yet again, it was a given this wasn't going 5 days.
These 60-0 starts just not happening at the moment in tests, but as long as the wickets keep tumbling we are all happy.
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@Nathan-Bennett I saw the draw price around 6.2 when I headed for bed, 34 for none. Nearly layed the draw then....but being a NZer I was quite reluctant to see that price go up because of kiwi wickets! Hard for me to be impartial vs Auz...or anyone for that matter
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Beginning to think the India-England game could easily be over by day three. We're going to need a Headingley-Botham-Willis style miracle to revive this one!
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NZ AUS
Not liking the AUS price at mo
Having a lay 1.14 see if can get stake out at double 1.28 and assess -
NZ AUS
10.5-7.2 Back to Lay Draw will do nicely to set the test trade up
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Fark my kiwis are hopeless
Draw lay house on in the 5’s never in danger
Forgot to re mortgage tho ha -
@andrew-page Had a similar one set up with a bot. Rather than the batting team it was the favorite. (a bot cant tell who is gonna bat first sadly!) Dont know why I stopped doing it. Gonna have to have another look thanks to your post. Cheers
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Good day for the lay the draw strategy. Price didn't really get very low, and the best I could get was a lay at 8.2, but produced my best first day green in a while. I expect there were a few early risers who got a better price?
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@andrew-page Thanks for that Andrew. Great stuff!
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@Richard-Futter spot on spin
