BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Next 50 minutes will be crucial. If NZ can get through without losing any more wickets, they'll be batting in great conditions tomorrow morning and could well be in the box seat.
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@richard-futter yep mass red on draw and BANGO NZ 1 down ... how good is bazz ball . sorry jimmy you not batting your bowling we declare
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Just woken up and, blimey, the match has moved on a lot. Hope some managed to get some good low lays on the draw.
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Lovely stuff NZ ENG
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Worst case of get one more hour play in (think should)
Then no overs lost this test ha
I’ve layed more draw
F&$k itLightning looks magnificent
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Looks like a chance of rain after dinner. Having a nap and hoping for a nice low draw price when I wake up
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I was 500 green on draw
Flipped
Now I’m 500 red on draw and tempted go harder -
Definitely tempted, but just waiting to see what those clouds are up to
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Oath s**t bowling rate
Any draw layers yetSo much money queued to back draw
That 3.25 looked tempting then wicket
Using all draw green to flip and lay now -
23 overs in a session is pretty shoddy.
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Looks like any rain is going to be rather less than predicted yesterday. But with the pitch looking good for batting, the draw price is coming down quite quickly. Still keeping an eye on the radar, in case the rain does arrive and force the price down still further.
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A lot of money wanting to back this draw
Did the old draw back to lay to kick off
Some equity draw market now -
@stuart-wallace-0
Looks really interesting mate. I've not used software before but it seems there is great potential there.
If it overcomes a jumpy move post toss it'll be great. Guess decent liquidity is key to keeping things smooth.
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@richard-futter you’re a gent
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@luke-weston Tauranga is the place to look out for
https://www.metservice.com/maps-radar/rain/radar/bay-of-plenty?range=300&tab=real-time
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@richard-futter best !!
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Thanks Richard, nice summary. Which weather site are you using for NZ?
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The picturesque Bay Oval at the foot of Mount Maunganui is the setting for the first Test between England and New Zealand tomorrow (1am UK time) and traders should be taking a serious look at draw prices on the opening day.
Some reports are forecasting quite a bit of rain on day one, with the danger of thunderstorms, and if they materialise I can see some more of those Test match big swings in the offing.
Currently the draw is priced around 5, but in early trading it has been as low as 2.8. Heavy rain tomorrow and it could easily plunge back close to its previous low, at which point a lay of the draw would offer great value.
The rest of the match should be pretty much rain free and, let's face it, England just don't do draws do they?
All three matches played at this venue have produced emphatic wins, including - extremely surprisingly - an eight wicket win for unfancied Bangladesh last year.
I'll be happy to lay the draw at anything under 4, and will be doubling up if the price falls below 3.
The rain radar in New Zealand has nearly always been very accurate in my experience, so it's well worth keeping it open in your browser.
My only problem is that there's every chance I'll be fast asleep while it's all happening!
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so much cricket on how good
I'm thinking IRE W can roll PAK
ive just had a small set and forget Back of IRE for now
see if can wake early enough for back end match -
Nice stuff
Got a green on windies with ltd as they collapsed today. Picked up greens on psl and bpl as well. All small but slowly building and both the t20s on low risk too which was nice