BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@matt-ayles 1.05 as first trade for 10 ticks been nice ha
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
my IND 1.05 lay took full stake back 1.08
still rolling the 1.10 till stumps
Landed nicely that...
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IND 1.16-1.11 purely robot betfair hoovering no boundaries hit
IND LAY again 1.10 want 1.2 this trade to be infront well for nz batting
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LETS GO NZ
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my IND 1.05 lay took full stake back 1.08
still rolling the 1.10 till stumps
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Cricinfo already talking about Englands record 498... seems a long way off that.
Finally a wicket! Although how many is in form Kohli going to get?!
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@nathan-bennett highest score at Holkar, 418/5.
Highest successful chase, 294.
However there's only been 5 ODIs here... average first innings 307, and the T20 average is 209 so clearly good for batting.
Shame i didn't back India at the toss, 1.36!
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@matt-ayles IND 420 and NZ 35-0 after 4 could make some movement ha
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles this just funny NZ be happy to hold them to 450 haha
i'll lay 1.05 and exit 1.10 if happensThis is what i have attempted. Need a collapse probably, but at this point just boundary free overs will do lol.
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@matt-ayles this just funny NZ be happy to hold them to 450 haha
i'll lay 1.05 and exit 1.10 if happens -
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
IND 1.1O LAY is on
figure winning runs line ha
see what happens till end INNSConsidering a lay myself but its a batting paradise... how low does this price go?
I've also become wary of low lays when the chasing team have a huge total to reach as scoreboard pressure usually causes wickets...
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@stuart-wallace-0
India went 1.36 into 1.31 after being put in to bat... could be india weighting or longer format?
Renegades opted to bowl and went 1.88 to 1.87
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IND 1.1O LAY is on
figure winning runs line ha
see what happens till end INNS -
IND
gee this ground seems lightning fast and short boundaries
couldn't help myself
IND 355+ Slapped 100 onpay me now
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IND NZ dead rubber
IND SP 1.34 looking at below half that for a entry but also when likes of santner and bracewell bowlSTRIKERS RENEGADES
second INNS likely be the go for entries
we see -
@stuart-wallace-0 i wonder if the issue there was that the clear pre match favourite was batting first? A bit like the Aus W last week. 1.01 pre match but only drifted when Pak batted first, and there was very little if not no chance at all that they were going to restrict Aus to a chasable target.
Same with India W yesterday, putting up a target that the Windies didn't have the class to chase down. -
Some excellent stuff here @stuart-wallace-0.
The pre match stuff is excellent, and could be very profitable long term with consistency. I also don't fear liquidity, especially in the more major white ball events (top level internationals to things like the national T20 leagues).
My next question surrounds exit staking...
Purely for ease of numbers lets say you lay £100 @ 1.5, each tick up gives you £1 profit if you back for £100 but only on 1 side of the market, the other remains at £0.
However if you back at £99 in order to generate £1 on the other side your profit is then 50p on the other side (roughly and pre commission etc).Is that how you would do it? A 5 tick movement then gets either £5 or £2.50 each side?
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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Sorry guys, i'm just throwing my thoughts out there, forgive my rambling.
Thinking about automation, i wonder if putting 2 Lays on (1 on both teams) at 31 mins before the game start, and have a Trailing Stop/Loss of , say, 3 ticks on both, and a Tick gain of , say, 9 ticks before exiting the Trade (also with a Trailing Stop/Loss to stop any Trade going back to a negative position) on both?
That way, if you get the (now) expected drift by the batting side then that will just run for 9 ticks, and the Team that bowls will get caught by the Stop/Loss - resulting in a net 6 ticks profit. Which gives a net circa 50 profit on 1k lay.Am i talking bollox here ?
What do you think?EDIT: Have created a Bot for the India v Windies Women game tonight... got a Lay of both sides at 30 mins before Start, and got an Offset Bank at 10 Ticks each side with a Trailing Stop Loss of 3 ticks on both sides - lets see what happens.!
EDIT2: Ah ha, first 'problem'..... India won toss and decided to bat - therefore with the India Weighting effect, it will take a lot to get 10 ticks (ie from 1.09 to 1.19) drift. Never know there might be a wicket or 5. However, the good news is that Fairbot placed 2 Lays at 30 mins before start, so the first part is working.
EDIT3: Well, the Bot did its job, however, both sides kicked in with the Stop/Loss trade - which is not a total disaster...because of the India weighting, there is unlikely to be little drift - be interesting to see what happens on a 'normal' game.
These are the bets placed by Fairbot - not sure why i have duplication of the Trade, but i will sort that out. So, in this instance, the Stop Loss has been activated by Fairbot on both sides - so, this could happen if you dont have a swing of 10 ticks on one side.In simulation mode BTW
For what its worth I have had Fairbot doing the same thing to me with a strategy i created and ran in simulation today, the doubling of the bet seems to be a quirk......someone else had the same issue in the Fairbot thread a couple of days ago but when i tested it the bets didnt duplicate.....might be worth the classic log off and back on before you run the next trial
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace-0 really like this mate.
How quickly after the toss does the market move? Is it a must watch live kind of reaction time?
Exactly what I was about to ask!
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@stuart-wallace-0 really like this mate.
How quickly after the toss does the market move? Is it a must watch live kind of reaction time?
