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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #2041

    @nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    WI SA
    T20
    Laying 1.18 WI
    See what SA do first 4-6 overs in chase assess

    25% stake back 1.32

    Perfect this 👌

    I'm now backing Windies, as (statistically) they aren't going to chase this down. Hopefully a big green incoming.

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #2042

    WI SA
    T20
    Laying 1.18 WI
    See what SA do first 4-6 overs in chase assess

    25% stake back 1.32

    All red out 1.7 WI

    If SA get to 1.4 ish favs prob green up

    What a fill up this is only 3 overs into chase

    All green now and peanut on the tie

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2043

    This Charles innings is seriously impressive.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Joseph Henderson on last edited by
    #2044

    @joseph-henderson the way I've been treating international cricket is assessing the likelihood that the team batting first hit lots of runs (based on ground averages etc).

    Then, like the T20 going on right now, see if the team who are favourites are bowling first, against a team quite capable of finding boundaries.

    Today, SA were favourites, yet the Windies chased 131 in just 11 overs yesterday, and are known for their hitting. Statistically it was more likely that the Windies hit runs than SA bowl them out cheaply in this format. Therefore a lay of SA was absolutely the right call.

    It's not perfect, it doesn't work every time, but i follow statistics... what's more likely? Then if it goes wrong, just exit and move on.

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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joseph Henderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #2045

    I have been trying the lay both teams at 1.40 on some T20 matches and having some good success. Does anyone have any guidance/tips on match selection rather than just selecting all/any T20 matches? Cheers

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #2046

    Wasn’t able to post
    But again shorter formats
    The old angle spin to win
    IND chasing got very low before spin came on
    #happensalot

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #2047

    ZIM NED
    LAYING ZIM 1.09
    Want 1.3’s

    Fail

    Woweeeeeee

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2048

    @jonathan-west I think so. If it was me I would set them both to 1, and test it. Then set it to 2 and test it. Shouldn't take long for you to see what is happening and why.
    Good luck with it.
    ET

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2049

    @eero-tarik Hi and thanks for the info. I downloaded the Cricket - 1.1 lay to back strategy and simply assigned it to the matches. I've just assigned it to the zimbabwe netherlands match and within a minute, 20 lay bets are trying to be matched and 40 back bets:

    0_1679391863837_08278f5b-7741-481c-8128-8774cf93af44-image.png

    I've noticed the execution count is set to 100. might this be the reason? the repeat on success is also enabled and set to 100.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2050

    @jonathan-west I am not sure what bot you are using but there is usually a setting in these things that allows you to place one bet and then not place the next bet until the 1st has been matched.
    You can usually limit the number of bets or amount of total exposure as well.
    Not sure if that helps, but... 🙂

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2051

    @stuart-wallace-0 Hi Stuart. I implemented the 1.1 bot this weekend and today. It's been an interesting experiment!. three games traded and three greened up profitable results (all in simulation mode). The strange thing about it though is that it seems to be firing in multiple bets simultaneously and I can't figure out why. This would obviously get rid of my bank very quickly and I'm sure it's an easy tweak. Have a look at the image which shows 56 and 28 bets waiting to be matched. Any ideas on what's going on and how to remedy? 0_1679325966077_8018fbba-7303-41ac-b914-f8078e2b34e5-image.png

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #2052

    BANG IRE
    BANG 1.05 MASSIVE LAY
    see if can double it even 1.15 be huge

    25% stake back 1.10

    all red out at 1.10 holding on for 1.2's

    No profits to speak of
    No loss either

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Selina MOURE
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2053

    @stuart-wallace-0 Hi am ver6much interested in your bot 1.1 strategy please can I have the bot you used for this and how to set it up. Can you use on all cricket games or is there a criteria

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #2054

    1.1 layers filling

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #2055

    AUS IND
    LAYING IND 1.52
    what a batting line up
    assess at evens if happens this INNS

    25% stake back @2 IND

    no words

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2056

    @stuart-wallace-0 great bit! I will have a go with it this weekend. Do you use it on all cricket formats or just the shorter versions?

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #2057

    No lights at the Basin pretty sure could be a factor towards th end of the test
    Gees despite rain windy as bowling maybe tricky

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #2058

    Lots of rain in NZ first day by the looks... draw price already low.

    Roughly a third of tests at Wellington end in a draw too according to cricbuzz.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2059

    Morning folks, I'd like to have a discussion with you all and try to see what ideas a group of cricket loving traders can come up with...

    Personally my cricket trading has been good for a while now, but there is one genre that, according to my spreadsheets, continues to lose me money.

    Franchise cricket!

    Franchise cricket is very exciting, and i love watching it, however the strategies that work for me on international cricket (no matter the format) do not work in franchises... and with so much of it available it seems like such a waste not to use it. Strangely the SA20 was ok (not amazing), but the BBL, PSL and WPL have been very poor.

    The IPL starts on 31st March and what I'm looking to do is test a whole host of potential strategies, including one on runs in the first innings which may be possible depending on how betfair works.

    For me, even the 1.1 lay strategies haven't been working in franchises, as by the time it gets that low it's too late and more often drops than bounces.

    Does anyone have any ideas they would like me to test?

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #2060

    @stuart-wallace-0 I have set a 'Repeat on Success' 5 times on the strategy, thoughts being that there could be several 1.1 scenarios during a match, but you are alwaws potentially have the situation (as proved in this test) of the odds going from 1.1 to 1.2. then 1.3 then back down again to 1.1 where it invokes the Stop Loss, therefore i am thinking of simply reducing that to 1 , and just taking any profit from 1 trade without the possible reducing of profit by the stop loss being invoked several times.
    Anybody any thoughts on this?

    EDIT : Have amended it to not Repeat on Success, and set the SL to be a Trailing SL. That way, in this example trade, the price went from 1.1 to 1.3 - therefore the TSL will change to be triggered at 1.27 and placed at 1.24 instead of 1.07 and 1.04 respectively.
    All of this done in SIM mode of course.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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