BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Another 12 overs today, expect another wicket tonight for it go through evens.
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@matt-ayles would love draw to be evens at stumps
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Sri Lanka declare, 212 runs ahead, a day and maybe 15 overs or so to go.
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@matt-ayles hopefully no bad light today get 35 in another 100 tmr
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@nathan-bennett well if you're in doubt as to their intentions SL hit a 6 in the previous over and this one has gone for 16 runs...
Yes it's a test match. Lol
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small bet IRE @200 incase declaration etc and 20-0 start may trim up but hopefully all out for 20 ha
ok
not in tune with this one lol was only small -
Forecast does suggest we're going to lose over in the SL Ire match which is not good news. SL however are going for it in terms of RR so hopefully the forecasters are wrong.
Draw currently 1.4 but will fall off a cliff if the rain comes.
Commentary from the SL coaches though is positive in terms of a declaration should they get a "small" lead.
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looking forward to
PAK NZ ODI series
likely hook in hard at stages -
Agreed. If they can get a 150-200 lead their spinners can skittle the Irish out on an old pitch.
Does look like a reasonable chance of rain however. I'm prepared to LTD though, see how we're looking at tea tomorrow.
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@gavin-rumsey said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Shame about the rain in Sri Lanka. Clear weather and we would be looking at very good chance of a result.
Will come down to weather and how brave SL go on pushing for a result
Yep, interesting situation. SL need to push for a declaration, and put Ireland under pressure - think there may well be enought time , weather permitting, for a result tbh.
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Shame about the rain in Sri Lanka. Clear weather and we would be looking at very good chance of a result.
Will come down to weather and how brave SL go on pushing for a result
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@stuart-wallace-0 thanks for your help mate, i am back in the UK now and will update all my spreadsheets later this evening.
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SRI IRE
Keep this run rate up all Day please -
@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Going away for a few days now.
Any chance someone can make a note of the pre match, post toss odds and the odds at the half way point for both teams in the IPL matches for me please?
will be able to do on Monday and Tuesday. but working other days.
Gujarat v Mumbai...
GT MI
PreToss 1.94 2.08
AfterToss(MI win and bowl) 2.08 1.9
1 min B4 start 2.06 1.96
10 overs 84-2 1.69 2.42
HT 1.15 7.8For me, one thing this shows that there is a concrete strategy to exploit around the PreToss Lay ยจ- just wish i could get it to work !
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forgot about this
but
SRI IRE
laying IRE and stake back higher odds on change of INNS would been easy -
I've had to take a break from in play trading - getting up at 5:00 to watch cricket, with work and a young family is taking its toll, and isn't sustainable for me.
Not giving it up, just heading towards more pre-match markets, using all the stats I have and are continuing to accumulate.
It's given me a chance to test the 1.1 automation: This is version 1 and at it's most simple - Lay at 1.1 and offset at 1.2.
Halfway through the IPL season (with a couple internationals) and results are breakeven, slightly lower than 50% strike rate which we sort of expected. ( I have missed to odd game here and there).For the remainder of the season I'll be trying version 2 - Lay at 1.1, 50 % out at 1.2, and 50 % out at 1.3.
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Sri layed draw 1.52
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Going away for a few days now.
Any chance someone can make a note of the pre match, post toss odds and the odds at the half way point for both teams in the IPL matches for me please?
Sunrisers v Delhi - DC won toss and chose to bat...
pre match post toss odds... SH 1.81 DC 2.26
HT ........................... SH 1.19 DC 6.6 -
@gavin-rumsey said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Not been able to catch enough of the games with work going on. Hopefully the summer brings plenty of UK evening cricket!
work always gets in the way - gonna ditch work for Dec/Jan and Feb and hopefully trade full time in sunnier climes
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SRI IRE
DRAW LAY 2.94
and again
DRAW LAY 2.12
and again
DRAW LAY 1.5