BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Different Weather Apps see different things. XC Weather has no significant rain until 18.00 - and the market seems to reflect that by the Draw drifting somewhat overnight.
Yet, BBC has high risk all day...
One thing is for sure, if there are thunderstorms around, then they wont be on the pitch.
I exited out of my LTD last night, and will stay out for time being. However, i'm sure there is at least 150 overs left in this game through the weather windows, and considering the sum overs of both first 2 innings was 112 overs , also as we are
some 60 per cent(wickets wise) through the game already, then a result is almost a certainty.
Gonna wait a bit though to reenter the LTD to see if the rain does come to see the Draw price come in a touch. -
@Nathan-Bennett At the moment the radar looks fairly clear, but most forecasts are predicting thundery showers pretty much throughout the course of today's playing hours. I would say interruptions are inevitable and it's not inconceivable it could possibly be close to a washout. I'll keep monitoring the radar because, at the moment, it's difficult to tell exactly how it will pan out.
With some rain forecast for tomorrow, and more persistent rain due on Monday, a draw certainly isn't out of the question.... despite WinViz giving it only a 1% chance yesterday.
What usually happens when there's a rain interruption is that the draw price drops quickly, before hitting a support point and going up quite a few ticks. Well worth looking out for.
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@Adam-Cubbage cheers
Wild flucs hopefully
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@Nathan-Bennett
Looking good for rain, should hit about 13.00 -
Let it rain
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Appreciate not now but could Pope have kept wicket if they wanted Bairstow for his bat?
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Forecast is not the best the next 3 days is it? I had a lay of Australia just under 2.0, so wickets and rain are in my favour...
Ideally tomorrow has no play at all to collapse the draw price, then the weather is ok Sunday or Monday and we get a result.
Too much to ask?
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Foakes must be in for the next Test surely!
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@Tony-Hastie said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I layed England at 1.78 at the start of their innings. Didnt post it here because Im new to this and noone else was talking about it. Just felt that if Auz couldnt bat on the pitch(noting all the dropped catches) England would struggle too. Pretty happy with my big fat juicy green now!
I find it utterly bizzare that a team 2 down in the series can shorten so much on day 1 of a 5 day test...
Good one Tony, must admit , if i'd seen ENG at 1.78 i would have layed them, but didnt spot it, primarily because i was working.
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Wonder how low odds AUS go no matter how much of a lead they end up with
Kinda thinking if see 1.7's auto lay for a swing -
Might look to back to lay draw change of INNS if it’s 10-12’s get out 8-7’a
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This gold
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Not even entered a trade yet, thought wickets might be harder to come by. Thought about an England lay at start of innings but didn't take it up.
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Have to say I never trust Met Office forecasts; they're often 100% wrong. BBC tend to be much more accurate in my experience and they're saying a 53-70% chance of rain in every playing hour tomorrow (Sat) and something very similar (if not slightly worse) on Monday. Keeping the radar on the screen permanently will be very much the order of those days.
Having said that, three days will probably be plenty to get this one finished!
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I layed England at 1.78 at the start of their innings. Didnt post it here because Im new to this and noone else was talking about it. Just felt that if Auz couldnt bat on the pitch(noting all the dropped catches) England would struggle too. Pretty happy with my big fat juicy green now!
I find it utterly bizzare that a team 2 down in the series can shorten so much on day 1 of a 5 day test...
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Moeen muppet
Woakes muppet 1min before lunch come on lad
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@Richard-Futter cheers reply .. yes well from 5 down worst case ENG must try to get within 50 of AUS surely wont be wild swinging
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@Gary-Wall said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace-0 Not sure what forecast you use Stuart, but met office says possible rain Sat, Sun and Monday
I use XC Weather, primarily because it gives wind speeds (because i sail),
Its currently now showing a little rain tomorrow at 7am and 7pm, and a touch of rain on Sunday after 13.00
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@Nathan-Bennett Still forecasting thundery rain for Saturday and Monday, so could be some big price swings on those days. Whatever happened to Bazball?
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WI SRI
Last game of super 6
Weird feeling SRI could balls it to a degree with little cbf factor .., that's big to say that V a team that always has that factor ha .SRI LAY 1.14 want 1.3's
and in the chase if SRI get off to fast fast start i'll lay below 1.10 to try double the odds take stake out and monitor
....
10 ticks in front already taken 25% stake out
go on WI
