BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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So sick for ENG that non run out of smith
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I want to lay the draw a lot but the price is still a bit spicy!
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The win predictor has the draw at 4%, but I'm not sure it takes into account Monday's weather forecast. Mind you I don't reckon we'll go past Sunday in any case.
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Broad strikes again! Nice green on AUS lay
Next plan is probably to bide my time and lay the draw if it gets to 5 or below.
Bit quick on the trigger trading out but oh well green is green!
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Labuschagne is making Sir Geoffrey Boycott look like Sir Garfield Sobers. Happy Birthday to the greatest all rounder of all time.
The Aussie tactics are obvious: to bore everyone to death!
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@Karl-Pick Sadly I think it's unlikely we'll see Archer play Test cricket again. His dodgy elbow just won't stand up to it. I think he'll probably end up like his Sussex colleague Tymal Mills and concentrate on T-20. I'm a big fan of Robinson (as a player anyway) but he does have big fitness issues.
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@Stephen-Hancox said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@Richard-Futter I agree we should have stuck with Tongue. For years I've felt we need as much pace as possible to compete, especially in Australia. But I suppose Broad and Anderson have done so well in recent years that it's been difficult to do that. I was totally against bringing Woakes back, but glad we did (for this series).
Think Anderson has had his day-this is One serious too far, crying out for Woods and Archer, think Woakes will fill the void left by Anderson and Broad as he's very Line and Length but can bat which is big advantage, jury out on Tongue and just not keen on Robinson.
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Showers some point
Draw in nicelyCould back to lay for ticks on wickets
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@Richard-Futter I agree we should have stuck with Tongue. For years I've felt we need as much pace as possible to compete, especially in Australia. But I suppose Broad and Anderson have done so well in recent years that it's been difficult to do that. I was totally against bringing Woakes back, but glad we did (for this series).
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I'm with the Aus layers, but we do need to see someone produce the sort of spell Cummins did yesterday. Think we missed a trick by not including Tongue in the team. Much as I love Jimmy A, he hasn't been any kind of threat in this series so far.
Hopefully he'll bag a five-for today and prove me completely wrong!
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@Nathan-Bennett Yeah I'm laying Aus as they're batting, below evens and still 220 behind. Any early wickets will hopefully give a nice swing.
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AUS ENG
I've now flipped all my ENG lay into an AUS lay
not to scared if goes lower be happy to re lay AUS 1.7 and 1.5 for swings
think early stages maybe slow run rate draw could trim if if dips into the low 6's high 5's i'll likely lay all the green on that side at that price for my next move
obviously wickets brings more green on the England side -
@Richard-Futter there's one
One more please
I am dreaming of seeing us turn them over Tomo morning and then sinking pints as we go at them with bat still. Dare to dream!
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Bowling very disappointing. Not much penetration so far.
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@Richard-Futter that was my thinking. Being greedy and waiting a a little to see if it drops.
Ltd is also calling me. Think it's value with another day with cloud cover tomo
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Got to lay Aus here at around 2.... wickets surely have to be a good bet in these conditions
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@David-Milligan Hi David. I never set targets at all because I think sometimes it will result in getting out of a position too soon, and at other times it will mean hanging on for too long and allowing the market to turn against you.
Take the Sri Lanka match which finished yesterday for instance. For me, the draw price around 3.5 was ridiculously low and sure enough after a couple of wickets the price was out to 6 or 7. But it was obvious SL were now throwing in the towel, so it made sense just to allow it to run and take maximum profits.
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@Richard-Futter @Nathan-Bennett @Stuart-Wallace what return on your stake do you aim for? Is 25% back on the liability a reasonable point to exit or do you just judge based on how the match is going?
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Not watching sadly but am going to the Oval Tomo! Can't wait
If the pitch is bowler friendly the odds are suggesting 250 plus would be par/decent I'd say. If Eng can get a couple of partnerships...
Can't be sure till both teams have batted on it eh!
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ENG LAY for me is on
Was tempted when saw odds on but hardly moved in 3 wickets
2.36 involved will again if odds onthis trade i have in mind whats happening right now and conditions tmr if aus are batting
