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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1041

    Not taking singles. Very odd!

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by Richard Futter
    #1042

    I like a lay of the Aussies, and a spot of drip laying if the price drops from 6 looks sound value to me. For one thing the rain is likely to arrive around lunchtime and the price is bound to drift if that's right, and I've seen nothing from the Aussie batsmen all series to convince me they're at all likely to make a score of this magnitude.

    On past evidence, if there's no wicket in three or four overs the Aussie price will probably contract quite quickly, giving even better value.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #1043

    @Nathan-Bennett good point I tend to look at cricket more as check in now and then for obvious opportunities while I'm trading the footy and horses.

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1044

    @Martin agree with you even if aus were to do the ultimate chase that price will still be there some point later in the INNS as wickets fall time elapses etc
    So
    Laying aus nothing wrong with that now shutting laptop off and go for a walk ha same with draw layers

    Bit of green to work with me
    Most green on the aus back at the mo
    Looking to lay them tho at a lower price ha

    Also happy lay England if two early poles at a stupid low price for a swing

    Can’t wait

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #1045

    @Nathan-Bennett do they get unlimited wickets though? It's more the total I am thinking is high 😉

    Like I say of course they could win, I would price this conservatively at 20 and 20 shots win every day on horse racing. Still for me it's a value lay.

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #1046

    AUS need 2.1 ish runs and over to win if no rain
    Prob why price so low
    Day 4 and 5 swings inbound

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to David Milligan on last edited by
    #1047

    @David-Milligan joint 8th highest run chase in history, 100+ runs more than the record at this ground. Yeah I'll take that win or lose at 4.9!

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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Milligan
    wrote on last edited by
    #1048

    Switched all liability to a lay of AUS at 4.9, can't resist at that price with 370+ to chase and bad weather around

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1049

    @Martin 4.2 odds is a lay on Aus out of principle here statistically, could lose of course but not as often as market is suggesting! Hope it gets odds on at somepoint

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1050

    @Martin I've layed again at 4.7

    If Aus start well maybe it goes towards evens. Which would be phenomenal.

    Looks to have started turning a bit. And variable bounce for Murphy. Root has far more exp bowling at this level too.

    Never a certainty but this will need to be a huge effort from Aus. At the end of a tour too. If a few go down they might fold.

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1051

    @Gavin-Rumsey just dripping in small lays here as price shortens! how low can it go?

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1052

    @Gavin-Rumsey defo

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1053

    @Martin I reckon it could drop a decent amount with a declaration or a 20/30 start to the aus innings.

    MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1054

    @Gavin-Rumsey put half stake it then rest when it goes lower

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by A Former User
    #1055

    @Martin and aus under 10!

    Edit. And keep dropping slowly. Couple of wickets more..

    Will YJB take it away from them??

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1056

    @Gavin-Rumsey can't see draw unless loads of rain

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1057

    @Martin I'm in the red on a draw lay. Laying Aus probably an ok hedge!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1058

    @Gavin-Rumsey kind of want to lay now but I know what Stokes is like and it would be sods law for him to declare and it dip well below 10

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1059

    @Martin Big time

    Yesterday the Aussies looked vulnerable when they started looking for runs

    I think... We have batted very very well.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1060

    @Gavin-Rumsey just hoping we get aus below 10 if we declare 263 highest chase here! Only two fourth inning totals over 369 too.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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