The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@ben-dobie not long and all the big leagues will be hitting the filters
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@ben-dobie yh they arent great mate. Norway 2nd tier has been iffy for a while for me. Japan is stayin for time being though, was a bit hasty before when i wanted to remove them.
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Norway and Japanese 2nd tiers both added to the s**t list for 2nd half goals in the space of a day
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD / LCS in the Huddersfield v Notts Forest match. Currently 0-0 at HT
Goal! 1-0
Nice one!
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD / LCS in the Huddersfield v Notts Forest match. Currently 0-0 at HT
Goal! 1-0
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LTD / LCS in the Huddersfield v Notts Forest match. Currently 0-0 at HT
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
another quiet friday, just the one today from lee's sh filter and its Raufoss v Sandnes
not to be. Need to start half staking for a sh goal if 0-0 at HT.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Voluntari behind. Laid Sepsi @ 1.13.
Voluntari have come from behind 2/2 and Sepsi have been ahead 3 times but only managed to win 2.
No cigar there but again, I can take losing at these odds for quite a while.
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Voluntari behind. Laid Sepsi @ 1.13.
Voluntari have come from behind 2/2 and Sepsi have been ahead 3 times but only managed to win 2.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@sam-maccuaig said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@terry-cooke my thoughts with this is that if you don't have an edge you will almost certainly lose money or break even in the long run. The losses you incurr statistically will already be priced in to the market, so your best bet would be to track over time and only take value odds due to variation, or to use the stats software to find games where a goal is less likely. That said thats just my gut, keep tracking!!! Will be very interested to see how this develops
Hi Sam,
Yeah that. true, im only leaving myself 100% exposed for a few mins then 50% of my liability is removed, and then the remains removed when gets to 1.01
Is there enough liquidity in the markets around then to rely on that? Found myself stuck in correct-score trades when I started and took some heavy losses.
I've been fine with liquidity in most games, now im making sure there's about 2.5k in the market
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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@terry-cooke I am scared 100%!!!
Thats a lot to put down!! If that strategy works why put so much down?
Hey Ryan,
Im not scared, half my liability is removed after a few mins. Just wanted to try and make some extra money a bit quicker and grow the bank. I know its a risk.
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@terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@sam-maccuaig said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@terry-cooke my thoughts with this is that if you don't have an edge you will almost certainly lose money or break even in the long run. The losses you incurr statistically will already be priced in to the market, so your best bet would be to track over time and only take value odds due to variation, or to use the stats software to find games where a goal is less likely. That said thats just my gut, keep tracking!!! Will be very interested to see how this develops
Hi Sam,
Yeah that. true, im only leaving myself 100% exposed for a few mins then 50% of my liability is removed, and then the remains removed when gets to 1.01
Is there enough liquidity in the markets around then to rely on that? Found myself stuck in correct-score trades when I started and took some heavy losses.
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@terry-cooke I am scared 100%!!!
Thats a lot to put down!! If that strategy works why put so much down?
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@sam-maccuaig said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@terry-cooke my thoughts with this is that if you don't have an edge you will almost certainly lose money or break even in the long run. The losses you incurr statistically will already be priced in to the market, so your best bet would be to track over time and only take value odds due to variation, or to use the stats software to find games where a goal is less likely. That said thats just my gut, keep tracking!!! Will be very interested to see how this develops
Hi Sam,
Yeah that. true, im only leaving myself 100% exposed for a few mins then 50% of my liability is removed, and then the remains removed when gets to 1.01
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@terry-cooke what kind of loss are you taking, say if you back at 1.10 and there is a goal at 85 mins for example. How are you selecting games too? just random? Got me interested now. Not sure i would do it but its interesting for sure
Not taking that much of a loss, ill drop ya an email
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@terry-cooke my thoughts with this is that if you don't have an edge you will almost certainly lose money or break even in the long run. The losses you incurr statistically will already be priced in to the market, so your best bet would be to track over time and only take value odds due to variation, or to use the stats software to find games where a goal is less likely. That said thats just my gut, keep tracking!!! Will be very interested to see how this develops
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@terry-cooke what kind of loss are you taking, say if you back at 1.10 and there is a goal at 85 mins for example. How are you selecting games too? just random? Got me interested now. Not sure i would do it but its interesting for sure
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@john-hurst Thanks man, I hope so too, I didn't lose the full stake on all the 4 trades, just on one
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Laid Hebei. Wuhan have come back in all but one. Hebei have only gone on to win once from taking the lead.
1.53 & 1.01 on the re-lay. I can live with that.
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@terry-cooke hope it works out ok for you mate
these high risk for low reward strats often end in tears but if you can find some sort of edge with match/league/score selection you could be one of the rare few who can make it work.
