The BTC Football Trading Thread

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@john-hurst Yeah I know but they way ive been looking at it is, its not that often that 2 goals are scored in the last 10 mins, especially in the South American leagues. That 25% has now dropped to 20% over the last few days, but hey if one goal goes in I just try and get out for a scratch, worked a few times with a little profit. Don't want to get too cocky about it, but its just working for me at the min

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@terry-cooke sounds a bit mad man haha cant see this as being sustainable long term- would only need a few bad results and it would wipe a lot of your bank. 25% is a lot to be putting down

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Hi every one.

So some people are gonna think I'm bat s*it crazy, but I have found a strategy that works for me. Very high on the aggression scale.

So after doing some FHG training I was finding that I wasn't really making much as little profits were being wiped out by the occasional loss (need to do more testing I know, its on pause for now!!)

But

I have been looking at the goals markets and finding if I get in to a game at around the 80 ish min, and looking at the next 2 goals market (ie if 1-0 looking at u/o 2.5 GM) and saw that the odds for under were around 1.08 - 1.12 sometime a little higher or lower but if lower not really getting on it. Anyway, ive been backing at say 1.08 with 100% of my stake and then laying at 1.04 and then 1.01. essentially scalping.

I have done 104 trades over the last 3-4 days and 100 have been winners and only 4 losers (admittedly one was when I got in the wrong goals market and one was the Everton game the other night).

I was using alot of my bank (about 25% I know im crazy, but it was a risk im willing to take as im not relying on it) but I have so far doubled my bank nearly.

As my bank continues to grow obviously the risk will reduce, but I thought I would just let people know.

I have also not had to do any research (I know I'm crazy and I bet Ryan is waiting in the wings with a rolling pin).

Thanks for reading and im waiting for you all to tell me im nuts!!

Richard Latimer

Laid Hebei. Wuhan have come back in all but one. Hebei have only gone on to win once from taking the lead.

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another quiet friday, just the one today from lee's sh filter and its Raufoss v Sandnes

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@richard-latimer Ha Ha no not that, the comment about Brazil being ok for LCS, I'm not that much of a t*at

Richard Latimer

@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer Cheers mate

For what haha, it lost

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@richard-latimer Cheers mate

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Low odds lay of Breidablik @ 1.17
Stjarnan have come from behind on 3/3 occasions. Breidablik have conceded the lead on 2/6.

Losing those is fine haha!

Richard Latimer

Low odds lay of Breidablik @ 1.17
Stjarnan have come from behind on 3/3 occasions. Breidablik have conceded the lead on 2/6.

Richard Latimer

@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

How does everybody find the South American leagues for goals, I’ve always left them out of my filters personally but wondering if I’m missing out. I believe Brazil is pretty poor isn’t it ?

Brazil is ok for LCS. Also odds are almost always good.

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@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown cheers mate

i love using the website Ben for stuff like that. Its worth taking a look and playing around with what stats and data it has on their.

so i hope you can enjoy that website and find it useful like i do,

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@gary-brown cheers mate

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@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

How does everybody find the South American leagues for goals, I’ve always left them out of my filters personally but wondering if I’m missing out. I believe Brazil is pretty poor isn’t it ?

if you look on the free website called soccer stats i am sure most of them are low scoring Ben.

i tend to look at percentage of games where over 2.5 and over 1.5 goals were scored in the leagues.

i am sure they are alot lower than the the prem and german leagues

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How does everybody find the South American leagues for goals, I’ve always left them out of my filters personally but wondering if I’m missing out. I believe Brazil is pretty poor isn’t it ?

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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2145/sh-goal-filters/20

thats brill thanks John.
Is this the one Martin was talking about the other day?

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@gary-brown https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2145/sh-goal-filters/20

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Have just laid Kopavogur at evens.

KA have gone behind twice and come back each time. Kopavogur have taken the lead 3 times and been pulled back twice.

Finished 1-1

Richard Latimer

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

odds on 4.6 to lay....wow

It was on my radar but had such a torrid time of recent I left it. Happy with the other Icelandic game.

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hi guys is lees filter available to all?

ive been out of the loop recently but have seen peeps talking about it in the forum