The BTC Football Trading Thread

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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lousy pay out after being 100% matched... Was tempted to stay in but A-League has been unpredictable
Did you put in the second stake in second half Alan?

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Matt trading can be very emotional for people and I guess sometimes it is decide if someones comment is an emotional reaction to an event such as a trade lost or if their is data which suggests they have a good reason to think XYZ.

I see it all the time.

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Lousy pay out after being 100% matched... Was tempted to stay in but A-League has been unpredictable

Matt Wood

Maybe the A league can stay in the mix now after being disappointing recently

Matt Wood

@gary-brown I think he stakes at KO

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@matt-wood yes i stake 1 point ....
80 EUR ON THE UNDERS ANS 10 EUR ON 2-1 AND 10 EUR ON 1-2

hI Johannes you do this at KO? not HT?

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This post is deleted!

Martin Walker

Thats 3 or 4 in a row for me with no first half goal in this league. Worst performer by a mile

Matt Wood

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Thanks

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@matt-wood yes i stake 1 point ....
80 EUR ON THE UNDERS ANS 10 EUR ON 2-1 AND 10 EUR ON 1-2

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@matt-wood filters where we have not a big favorite prematch and also under 2.5 above 1.85

Matt Wood

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alan-steward yes fingers crossed again under 2.5 and dutch 2-1/1-2

Do you have a specific filter for this strategy? Do you place the stakes before KO?
I like the look of it and will start paying attention to this style more. Think I might need a bigger bank first though.

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@alan-steward yes fingers crossed again under 2.5 and dutch 2-1/1-2

Matt Wood

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

How did that Aussie game end 0-0 @ HT

They haven't had a 0-0 in the last 8 years and out of the last 19 games only 3 matches had 1 goal... Fingers crossed for my split stake

Most importantly you might fancy 50%split stake and hold 50% for possible LCS?

0-0! Amazing, resisted temptation for a FHG today after the A league not performing. Am on a split stake though so fingers crossed!

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How did that Aussie game end 0-0 @ HT

They haven't had a 0-0 in the last 8 years and out of the last 19 games only 3 matches had 1 goal... Fingers crossed for my split stake

Most importantly you might fancy 50% o1.5 and hold 50% for possible LCS?

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Not as much on today as i expected. Just the one game to look for 1 or 2 SH goals

0_1596263479745_aea55415-658b-482e-9972-c00f6f897631-image.png

There is SOME motivation for both teams but ill tread carefully as its purely a battle between the 2 for 2nd spot so one team may be happy to see it out

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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Keeping an eye on these for a SH goal or 2:

Be wary of the Austrian games, its the last game of the regular season. These are teams with something to play for but check what the current score means for the teams

Ried - Top by just one goal. They just need to better Klagenfurts results so if Klagenfurt are winning then Ried need to win also, they may need a few goals

Floridsdorfer and Horn (both away) are battling to get out the bottom 3

Juniors - If the teams below them get the points needed then technically they could still get dragged into the bottom 3 on GD. A point will see them clear of bottom 3

All 3 out of 3 had at least 2 SH goals

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer I laid U3.5 at 2.1 and i think it matched just after 50'

Are you keeping track of all the odds along with results for when you publish? I keep meaning to track these and keep forgetting.

I wont have record of the odds for them. I record the odds i take in the trades i make as part of my figures but the data for the filter doesnt include odds

Matt Wood

Morning all. Rage quit last night, apologies lol

Small red in the end, which is better than big red, but was the way I traded yesterday that made me angry.

Still today is another day so lets all get some green

Also read this in an article:
Premier League before and after lockdown
Pre-lockdown Post-lockdown
Games played 288 92
Goals per game 2.72 2.72
Shots per game 25.2 23.2
Passes per game 912.4 922.5
% wins by away team 40.3% 40.3%
% second half goals 54.5% 52.8%

Now I get the impression that people think some stuff changed quite a lot post lockdown, but these stats suggest not so much. Maybe crowds don't have that much of an effect after all?

Richard Latimer

Tomorrows ELO's:

0_1596233593663_5d111735-4347-4be5-9e1c-96a7b9abe000-image.png

Despite me having found out the Chinese are all playing at Neutral venues I'm going to keep these open for the ELO lays as it's dealing with a lot more than just the h/a. The general level of the side should be miles apart from their opponent. Won't always be the case of course so I'll monitor for now.

A potential in Tunisia tomorrow. Not a problem as long as the liquidity is there. Also a game in the Russian 2nd tier. I'll be careful with this one but not ruled out.