The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Richard Latimer

Everyone on this race then?

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@charles-cartwright
My (unvalidated and untested) opinion is similar...I think track selection is going to be critical to this...then I think the broad criteria we have for race selection at those tracks will probably be about right, but we might then want to consider to only TLF once it has gone in play and we can check that we still have a close race.

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I now have 9 years of data from ProForm being transferred into a workable form.

My instinct tells me that this is going to prove quite tricky to find some sort of trend that works for LTF.

I suspect based on a preliminary look that a few things that seem intuitively likely to help are going to prove not to be helpful (fav price, number of runners, going, seeming competitiveness of race). Hoping that with a large enough dataset will be able to spot course and distance trends because that seems more likely to be predictive assuming you have enough data.

I still think there is mileage to be had in the Aussie racing and so I am going to LTF in every race there with sufficient liquidity just to hopefully start looking for patterns. At 10p a chuck its hardly a massive investment!

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1pt profit in Tampa tonight. Delighted with that.

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Seems the Fav ran away with the last race as well... See you guys tomorrow

Yeah, didn't do that one. Odds of fave lower than 4.0.

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Seems the Fav ran away with the last race as well... See you guys tomorrow

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@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Only 1 matched in simulation mode... Anybody do it live?

Yes, the loss makes up for the four that got matched on Wednesday... Swings and roundabouts!

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller

Only 1 matched in simulation mode... Anybody do it live?

Yes. Only one came close. I'm guessing he ran away with it.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller

This one looks good too.

Bugger!

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@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller

Only 1 matched in simulation mode... Anybody do it live?

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller

This one looks good too.

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Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller

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@alan-steward I got two matched at 2.04

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Looks like 2.04 would have matched

I got 2x @ 2.02 so no loss

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Looks like 2.04 would have matched

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Only 1 matched in simulation... You can see how my software captures SP Price & Lowest Traded Price

0_1588356006807_LTF 01_01.JPG

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@keith-dow said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Looking at Charging Renee here. Lots of pace in this field.

Changed my mind last minute because of a drift and opted for the favourite. Got my lay matched in the last few furlongs of the race. Close to a loss that one!

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Got it on simulation

I'm in for real

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Got it on simulation

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward Either way I reckon you should record the data for spreadsheet.