*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current ScoreMy testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0
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Monday, 03 March 2025:
Home Wins:
17:30 - İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sivasspor
20:00 - Villarreal vs Espanyol
20:15 – Sporting v EstorilOver 1.5 Goals:
19:30 - Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town (FA CUP)
20:00 - Villarreal vs Espanyol
20:15 – Sporting v EstorilSHG:
17:30 - İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sivasspor
18:00 – Brondby v Lygnby
19:30 - Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town (FA CUP)
19:45 – Juventus v Verona
20:00 - Villarreal vs Espanyol
20:15 – Sporting v Estoril -
@Akiva-Anderson great shout!
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There is value in a West Ham victory tonight. 66% probability and West Ham to win is 1.77
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FHG's:
Leicester v Brentford
Celta Vigo v OsasunaOver 1.5 Goals:
Leicester v Brentford
Celta Vigo v Osasuna
Freiburg v Werder Bremen
Bristol City v Middlesbrough -
@Andy-Donnelly They'll end up winning that I think. Arsenals is brutal, Madrid will 100% turn up now
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@Ryan Yeh Arsenal screwed as well. Not great for any of the English teams really.
Meanwhile Chelsea may have the easiest route to a European final of all time
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@Andy-Donnelly Brutal for Liverpool that lol if they get past PSG it's getting tasty.
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Interesting champs league draw. Great for my Barca outright trade. Barca, Inter, Bayern def on the easier side
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@Tony-Hastie That's a great way of creating them, top work. The ratings that Adam created are seriously good and some gold in them when used the right way.
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@Ryan Simply the best 5 games for a FHG. It gives me the HT goal expectation for current season as well as the year. If its over 1 Ill take a look...
Rajasthan United vs Sreenidi Deccan (India I-League) - 10:30
Goal Expectation HT (Current Season): 1.24
Goal Expectation HT (1 Year): 1.37Is loaded in the bot (for £1), current liquidity....4 so likely no trade!
All other games today under 1 so not looking at those...
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@Tony-Hastie What did you ask it? As I have been doing this on the FHG as well and I have been getting it to rank them on the % probability of a FHG and the implied odds - it's going well.
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@Arran-Shackell uploaded a pdf of the ratings and asked it to give me the 5 matches most likely to have a FHG on 17th feb. That's it! 3 for 3 yesterday, other 2 were small leagues with no liquidity..
All today's selections were very early morning kick offs and the stats didn't look all that solid anyway so chat gpt strategy is having the day off
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What did you ask it out of interest?
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@Tony-Hastie It would be bloody great!
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Chat GPTs 1st FHG selection today. In pre match at 1.44(For £1). If only they were all like this!
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@Tony-Hastie I love it when it is impressed, you should see how it speaks with @Adam.
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@Ryan I uploaded a pdf of all the games rated today and asked chat gpt to identify what Id uploaded. Suffice to say it was exactly right...and was very impressed by the extensive data provided
