🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮
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@Richard-Latimer I find that it depends on where the majority of what your profit is coming from and what the average odds are of your winners and losers.
Most of the time most of your losers will come in the lower odds and when that happens laying is definitely the more profitable staking plan.
However if your strategy gets most of its success from the shorter odds selections, then in those cases backing may prove to be better option. As always to quote Martin and Ryan, easier enough to test both options side by side
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@Nikki-HALSALL I'd say everyone should be laying in this to level the playing field but that's just my opinion.
A good laying strategy will outstrip a good backing strategy with the same s/r and odds if done to £10 stakes every single time.
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Been rocky of late, in recovery, very interested in looking at Laying rather than backing - data collection begins......
In the meantime today's back O 1.5
Austria Bundesliga 02/03/2025 13:30:00 BW Linz Wattens 1.40
Italy Serie A 02/03/2025 17:00:00 AS Roma Como 1.35
El Salvador Primera Division 02/03/2025 21:30:00 Platense Municipal Dragon 1.44 -
@Alastair-Todd I said the same about the laying. It's theoretical money anyway for this so if you wanted to convert your back odds to lay odds and change you score so to speak based on £10 lay stakes I wouldn't have a problem.
If any of us are going to win I think we want to win fairly. What say you @Martin?
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@Alastair-Todd said in
Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :Martin is there an updated table or are we still on the 9th Feb version? I think Richard and Andy are running away with it but it would be fun to see where we stragglers are in their wake!
Can all change very quickly. Andy was on £190 until recently.
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@Alastair-Todd May as well do after today I suppose as will be end of the week.
Mine is doing ok but has had some bumps recently so def not in front anymore. Think Richard is runaway leader now.
However from what I have seen, if you had been laying your selections to £10 stakes rather than backing, you would probably be at the top. Seem to have a pretty consistent strategy there
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Martin is there an updated table or are we still on the 9th Feb version? I think Richard and Andy are running away with it but it would be fun to see where we stragglers are in their wake!
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Just the one today:
Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 6.6
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Andy-Donnelly Cheers. Has been undergoing a few final tweaks but I'm almost there.
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@Richard-Latimer Nice work! Looks like your SR is getting back to the mean!
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4/5 Yesterday. Running total : £12.48
Today's picks:
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First half goal (running total -£53.80)
Sonderjyske v Silkeborg 1.40
Legia v Slask Wroclaw 1.40
Union Berlin v Holstein Kiel 1.36
Jagiellonia v GKS Katowice 1.31
Al-Ittihad FC v Al Okhdood 1.265/5 - running total -£36.36
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@Richard-Latimer said in
Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :@Richard-Latimer said in
Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :Quite tricky to narrow down the 10 selections to 5 today but this is what I've come up with:
CZE, BEL Min 3.15 - Max 11.0
GER Min 3.15 - Max 8.4
NET Min 3.15 - Max 7.0
MEX Min 4.0 - Max 11.0For any that don't qualify I will add another selection.
Had a quick look and it doesn't appear G.A. Eagles is going to qualify based on price (should be max 7.4 but right now it's 8.0 anyway). Swapping it out for this:
Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 7.4
5/5 +£49.00
Running Total +£189.50 -
4/5 today for £6.80 loss. Overall at £109
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Saturday's Back O1.5 goals:
Sigma Olomouc v Sparta Prague. 1.29
Gent v Club Brugge KV. 1.25
Eintracht Frankfurt v Bayer Leverkusen. 1.25
Hapoel Hadera v Maccabi Tel Aviv. 1.2
GA Eagles v PSV. 1.15Pretty similar filters I reckon @Richard-Latimer
!Result 5/5 wins = 1.12 pts
Running total: +£99.60 -
U1.5 lays for today:
12:30 - Leeds v West Brom @ 4.8
13:00 - Hannover B v 1860 Munich @ 4.8
14:30 - Slovan Bratislava v Trnava @ 5.6
14:30 - Heidenheim v Gladbach @ 5
16:00 - St Ettiene v Nice @ 5.8 -
@Richard-Latimer said in
Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :Quite tricky to narrow down the 10 selections to 5 today but this is what I've come up with:
CZE, BEL Min 3.15 - Max 11.0
GER Min 3.15 - Max 8.4
NET Min 3.15 - Max 7.0
MEX Min 4.0 - Max 11.0For any that don't qualify I will add another selection.
Had a quick look and it doesn't appear G.A. Eagles is going to qualify based on price (should be max 7.4 but right now it's 8.0 anyway). Swapping it out for this:
Min Price 3.15 - Max Price 7.4
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
First half goal (running total -£57.70)
RB Leipzig v 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.37
Burton v Mansfield 1.42
St Etienne v Nice 1.32
St. Gilloise v Dender 1.36
Feyenoord v Nijmegen 1.334/5 - running total -£53.30
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Todays over 1.5
England Championship 01/03/2025 15:00:00 QPR Sheffield Utd 1.40
Romania Liga 2 01/03/2025 9:00:00 Voluntari CSM Focsani 1.33
South Africa Premiership 01/03/2025 13:30:00 Mamelodi Kaizer Chiefs 1.37
