The Predictable but hopefully successful new year reset...
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Shannon Townsendreplied to Shannon Townsend on 12 Jan 2025, 09:21 last edited by Shannon Townsend 13 Jan 2025, 07:01
@Shannon-Townsend so a good day yesterday and we are trading at 7pts up so far (very very early days)...
7 today and some juicy odds so ideally win at least 3 to breakeven or 4 to profit -
2 out of 7 so a bad day after a good one on Sat...
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Shannon Townsendreplied to Shannon Townsend on 10 Jan 2025, 12:47 last edited by Shannon Townsend 12 Jan 2025, 08:36
@Shannon-Townsend 1 from 2 last night
one this afternoon -
this one came in nicely so currently 3.8pts up after commission
then 3 tonight -
game in Belgium postponed so only 2 tonight with one win and one loss and a very small profit...
early ones for tomorrow if i can get matched at the right odds -
4 from 5 today and a couple postponed
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@Shannon-Townsend 2 from 2 there so 8 from 14... nothing yet today.
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@Shannon-Townsend Fantastic effort , good luck for 2025
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Shannon Townsendreplied to Shannon Townsend on 6 Jan 2025, 07:41 last edited by Shannon Townsend 6 Jan 2025, 13:48
@Shannon-Townsend so 6 from 12 after last night and a tiny profit overall due to better odds in Portugal covering the commission so far...
Tonight -
both well over evens...
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@Shannon-Townsend so another defeat leaves me 5 from 10... all odds were evens so a loss of the 2% commission on the 5 winners...
2 late entries for tonight -
Italy Serie A 05/01/2025 19:45 AS Roma Lazio
Portugal Liga Portugal 05/01/2025 20:30 Estrela Estoril -
@Shannon-Townsend one out of 2 last night... so 5 from 9 so far and 1 to go this weekend... all odds have been at evens.
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1 out of the 1st 4 so far today so back to square one but i know this is going to have a lot of varience and still 2 to go tonight -
One for tomorrow -
Scotland Premiership 05/01/2025 14:30 Motherwell Aberdeen
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This post is deleted!
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As i am live on my LTD 1st half, BTTS, Lay away and Serie A set and forgets with small stakes i am going to give them till end of season and do a deep dive at that point... they are kind of self sufficient for the time being...
What i am going to do is try and nail down my over 2.5 value set and forgets and to keep myself accountable and actually look at the trades in a bit more detail i am going to put them in this thread when possible prior to trading them -
1st i had a game in Israel which came in within the 1st half at evens (evens will be my minimum odds)
next up -
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@Shannon-Townsend Happy New Year, I read it and am interested in how you get on next year so keep updating please. Am only a few months in myself and am testing 2 very simple strategies. Seeing what the experienced folks are up to is interesting but I want to follow new traders too.
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Nothing tomorrow so end of year results -
Lay u1.5 goals - now 26 pts so continuing its decline but a profit for the year
LTD 1st half only - now 38 pts so a losing month but again a profit for the year
BTTS - now 34 pts up so also a losing month but overall a profit
Lay Away - now at 43pts up so up a pt this month and has been most successful strategy recently
Serie A over 2.5 goals - have gone live with this and up 13 pts so far
Have also spent the last 6 months paper trading value over 2.5 goals set and forget after 400 odd results and a bit of fine tuning it has hit 12 pts profit so keeping an eye on that.
Overall i think i have learnt a lot this year and feel confident going forward, had i have been actually putting money on everything i did i would have ended the year 160 pts in profit...
Happy New Year everyone.
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End of Nov update
Lay u1.5 goals - now 33pts up for the year so down a couple this month
LTD 1st half only - now 44pts up for the year so up 1 pt this month
BTTS - now 39 pts up so down a couple in Nov
Lay Away - now at 42 pts up so a huge 16pts up this month and means overall i end the month with a small profit
I also have a Serie A over 2.5 goals set and forget that i have been paper trading since start of season and that is 11pts up currently... hopefully be able to go live with this in Jan if it keeps going strong.
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@Shannon-Townsend brilliant!
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End of month 10
Lay u1.5 goals - now 36pts up so up 3 pts on last month
LTD 1st half only - now 43pts up so up 5pts from last month
BTTS - now 43pts up so just 1pt up this month
Lay Away - now at 26pts so same as last month
overall still slowly going in the right direction...
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@Andy-Donnelly 1 or 2 a day over last few months but hoping that may increase with European leagues beginning to show up...
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@Shannon-Townsend Thanks for sharing. How many selections do you get a month on average?
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Cheers, all stratagies seem to have quite a lot of variance but if heading the right direction i will take that...
My Lay under 1.5 follows the baove but will not lay at odds of more than 3... when i get some more results i will dive deeper in to the results and see if tweaking could improve it... it is my 1st half LTD that i have the most faith in at the minute...
