1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid
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Lot of trades today.
Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze 1.43 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.30
Hamburger SV v St Pauli 1.33 lay under 0.5 fhg 4.00
Toulouse v Montpellier 1.33 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.95
Farul Constanta v ACS Sepsi OSK 1.37 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.70
Ayr v Dunfermline waiting on liquid
Dundee Utd v Partick 1.34 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.95
Luton v Everton 1.38 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.65 -
Shimizu v Tochigi SC 1.40 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.50...Early goal in this one for an easy point
new total +7.30 points
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Shimizu v Tochigi SC 1.40 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.50
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This post is deleted!
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@Jon-Kinnear said in 1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid:
Univ Catolica (Ecu) v Barcelona (Ecu) 1.42 lay under 0.5 3.40
This was 0-0 HT for a loss of 3.40 points
New total +6.30 points
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Just one for early tomorrow.
Univ Catolica (Ecu) v Barcelona (Ecu) 1.42 lay under 0.5 3.40 ( not trading this one so will estimate over 1.5 odds to be 4.20 at 15 mins if 0-0)
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@Jon-Kinnear said in 1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid:
@Martin Thanks, been loving it since rejoining BTC.
Love that!
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Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul v Antalyaspor 1.37 lay under 0.5fhg 3.75 took 3.70 on overs....1 late fhg for scratch
Universidad Cesar Vallejo v Sporting Cristal 1.42 lay under 0.5fhg 3.40 (wont be awake to trade this, will lowball over 1.5fhg odds as 4.20 if 0-0 at 15 mins)... early goal in this one for an easy point profit.new total +9.70 points
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@Martin Thanks, been loving it since rejoining BTC.
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Atalanta 1.38 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.65 over 1.5 fhg at 4.30...late pen in 1st half for scratch
PAOK 1.43 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.30...Early goal for +1 point
Millonarios 1.45 lay under 0.5 fhg 3.25...1 fhg for scratch1 point profit for the day
new total is +8.70 points -
Sampdoria (w) 1.36 3.75 to lay under 0.5 fhg.... Early goal wins 1 point
Gornik Zabrze v LKS Lodz 1.35 3.90 to lay u 0.5 fhg back Over 1.5 fhg 3.85...2fhg's for +3.79 points
St Etienne v Caen 1.43 3.30 to lay under 0.5 fhg... Early goal wins 1 point
Wolves v Luton 1.34 3.95 to lay under 0.5 fhg back over 1.5 fhg 4.30... 1-0 HT for scratch
Panaitolikos v Atromitos 1.45 3.25 to lay under 0.5 fhg back over 1.5 fhg 4.70...no goals in 1st half -3.25 points
Hull v Ipswich 1.38 3.65 to lay under 0.5 fhg back over 1.5 fhg 4.00... 2 fhg's +3.96 pointsfinal result for today +6.50 points
total +7.70 points -
Chengdu Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 3.95 + £2.38 due to pre match trade out, would have won £10.00 if had kept the original bet, but it was the right choice to trade out for a small green.
Frosinone Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 4.00 + £10.00 due to win from under 0.5 fhg lay after 10 min pen for the home sideGood start +1.2 pts for the day
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Chengdu Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 3.95
This game has had a big price shift under 0.5 fhg is now showing as 5.20, which is an issue as over 1.5 fhg has drifted down to close to evens, we want the over back price 1.5fhg to be near the same or more than the under 0.5 lay price at the 15 min mark if 0-0, in this scenario its not going to be.
I would trade out of chengdu (not actually on it as just paper trading for now)
3.95 lay - 5.20 back gives £2.38 profit after comission of 2% from a £10.21 bet -
Have 2 qualifiers today.
Chengdu Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 3.95
Frosinone Lay under 0.5 fhg odds 4.00 -
@Martin Thanks its, Its great to be back , a bit wiser and with more experience. I have 2 more strategies to work on this time around, The problem with just having one , is my mind starts looking for alternatives when its not going well, its such an easy trap to fall into.
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OK, so this is my OG FHG strategy, i had a really good run with it, but ruined it by altering the strategy, i ended up blowing 70% of my at the time fairly large bank, funny thing is if id had just stuck to one of the 3 methods i kept switching between i would have still made money. Took a long while to come back to BTC after that failure.
With this strategy i tend to get alot of games with 2 fhg, and alot of games with a goal in first 15 mins.
I place a lay bet for 1 pt + 2% b4 KO under 0.5 fhg
If 0-0 at 15 mins i place a back bet on over 1.5 fhgmy data shows that games where both bets are matched its roughly 50/50 wins 2 goals vs loses 0 goals
any game with an early goal wins 1 point, and there are many.Filters Used
Ov. H1 Over 0.5 Goals % > = 75
Ov. Matches played > = 6
Ov. Goal Attempts Per Match H1 Ave > = 10
Ov. Corners Per Match H1 Ave > = 5Scope last 10
restrict to going inplay
exclude playoffs
odds range is 1.33-1.45 for over 0.5 fhgwill start tracking this again from tomorrow
