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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3081

    For today:

    a63e9493-9c38-4f56-8f25-0f2640e867ab-image.png

    Blue are all lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
    Purple I'm going back to laying over 1.5

    Was only meant as a secondary money maker anyway to use more of my data but no question the potential is far greater with laying over 1.5 as opposed to laying over 2.5 which I took as the sensible option.

    Liabilities a bit higher and, reward less and difference in s/r not sufficient to bridge the gap.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #3082

    A lot today - so its about narrowing them down.

    Amongst them will be

    LTD
    Glentoran vs C Rangers
    Lech Poznan vs Ruch
    Braga vs Portiminese
    Wattens vs Salzburg

    01.5

    Split stake, out after 70 mins if no goal

    Saelrnitana vs Napoli
    Glentoran vs C Rangers
    Heracles vs PSV
    Wattens vs Salzburg
    Waalwjik vs Feyenoord

    02.5

    Split stake, out after 60 mins if no goal

    Plymouth vs Boro
    Tigres vs AT San luis
    Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Arran Shackell on last edited by
    #3083

    @Arran-Shackell its sort of set and forget because I do monitor in play and exit with a few minutes to go if underdog winning one nil or its end to end. But its a filter that I monitored for over a year and recorded set and forget versus greening up//exiting at 70 and the stats took me to S&F

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #3084

    @Akiva-Anderson Still, calling themselves Fancy Glentoran is just rubbing it in.

    1 Reply Last reply
    😁
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #3085

    Fancy Glentoran to beat Carrick Rangers today at 1.33.

    Full-Time team v Part-Time team

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #3086

    FHG in the Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United match. Just kicked-off

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Arran Shackell
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #3087

    @Mark-Maguire

    A S&F LTD - not seen that one mentioned on here before or have I just not been lurking for long enough?

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #3088

    o2.5 Split stake

    Venlo vs Jong AZ ✅

    Will also monitor in play Utsikten vs Gefle for an 02.5 trade if it starts with decent stats ❌ had a dabble but out quickly

    LTD

    These seem obvious and will need odds to become value

    Paris SG vs Montpellier ✅
    Porto vs Estoril✅ albeit shock winner in Estoril
    Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa✅

    01.5

    PSG will also be an 01.5 ✅

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3089

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Just this tomorrow:

    bd0c0ced-95b5-4e61-93e0-79c69e6222f8-image.png

    Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6

    Under 1.5 was 9.4 to lay so took under 2.5 @ 3.5 (matched first few mins)

    Currently 3-0

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #3090

    Quiet day again today:

    o2.5 Split stake

    Venlo vs Jong AZ (out after 60 mins if no goal)

    Will also monitor in play Utsikten vs Gefle for an 02.5 trade if it starts with decent stats.

    LTD

    These seem obvious and will need odds to become value

    Paris SG vs Montpellier
    Porto vs Estoril
    Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa

    Warning my LTD Set and Forget are currently on nineteen games green so I'm expecting a red soon. .. sods law it will be when start posting here.

    01.5

    PSG will also be an 01.5 but again odds will be poor.

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3091

    Just this tomorrow:

    bd0c0ced-95b5-4e61-93e0-79c69e6222f8-image.png

    Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3092

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    These 2 for tomorrow:

    f5abce78-3ef4-4c19-a8b1-c38fa2d9170d-image.png

    Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8
    Lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6

    Last game postponed for some reason so just the one trade and one win today.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #3093

    Does anyone on here use Footy Amigo? im sure i read some time ago that a member was using it. it looks brilliant from what they say they can do they msg you with your set critea like how many shots corners etc in a game pre match and inplay stats. It would save me so much time on weekends i have sometimes over 10 games open at once can be really hard to keep track!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #3094

    @Mark-Maguire yea your not wrong!! you can see why they are struggling they need some quality up front to convert the chances they create.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #3095

    @Toni-0 to be fair if Ajax had more composure in front of goal it could have been 8-2

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #3096

    @Mark-Maguire well played i was gonna back over 0.5 goals after about 55 minutes in Ajax game was sure it wouldnt stay 0-0 the way the game was going but the odds were a bit skinny

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by
    #3097

    Just a couple today with caveats:

    LTD

    Mumbai vs Minerva

    ✅ green albeit smaller than if I'd stayed in

    AJAX vs Volendam

    LTD ✅
    01.5 ✅ (Greened after first goal)

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #3098

    All Ajax so far they look up for it tonight

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #3099

    @Mark-Maguire i need to use the ELO more but dont exactly understand it. One thing to look into for November. Thanks for the Stats mate

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #3100

    @Toni-0 just looking at my stats analysis for the game and the ELO odds suggest probability of a Volendam win are 5% (Ajax 85%, Draw 10%) so from that Volendam should be at 20, Ajax at 1.18.

    Predicted score from my model is 3-2 however which puts the game closer.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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