Horse Racing Strategies Megathread
-
@Adam Hi Adam, I am not sure if it is just after the update but I run a back the CD & Winner Strat Which whilst it is early days it is in green but today the tips that are flowing through are not CD winners. Some have nothing some just C & some just D. 2 examples below Al Simmo is only a Distance winner according to the Racings post. In terms of Speckled Meadow it has never won at the 7.5f and has never run at the course. Why is the software pulling these through?
-
@Craig-Spowart that was recorded end of Aug, I've missed a few days this month as it's birthday season (3 people in my house and one of my parents) but am 16pts down on that one. In fact September has been bad for most of my strategies on horses, I think this is to do with the time of year and switching from Summer racing. May avoid it next year!
-
@Martin Thanks Martin, Have you had a chance to look at the differences in the back testing and reality? I just uploaded the .json for lay the 3rd fav from above and left it to £1 stakes and added the new include 3rd fav and it produces a 5pt loss for September . I also ran it leaving the include and exclude blank but it produces a 9pt loss given the youtube video is showing a 27pts profit it would be great to understand what the variance was and why? or am i doing something wrong in the use of the back testing? Thanks Craig
-
Hi @Martin I like the video you posted on youtube yesterday. Just as a heads up i think the .json files above need updated or refreshed as when you try to upload to the strategy builder it hangs. I am no tech expert but I assume it is because the software has been updated with additional options recently.
-
@alexander-hughes Thanks Alex
-
@Phillip-Chapman 3rdpicks.xlsx
TBH I don't compare the results with BTC.
If it works, use it. If not, have a look if any changes can be made. If not bin it after giving a chance.
-
-
Lol good point
I'm just trying to figure out why BFBM isnt getting all the bets that appear in the results from BTC -
@Phillip-Chapman you aren't going to get any 3rd favs between 2.0 and 3.0
-
@alexander-hughes Hi, I am 6 points down in Sept.
I have spotted that the BTC Strat is for odds 2-7 but the downloaded BFBM strat stipulates 3-7.
What are your settings at ?
TIA
Phil -
@Phillip-Chapm
Only 3 points up in September, 39.5 in August.
I removed a few of the worst performing courses before August started.
For comparison.
-
@Martin I am not doing as expected with Lay 3rd Fav, could i ask what the latest version is for both the BTC Strat and also the BFBM Strat as I may be running an old version.
Thanks
Phil
-
@Jonathan-Jones Thanks I will buy a BFBM subscription to compare it to Bet Angel. I have never used BFBM sounds good.
-
@Wayne-Thomas said in Horse Racing Strategies Megathread:
They both involve class filtering and I have been wondering how the class ratings are generated for Irish racing? Irish races don't have a class system like the UK, so I was wondering how the software produces the class rating.
We have a function that basically calculates what the class would have been if it was a GB race, based on (off the top of my head) race type, prize value, handicap value etc.