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Horse Racing Strategies Megathread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Horse Racing
important
1.6k Posts 133 Posters 215.0k Views
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    replied to dave tancock on last edited by Andy Donnelly
    #341

    @dave-tancock The original one hasn’t been doing badly for me. Was up 8pts today. I’m getting close to a year high.

    Interested to understand the difference. Is it just the fav condition?

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to dave tancock on last edited by
    #342

    @dave-tancock try the one in the OP it's 11pts up so far today for me alone, needs forward testing I'm only on £1 lay stakes for it at the moment but 22pts up since end of July, seems to have less variance, sods law will hit a bad run now I've said all this 😄

    D 1 Reply Last reply
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    dave tancock
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #343

    @Martin I am not sure, I didnt know there was an updated one. its whatever version was on this thread when i joined the horse racing subscription in May/June.

    MartinM A 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to dave tancock on last edited by
    #344

    @dave-tancock you using the version in the OP?

    D 1 Reply Last reply
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    dave tancock
    wrote on last edited by
    #345

    Is it just me or has lay the beaten favourite struggled the last few weeks?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #346

    @Jonathan-Jones yep and it is being as you know 🙂

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #347

    @Martin

    Indeed, but it does show how important getting this favourite stuff sorted is. If it can make that much of a difference in just over a week at only 10 seconds out then it really needs fixing. Thing is you would probably expect it with 3rd fav probably more than fav really since it can move either way (and probably does many times in the last 10 seconds).

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #348

    @Jonathan-Jones long may that continue!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #349

    @Martin

    Just checked this and either your 3rd fav isnt the version listed here or your not following the strategy as its listed (probably down to the favourite thing but its worked in your favour big time). According to the backtest (even missing the sunday as you said) this strat should only be 5 or so points in profit. You are 26 points in profit so having a very nice run indeed.

    MartinM A 2 Replies Last reply
    3
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #350

    @Martin said in Horse Racing Strategies Megathread:

    Forward testing results £1 stakes (29th July-10th August)

    Screenshot (109).png

    Cracking!!!

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #351

    Forward testing results £1 stakes (29th July-10th August)

    Screenshot (109).png

    John FolanJ ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Andy Donnelly on last edited by
    #352

    @Andy-Donnelly Feb this one was created, it was sent to me a couple of weeks ago by a member

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #353

    @Martin When did you start forward testing the latest version of LBF out of interest?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #354

    @Martin said in Horse Racing Strategies Megathread:

    I've edited OP to the strategies I am currently forward testing. Would people like me to do regular updates on the results?

    Here they are:

    Lay 3rd Fav - rules_export (9).json

    Irish Dobs - rules_export (8).json

    Back to lay dobs - rules_export (6).json

    Lay Beaten Fav - rules_export (7).json

    Yes Martin. Very helpful

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #355

    I've edited OP to the strategies I am currently forward testing. Would people like me to do regular updates on the results?

    Here they are:

    Lay 3rd Fav - rules_export (9).json

    Irish Dobs - rules_export (8).json

    Back to lay dobs - rules_export (6).json

    Lay Beaten Fav - rules_export (7).json

    John FolanJ A ? ? 4 Replies Last reply
    👍
    1
  • Caroline MiddlebrookC Offline
    Caroline MiddlebrookC Offline
    Caroline Middlebrook
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #356

    @Karl-Pick so to do this what you need to do is set up a new GROUP, and set that to 'none', and then within that group you would put in the distance that you want to exclude.

    This is something I have done a few times with the OR rating.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #357

    @John-Folan said in Horse Racing Strategies Megathread:

    @Dan-MacKinnon said in Horse Racing Strategies Megathread:

    @Karl-Pick You can set a new rule group and then have "none" and select that as a distance. It should show up as blue if it's being excluded

    It actually makes it really easy to do this in the software doesn’t it?

    Definitely. Since Adam showed me how to exclude stuff it's changed my approach to the software. Once the favourite rating is included then this software will take another huge leap forward.

    Forget the football backtesting for now, focus on the favourite filter for the horse racing. I'll go and post that on the football thread and see if anyone agrees 😆

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #358

    @Karl-Pick maybe do two different strategies for it? if you name them differently it will pick that up, you will need a new strategy though not the new version option

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #359

    @Dan-MacKinnon said in Horse Racing Strategies Megathread:

    @Karl-Pick You can set a new rule group and then have "none" and select that as a distance. It should show up as blue if it's being excluded

    It actually makes it really easy to do this in the software doesn’t it?

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    D 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #360

    @Dan-MacKinnon tried this leaves no selections!

    Caroline MiddlebrookC 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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