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The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Horse Racing
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6.4k Posts 173 Posters 681.1k Views
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Adam on last edited by John Folan
    #841

    @Adam yes. I’ll send you an Asana. I think I tried to explain it before but I probably sounded like I was talking French.

    Basically max drawdown expressed as a points value being the lowest point dropped to after a previous high.

    So strategy hits 160 points as a high then drops 6 points, recovers 2 but then drops another 4 would have a max drawdown of 8 points.

    Then after that it hits a high of 200. Drops 10, recovers 5 but drops another 10 to 185 would have a max drawdown of 15 points.

    Probably a good idea to express it as a percentage as well as number of points. I find both really useful. Especially as a big number of points dropped after 6 months of running a strategy is a lot lower than if you had had the same drop after 1 week as (for example) a fifty point drop (with little recoveries and further drops)immediately is 50% of your 100 point bank but later on would only be 25% of your 200 point bank as the size increases if it’s a good strategy.

    I’d never thought of using the percentage of bankroll as a max drawdown but I really like using it as an extra tool now.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Keith DriscollK Offline
    Keith DriscollK Offline
    Keith Driscoll
    wrote on last edited by
    #842
    1. In order to hit the correct Fav. Lay 0-1s in-play. You hit them 100% of the time.
    2. If you don't like taking big hits when laying, reduce the max lay price. LTBF with no filters is profitable, but do you want to lay 1000.0 shots? Well yes, they are profitable, but I wouldn't want to take a 1000.0 hit. I don't even take 20.0 hits. My max lay is much lower than that, as the risk/reward turns against you at certain prices, depending on the system. You set it to what your comfort zone is. It can always be adjusted later when your bank has grown.
      😄
    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nathan Cooke Banned
    replied to Joseph Henderson on last edited by
    #843

    @Joseph-Henderson I usually setup my bot to trigger within 10 seconds of the off to try to avoid swings.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • AdamA Offline
    AdamA Offline
    Adam btc team
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #844

    @John-Folan @Jonathan-Jones Is there something we can add to / change in the software to make drawdown more useful?

    BTC's Website and Software Man

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Andy Lucy on last edited by
    #845

    @Andy-Lucy probably best to ask on the fairbot thread: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3923/fairbot-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Neal Simmonds on last edited by
    #846

    @Neal-Simmonds working fine for me, there is a form you can use to report any issues: https://form.asana.com/?k=V4sICWddOgH3CMQ96g0XSA&d=1120854233877885

    Are you using Google Chrome?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Lucy
    wrote on last edited by
    #847

    Hey guys anyone on here using fairbot had any issues with it not firing bets lately?
    Mine seems to have missed a lot of lay beaten fav selections that looking back it should of last few days especially.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joseph Henderson
    replied to David Milligan on last edited by
    #848

    @David-Milligan Good point. Also, sure I’ve seen this discussed before but with a bot for LTBF. How do you deal with the 10 min place bet time and the not selecting 1st or 2nd favourite? I guess it’s possible that a selection could be made then steam into 1st or 2nd fav before race off.

    N 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Neal Simmonds
    wrote on last edited by
    #849

    Can anyone tell me, is there a specific thread regarding BTC Horse Racing Software 'Status' as in when you guys know its not working properly! Mine wont load the meetings today, its happened before but some of my strategies today require me to do some checking? So I click 'Horse Racing Stats' & Nothing loads I get a message saying Loading... Please wait.

    I can click though it into the Strategy Builder and I can see my picks but racing page itself wont load!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Milligan
    replied to Joseph Henderson on last edited by
    #850

    @Joseph-Henderson I had these settings too for LBF but found I was staking up to 2% or more of bank after a few losses so I've removed the ratchet

    J 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joseph Henderson
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #851

    @John-Folan Yes. I have my bot set to trade 1% of bank with ratchet system enabled.

    D 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Joseph Henderson on last edited by
    #852

    @Joseph-Henderson I compound at various levels depending on drawdown until I reach the max stake I want. Compounding via bot after each trade is the most efficient way to build a bank. Anyone who tells you otherwise is leading you up the garden path. It means there’s no nasty shocks if you have a downturn like you would if you did the old double your bank then double your stakes route. Much better for the old blood pressure.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    J 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joseph Henderson
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #853

    @John-Folan Fair enough. Do you then use flat stakes or compound?

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Joseph Henderson on last edited by
    #854

    @Joseph-Henderson I did. Then I decided not to. Just did a 150 point bank. It has a max drawdown of about 50 points so I can cope with that

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joseph Henderson
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #855

    @John-Folan Nice! Do you lay to liability on your LTBF strategy?

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Joseph Henderson on last edited by
    #856

    @Joseph-Henderson my version got an utter kicking the last few days. Not today tho. 💰

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joseph Henderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #857

    Just checked my bot and google sheets, LTBF has had a relative drawdown of 42% since the 16th May for me - ouch!

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #858

    @Jonathan-Jones I’ve got a pretty decent way of doing it in excel. I’ll sort out a blank copy people can use. I normally work out the biggest points drawdown and make the bank 3 x that.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    AdamA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #859

    @John-Folan I dont use the DD in the software. its no use for me as i run a portfolio (plus it doesnt work with fixed stakes as that will give different results depending where in the backtest the losses come). I use cumulated daily points multiplied by 1% so its independent of the start point.

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #860

    @Jonathan-Jones check the drawdowns by downloading the individual results. I think the one in the software is factored around the longest losing run not the biggest drop from any peak.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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