BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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I think England will still win, but looking at our batting from Stokes onwards doesn’t fill you with confidence. Maybe I’m still stuck in the days of Broad hitting boundaries
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stephen-hancox in same boat, only happened to me twice in seven years! This will be the third most likely. No value in taking a loss, I expect it to lose now but odds so short, always a small chance of a collapse.
Yeah, I guess the Stokes at headingley 2019 was one of those? Like you say if it's 3 times in 7 years then stats still in our favour overall.
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@stuart-wallace my trading style is to look for better reward to risk ratio,i know sometimes i misses the boat,even at LTD i hold till very late when there is more value IMO.
Anyways these last few games are good learning lessons,you can't always trust old data,in last 2 years lots of 4th inn are chased successfully in eng,aus & even in subcontinent.
Anyways better luck for future cricket trading. -
Couple early poles then 20-30 overs survival draw crashes and make a million
#simplesFull credit so far ENG
Want to see this against AUS and seam attack cry about there stats going pear shaped -
@stephen-hancox in same boat, only happened to me twice in seven years! This will be the third most likely. No value in taking a loss, I expect it to lose now but odds so short, always a small chance of a collapse.
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I layed at 4 and now thinking 'what went wrong' and tempted to overanalyse. But my view at the time was 378 4th innings is huge, so fair play to England if we make it.
Tempted to back now to minimise the loss. But batsmen have to play themselves in again tomorrow morning, bowlers will be fresher. Could easily be 300-5 then it's touch and go. I'm going to let it run, happy either way.
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@matt-ayles Yep, a learning curve. ENG seem to be re'writing the 'rules' of Test match batting - i am gonna wait until 20 mins of tomorrow morning and then bail out if no wickets with tail between my legs and enjoy hopefully a transformed ENG win.
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@stuart-wallace yes quite. Englands current test team, although hugely entertaining, are making a complete mockery of test match trading in the final innings.
Thankfully, my strategy is to never go back into the red once green is established, however i am now looking at dropping a few points worth of green. Its disappointing and if you're not careful can feel like a loss.
Important thing here, maintain discipline, never chase. Both Martin and Richard said earlier that it was a value lay, but if it goes against us then it's just one to take on the chin.
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Wow, my ENG lay getting a bit of a pasting here !
From a very healthy green to a now red !
Whats everyones thoughts on what will happen?
I'm tempted to bail out before the damage gets very hurtful ! And then hopefully enjoy Root and Bairstow just win the Test.Another point is that with ENG going at 4.35 an over - if they maintain that rate, then the new ball will only be available with approx 20/30 to get.
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Wasted review there. Was never out... that might hurt them later.
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Yeah I’ve layed some IND 1.4 want 1.8’s and peanut on draw 220 want 60
How good are tests only thing annoyed at self for not slamming a Eng lay first INNS when Ind were in trouble
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@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I'm laying England here at 3, this is a genuine gift as I see it, I can't see them chasing this down with Indias bowling attack, if they manage it i'll lose this money happily
Greened this up so I can switch back to hoping Bairstow does the incredible
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My trade timing.been insane haha
Wowee
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Needed that!
For sure, been difficult on the emotions this one so far
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@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Huge start from England but have to take a little more at 1.64
Backing this out at evens to reduce my liability
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Needed that!
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How good by Bumrah
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Huge start from England but have to take a little more at 1.64
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personally IND lays are huge dividends
taken 75%
fill upgood luck all
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lucky man
