Journey to semi pro
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@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
I can no longer keep putting money down on this filter, off the top of my head its 3 months hovering around a point and break even now. I have something else that is destroying that filter in terms of results at the moment so im moving onto that for a while.
Sticking to this most of the year has worked really well but 3 months on the bounce without profit is too much for me when i know i can do better.How long have you been tracking the other thing?
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I can no longer keep putting money down on this filter, off the top of my head its 3 months hovering around a point and break even now. I have something else that is destroying that filter in terms of results at the moment so im moving onto that for a while.
Sticking to this most of the year has worked really well but 3 months on the bounce without profit is too much for me when i know i can do better. -
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Italy Serie A 18/12/2021 14:00:00 Atalanta AS Roma
Switzerland Super League 18/12/2021 17:00:00 Zurich St. Gallen
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 18/12/2021 17:30:00 St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge KSV
Netherlands Eredivisie 18/12/2021 19:00:00 AZ Alkmaar Willem II
Switzerland Super League 18/12/2021 19:30:00 Luzern Servette
Italy Serie A 18/12/2021 19:45:00 Cagliari Udinese -
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Italy Serie A 12/12/2021 11:30:00 Torino Bologna
Switzerland Super League 12/12/2021 13:15:00 Young Boys Sion
Italy Serie A 12/12/2021 14:00:00 Verona Atalanta
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 12/12/2021 15:00:00 St. Gilloise KV Mechelen
Ukraine Premier League 12/12/2021 15:00:00 Dyn. Kiev FK Zorya Luhansk
Switzerland Super League 12/12/2021 15:30:00 Servette Basel
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 12/12/2021 17:30:00 Gent Genk -
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Switzerland Super League 11/12/2021 17:00:00 Lausanne Zurich
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 11/12/2021 17:30:00 Eupen Beerschot VA -
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Italy Serie A 06/12/2021 17:30:00 Empoli Udinese
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Netherlands Eredivisie 05/12/2021 13:30:00 G.A. Eagles Twente
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 05/12/2021 15:00:00 Anderlecht Waregem
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 05/12/2021 17:30:00 St. Liege Charleroi
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 05/12/2021 20:00:00 KV Mechelen Genk -
@martin-walker Yes i wouldnt be persisting with 5%/5points per trade even in good times. Its kind of the max id ever encourage. The amount youll make from these if you have another similar year will be more than enough to compound.
Great news on the job front mate. This will make this compounding skyrocket now with zero temptation to withdraw. I still think people shouldnt withdraw until their bank hits the first premium charge, people get caught in that hole too quick and dont realise how hard it hits smaller banks, especially trying to make good income from trading.
Hope 2022 will be a good one for your mate, new job, solid trading, rising bank
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@matt-wood thanks
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@martin-walker Congrats on the new job
Takes the pressure off here a bit. -
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Russia Premier League 03/12/2021 16:00:00 Zenit Petersburg FK Rostov
Denmark 1st Division 03/12/2021 17:30:00 Hobro Helsingor
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 03/12/2021 19:45:00 St. Truiden St. GilloiseToying with cutting stakes in half and protecting the bank ive built this year until things improve.
Recently took a new job on more money meaning im in no rush to use any money from this and it can now be a longer term investment.
Hopefully just let it compound and sit there all year.
Even with the last couple of months being rough id love another year just like this, will be looking at a fairly big bank if so. -
@darri points are based around 1%. I use that on here so everyone can see it but personally i use 5% although its not always been 5% all year for me. I started lower
Your early convos were honestly a huge reason to me getting to this point. Cant thank you enough
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Roma lcs
The bad run continues
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@martin-walker if you go through a full year and amass the consistency in profits like you have, then you have a great base to add a new strat to the portfolio. You have done it in exactly the way i encourage, master one thing at a time. If you now build a 2nd strat in the same fashion as this shg youll be doing just fine
interesting reading our old convos to now, honestly its fantastic to read mate. In terms of the points made, you say you made 70 points, is that with the 5% staking? Or are the points based around a 1% stake? -
@darri good to talk it out at the end of each month and reassure myself.
Im going to start working on a second strategy just havnt decided what i want to try. The main reason is i just fancy having a crack at something else to see if im any good at this or it was just a fluke lol -
@eamonn-hogan yes
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@martin-walker just wanted to reassure you that what you are doing is working and no need to question it yet. 70 points since feb from just 1 strategy is fantastic keep it up
the fact this is a high strike rate intensive strat with low returns, then yes a few losses combined with less trades due to internationals will affect you. Thats why it not really about isolated individual months. If we then start to tweak it can cause issues when it rebounds. Int break, weather, new crowd data, loads of variables that cant just be earned from data in 2 months. Your overall is still ticking along and as i say if your worst month is half a point down but the other 10 months equal 70 points, im laughing all the way to the bank with that. -
@matt-wood said in Journey to semi pro:
@eamonn-hogan said in Journey to semi pro:
@Matt-Wood @Martin-Walker what sort of strike rate you getting?
Raw filter data is 85.76% for me. This is down from high 86% a few months back.
If I remove all leagues with less than 80% success the SR is 90.51%
The one I’m tracking is currently at 80% without any tweaks yet.
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@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@eamonn-hogan 91% dropped to 90%
If you look month by month though the last 2 have been in the high 70sThat’s using just those 3 half time score lines?
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@darri potentially the international breaks have affected it. This month especially my trades are well down in number.
I wont be changing anything really and will keep on trading this strategy just sharing how its all going really
