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Trading Q and A Megathread Ask Us Anything!

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Trading Discussion
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Chris King on last edited by
    #81

    @chris-king ROI = (Net Profit / Cost of Investment) then in excel just click percentage and it will work it out, if not you can alternatively do this x it by 100 to get the percentage figure in decimal.

    Chris KingC 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Chris KingC Offline
    Chris KingC Offline
    Chris King
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #82

    @ryan I see your point yes, thanks. Not long ago I added ROI to my test spreadsheet as another feature, but set it up to calculate from the original bankroll and thought that can’t be right so thought this is the best place to ask the question.

    I agree, with what you’re saying though about ROI, i don’t focus on that at all really. I just want to make sure i can be profitable, so focus on value odds and strike rate as you say.

    MartinM RyanR 2 Replies Last reply
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Chris King on last edited by
    #83

    @chris-king They both would be playing the stakes but they wouldn't be playing the same game - so you'd never be able to compare them because the one with the shorter bank might get a higher ROI short term but it wouldn't last.

    For me I don't really put too my emphasis on my trades as ROI - for me I focus on strike rate and am I profitable.

    I've always found looking at ROI has clouded my judgement - I'll be in a trade and be going well the last trade I did was 40% ROI on that trade this needs to be the same.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    Chris KingC 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Chris KingC Offline
    Chris KingC Offline
    Chris King
    wrote on last edited by Chris King
    #84

    Hi all,

    Was just wondering about Return On Investment (ROI).

    As traders, should we be using our bank roll or our played stakes (be it back stakes or liability, if laying) as our investment value when we calculate?

    ROI = (Net Return / Cost of Investment) x 100

    To me it seems correct to use the played stakes value as that is the money that is being put at risk, or rather invested.

    For example, two traders could start trading. One with £100 bank roll and the other with £1000 bank roll. They trade the exact same events using £10 stakes. If they calculated ROI using their bank roll as the investment value, they would both get a different return, however are actually investing/risking the same value in their staking.

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #85

    @dan-mackinnon if it’s the money below the odds then yes that is the money that’s queued to be matched - hence why sometimes there’s more on one side than that of the other.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #86

    @oliver-preen My understanding is that the 'matched' amount is how much has already been commited. So you open a trade and someone else has taken it. It doesn't matter if it's back or lay because it's the same market.

    Are you talking about underneath the odds? So you might have Back at 1.11 and underneath says £2k and lay at 1.12 which underneath has £150? If so I believe that's to do with the money queued to be matched. The reason why it might be much higher than the other is because that might suggest which direction the odds are moving to. If you wanted to back using the above example there is already £2k in front of you. If you search for a ladder graph it's a bit easier to visualise, but it can be a tricky concept to get your head around.

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by A Former User
    #87

    @martin said in Trading Q and A Megathread Ask Us Anything!:

    @oliver-preen do you mean that on that market it had 92k matched on the over 0.5 back option and 15k matched on the back under 0.5 option?

    Yeah I think so..I think I was getting a bit confused. Lol.
    the money I was seeing was for backing over and backing under 0.5. I was thinking the money I was seeing for under 0.5 goals was the lay side of the over 0.5 goal market lol.
    Ignore my absolute stupidity.

    D 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #88

    @oliver-preen do you mean that on that market it had 92k matched on the over 0.5 back option and 15k matched on the back under 0.5 option?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #89

    Hi Peeps… as no question is a stupid question I’ll ask a potentially stupid question. I sometimes use Betfair graphs and volume to decide on whether to enter a trade. I mainly trade football on the over goals markets. The thing I’m having trouble understanding is the volume of money put on one particular event happening (backing) vs the volume of money laying the same event. If the volume represents money that has been matched how can there be such a massive difference. I don’t often bet on the over 0.5 goals Market because to me that’s a pure gamble but I’m always fascinated by it and the volume of money that goes on that particular event happening. To give an example one game had £92k matched for over 0.5 goals and the other lay side to that had £15k, is it the liability that’s not showing for the layers that means the backers get paid? As I say this is probably a very stupid question lol.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • L Offline
    L Offline
    liam willis
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #90

    @stephen-mcintyre the liability is how much you are risking so removing that leaves you a free bet, for example if you backed man u to win and they score a goal then the odds will drop so you then lay man u for the same amount you backed to leave yourself a free bet or cashout. once used to this you can play around with the amount you lay so you can leave a little bit of money on one side and more on the other. im not the best at explaining but that is the basics of it.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #91

    Hi all

    What is ‘removing liability’ and how do you do this in trading, I’ve heard this mentioned several times but new to trading and just trying to understand how this completed

    Thanks
    Steve

    L 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Lee Leadbetter on last edited by
    #92

    @lee-leadbetter I echo Lee’s comments here, hit the nail on the head.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Lee Leadbetter on last edited by
    #93

    @lee-leadbetter I would suggest between 2 and 5% risk per trade, it’s better to start at the lower end and work upwards rather than the other way. I’d suggest readjusting the stake no more often than monthly

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • L Offline
    L Offline
    Lee Leadbetter
    wrote on last edited by
    #94

    @Ryan-Carruthers
    And all members,
    I am currently using geeks toy practice mode to allow me to learn and develop without risking my bank. Once I am confident in all my strategies and rules for those strategies. I will then use my real money.

    Now my question is when I use my real money what kind of percentage of the pot do you think should be risked on one trade.
    Secondly, would you adjust stake per day, week or month?
    Hope that makes sense.

    ? RyanR 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #95

    @karl-mccarthy Iv invested a fair chunk on ethereum and when it hit 1.5k the other day i withdrew all my liability, so essentially playing with free money now (well free but still have to tax it 😂) i was hoping for 2k but too much risk, i can see it being a 2.5k by end of year at least. I love crypto currency and taking advantage while the hype is around, do i see it long term i dont think anyone knows. Its why my trading bank went from 20k to back to 1k because i invested quite heavy 🤑 Now im using the profits from that investment back into my video production business so it can be self sustainable. Its good to diverse your income streams, learnt that the hard way when covid hit with only really having betfair trading as my main income.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #96

    @karl-mccarthy Im starting to try learning but it is such a complicated minefield! Good thread to read through here, some good advice from members.

    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1649/stocks-shares-and-forex-trading-thread

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #97

    Would have loved to have gotten involved in the Coinbase listing yesterday. Get in and out at the right times. Not nearly ready to venture into this kind of trading as yet but does anyone here get involved in other trading such as stocks or Forex?

    Matt WoodM ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Gaz Hutchinson on last edited by
    #98

    @gaz-hutchinson he enters at KO

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Gaz HutchinsonG Offline
    Gaz HutchinsonG Offline
    Gaz Hutchinson
    replied to Gaz Hutchinson on last edited by
    #99

    @Ryan-Carruthers Following your email - Is this how I retag?❓

    Gaz

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Gaz HutchinsonG Offline
    Gaz HutchinsonG Offline
    Gaz Hutchinson
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #100

    @martin-futter OK, cheers Martin, yep that's a good idea to record both sets of results.

    Gaz

    1 Reply Last reply
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