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The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Horse Racing
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4021

    1 point across the two today. Only a couple of Hcaps tomorrow

    0_1623094948199_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4022

    Same as usual today. 3.5-9

    Filtered Trobs
    0_1623056841140_tROBS.JPG

    HCaps
    0_1623056852209_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4023

    Todays. 3.5-9 as usual on both

    Filtered I won't be doing the Novice so watch it win
    0_1622963910033_tROBS.JPG

    Hcaps
    0_1622963925558_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4024

    Scratch all round yesterday. Plenty of action today. 3.5-9 as usual

    Filtered
    0_1622877538613_tROBS.JPG

    HCAP
    0_1622877548963_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4025

    Todays. 3.5-9 odds range

    Filtered Trobs
    0_1622801026824_tROBS.JPG

    Hcaps
    0_1622801039489_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4026

    2 lost on the filtered and scratch on the hcaps

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by John Folan
    #4027

    A nice day's results all round yesterday. Plenty to go at today. 3.5-9 odds range as per usual on both.

    Filtered Trobs and Win
    0_1622711176724_tROBS.JPG

    Handicap Trobs and Win
    0_1622711190642_Hcaps.JPG

    For the sake of clarity I am doing all the selections I post for trobs. All of the filtered for the win and the flat hcaps for the win as well. Long term the wins on the Hcap Jumps looks a bust so leaving alone.

    I've also noticed something else when it comes to odds ranges that I will look into once I have finished the hcap backtest. Unless it is something I can play with in the BTC Software Beta. (Subtle(for me) hint ;))

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #4028

    @john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    3.5-9 as usual

    Normal Trobs
    0_1622630991375_tROBS.JPG

    Hcaps
    0_1622631010518_Hcaps.JPG

    I am continuing with the back test. I'm upto august but its a slog now as I stopped recording bsp and irl at this point. I will persevere and get back to you as soon as I am at the end of august, then each month after that. It is time consuming though so bare with me.

    Plus 4 points on the normal.

    Plus 5 on the handicaps. Decent backing the win too on both sets.

    Hopefully we get a run of good weather now (although a few nighttime showers to stop the ground drying too much would be nice) and we can get a good run at these.

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4029

    3.5-9 as usual

    Normal Trobs
    0_1622630991375_tROBS.JPG

    Hcaps
    0_1622631010518_Hcaps.JPG

    I am continuing with the back test. I'm upto august but its a slog now as I stopped recording bsp and irl at this point. I will persevere and get back to you as soon as I am at the end of august, then each month after that. It is time consuming though so bare with me.

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #4030

    @john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    Point lost on each yesterday. Only action on the handicap flat today. 3.5-9 odds range only 🙂
    0_1622556400071_Flat.JPG

    Nothing hit. Boooring.

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4031

    Point lost on each yesterday. Only action on the handicap flat today. 3.5-9 odds range only 🙂
    0_1622556400071_Flat.JPG

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4032

    Today's. 3.5-9 on both. Ground wont be a problem.

    Filtered Trobs
    0_1622448936041_tROBS.JPG

    Handicap Trobs
    0_1622448948319_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by John Folan
    #4033

    State of play for the Handicaps at the end of June 2020.

    Jumps. 3.5-9 odds range 80% Dob Rate
    0_1622373351502_Jumps.JPG

    Flat 3.5-9 odds range 70% Dob Rate
    0_1622373412167_Flat.JPG

    So Trobbing we are looking at 80 points from 254 races. Dobs aren't worth bothering with and if you didn't mind the variance you could back the win on the Flat only as well giving you another 80 points(Rounded up) from 143 trades so 160 points from 397 trades.

    I'll keep backtesting to the end of December when I stopped (stupidly) recording all race data.

    This should keep us in money until the lovely new software is ready for beta testing next month.

    My filtered trobs I am also going to stick with as they are not spectacular but plod along in the background. I might have over filtered them but they are pretty reliable with not a huge amount of variance which can be reduced even more by making them handicap races only.

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4034

    I'm nearly at the end of June last year for the backtest. I'll do a results to date when I get there.

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by John Folan
    #4035
    This post is deleted!
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4036

    Lets see if these have a good day. 3.5-9 on both. Heavy to be avoided on the filtered trobs but not the handicaps

    Filtered Trobs
    0_1622272966837_tROBS.JPG

    Handicaps
    0_1622272978732_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4037

    Crap all round today. Always the way when you find something new.

    We go again tomorrow

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4038

    As an update. I have split these out as the flat uses a 70% dob rate and the jumps 80%There was no flat after 3rd November so these will remain static until June 2020.
    0_1622199793329_Flat.JPG

    Jumps
    0_1622199867048_Jumps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4039

    Todays Filtered Trobs. I will not personally be doing the fillies so queue two wins. 3.5-9 odds range
    0_1622199578687_tROBS.JPG

    Today's Handicaps. I will split these out into Hurdles and Flats on two sheets but I have just done this on the Backtest and my brain is fried. 3.5-9 odds range.
    0_1622199628984_Hcaps.JPG

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4040

    Looks like scratch on the filtered trobs and plus 3 on the handicaps yesterday. Couple of wins as well which bumped the profit a bit 😃

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