The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[John Folan]

Todays Trobs. All a bit static overall at the moment. Not like last June at all yet.

Filtered

Hcap

[John Folan]

Bot working better on the jumps. Might be a dead loss on the flat but I will see tomorrow. Works manually though although a bit frantic.

[John Folan]

My shortlist for a bit of LTB action today

[John Folan]

These are pretty much John's(Dreammaker62)'s rules for these. I've added in a minimum runner number and the LTO last three runstyles. The only thing I can't do is compare the odds to the forecast odds and the Master rating at inform is used rather than the Proform rating. This gives me a shortlist of horses (56 today) which I will drill down into and pick one for each race. They are not set and forget and will require discipline. Yesterday I had Waters Edge that I laid at 15 pre race. It went out to 27 by which time I was long traded out, but then went on to win. Once I have finished checking them I will put my final list up I will be attempting to trade today.

[John Folan]

Today's trobs. Usual 3.5-9 filter

Filtered

Hcap

I will be watching my LTB automation experiment today. Quite excited about that

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Problem seems to be at the start. I’m going to try getting the hedge to kick in 5 seconds after the start and see if that sorts it. If not 10 seconds. If neither of those works I will trade it manually.

Seems to have helped. Although I traded a race manually late on where the horses odds were everywhere and it was never better than 4th and never threatened. Might have just been a late evening thing tho.

I’ll run it today properly. I can see why Dreammaker62 does nothing but this though. As long as you are brutal about trading out for a tiny loss this will make you a lot of money if you have the time and patience.

I’ll start putting the selections up as potential dogs along with a detailed explanation of how to trade them once I’ve had a bit more of a run at them.

[John Folan]

Problem seems to be at the start. I’m going to try getting the hedge to kick in 5 seconds after the start and see if that sorts it. If not 10 seconds. If neither of those works I will trade it manually.

[John Folan]

Manually this works a dream. I can pick out the donkeys alright and get my 12 ticks. Problem is in the automation. It hits the stop loss way too early trades out then drifts like a barge way past my 12 points. I’m trying a few different settings and entry times. It must be solvable. If it isn’t then I’ll quite happily do it manually as it’s like taking candy from a baby.

[John Folan]

Attempting to recreate Dreammakers LTB strategy using informs race cards on the basis I can use the new BTC software that I am (after a small conversation with Adam) very excited about to do the same thing. John (dreammaker62 is his twitter handle) only does these and he makes a tidy sum. I am going to try automation.

HCAP trob backtest still going well too. I’ve just been a bit busy with personal stuff but I’ve loads of free time over the next six weeks to really nail stuff down and give you real value to work with.

[John Folan]

1 point across the two today. Only a couple of Hcaps tomorrow

[John Folan]

Same as usual today. 3.5-9

Filtered Trobs

HCaps

[John Folan]

Todays. 3.5-9 as usual on both

Filtered I won't be doing the Novice so watch it win

Hcaps

[John Folan]

Scratch all round yesterday. Plenty of action today. 3.5-9 as usual

Filtered

HCAP

[John Folan]

Todays. 3.5-9 odds range

Filtered Trobs

Hcaps

[John Folan]

2 lost on the filtered and scratch on the hcaps

[John Folan]

A nice day's results all round yesterday. Plenty to go at today. 3.5-9 odds range as per usual on both.

Filtered Trobs and Win

Handicap Trobs and Win

For the sake of clarity I am doing all the selections I post for trobs. All of the filtered for the win and the flat hcaps for the win as well. Long term the wins on the Hcap Jumps looks a bust so leaving alone.

I've also noticed something else when it comes to odds ranges that I will look into once I have finished the hcap backtest. Unless it is something I can play with in the BTC Software Beta. (Subtle(for me) hint ;))

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

3.5-9 as usual

Normal Trobs

Hcaps

I am continuing with the back test. I'm upto august but its a slog now as I stopped recording bsp and irl at this point. I will persevere and get back to you as soon as I am at the end of august, then each month after that. It is time consuming though so bare with me.

Plus 4 points on the normal.

Plus 5 on the handicaps. Decent backing the win too on both sets.

Hopefully we get a run of good weather now (although a few nighttime showers to stop the ground drying too much would be nice) and we can get a good run at these.

[John Folan]

3.5-9 as usual

Normal Trobs

Hcaps

I am continuing with the back test. I'm upto august but its a slog now as I stopped recording bsp and irl at this point. I will persevere and get back to you as soon as I am at the end of august, then each month after that. It is time consuming though so bare with me.

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Point lost on each yesterday. Only action on the handicap flat today. 3.5-9 odds range only

Nothing hit. Boooring.

[John Folan]

Point lost on each yesterday. Only action on the handicap flat today. 3.5-9 odds range only