Correct score dutching
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Has anyone had any joy with correct score dutching?
I’ve been fiddling about with it a bit. Got an idea to dutch 1-0, 2-0 and 1-1 on odds on favorites where the average under 2.5 goals is 70% or more.
The thought process being if the favorite takes the lead early, then the 2-0 will cover the early goal, and if the dog takes the lead then it would be covered by the market expecting an equalizer to 1-1. The danger here is 0-0 obviously so not sure if I should cover that too or if that will dilute it too much. Any thoughts welcome, going to test this theory anyway and see what I come up with. -
Not much came up on my filter today so for anyone watching here are todays and the results from the week-=end
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@simon said in Correct score dutching:
@simon this game also non my under 2.5 filter
Goal fest!! Luckily odds were too low for my unders trade, but 1 pt loss on the CS Dutch.
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@simon this game also non my under 2.5 filter
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@simon one for me today. Chievo Vs Fiorentina. 0-0, 0-1, 1-1 and 0-2
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@jeffrey-holtby nice work! I let my trade run to full time today for 1pt profit
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@jeffrey-holtby Well out of them posted 10 in total 9 was out right winners 2nd bet 7 won correct score to the end 4 came in Quite happy with that if you had traded the correct score i think you would have been able to get out for a profit ????
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1 for me today, Athletico Madrid Vs Getafe. Score Dutch 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0
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26-Jan 14:30 Germany Bundesliga Monchengladbach FC Augsburg O 1.5 1.24 80.65% 1.21 82.64% 2.00% YES Home 1-0 2-0 3-0 4-0 5-0
26-Jan 14:30 Germany Bundesliga freiburg Hoffenheim O 1.5 1.18 84.75% 1.21 82.64% -2.10% NO O 0.5FHG 2-1 1-1 2-2 0-1 1-2
26-Jan 14:30 Germany Bundesliga Dortmund Hannover O 2.5 1.36 73.53% 1.11 90.09% 16.56% YES O 3.5 3-0 4-0 4-1 5-0
26-Jan 14:00 Italy Serie A Sassuolo Cagliari O 1.5 1.39 71.94% 1.15 86.96% 15.01% YES Home 1-0 2-2 2-1 3-1 1-1
26-Jan 15:00 England Championship Aston Villa Ipswich Town O 1.5 1.28 78.13% 1.09 91.74% 13.62% YES O 0.5FHG 2-0 2-1 3-0 3-1 4-0 4-1
26-Jan 15:00 England Championship Blackburn Hull City O 1.5 1.34 74.63% 1.3 76.92% 2.30% YES 1-0 2-0 2-1 1-1 0-1 1-2
26-Jan 15:00 England Championship Norwich city Sheffield Utd O 1.5 1.29 77.52% 1.12 89.29% 11.77% YES BTTS Yes 1-1 2-2 1-2
26-Jan 15:00 England Championship Notts Forest Wigan Ath U 3.5 1.32 75.76% 1.2 83.33% 7.58% YES Home 1-0 2-0 2-1 3-0 0-0 1-1 0-1
26-Jan 15:00 England Championship Rotherham Leeds Utd O 1.5 1.28 78.13% 1.16 86.21% 8.08% YES Away 1-1 0-1 0-2 1-2 1-3
26-Jan 15:00 England Championship Stoke City preston North end U 3.5 1.3 76.92% 1.21 82.64% 5.72% YES 1-0 2-0 2-1 0-0 1-1 0-1
Some matches i will be looking at today with the main trade and possible scores to dutch -
Think i will have go on the turkey Match Bursaspor vs Fenerbatche Dutch correct score first 15 min 0-0 01 1-0 1-1 Starts at 17;00
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@jeffrey-holtby 0-2 at HT nice trade buddy!
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@Simon I have but I don't have a filter for it I like to look at the big games that day and then the common results from the season so far in the software, if some scorelines stick out I will back them and often am able to take a decent green at some-point during the game.
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@dave-jessop could i ask how you have got the correct score dutching set or are you using one of files available in the forum
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@dave-jessop Are you using betangle dave with the automation ??? or something else
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I have nothing hitting my filter over the whole weekend. Strange with most leagues back in play now. Maybe my criteria is too strict!
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This is what i will be watching tonight with possible out come and Possible score
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One match for me tommorrow bundesliga Hoffenheim vs bayern Munich (19:30)
Correct score dutch out at half time 1-0 0-0 1-1 0-1 Possible 0-2 and 1-2 Also under 3.5 havent looked further into the game as yet will do that tommorrow -
@jeffrey-holtby had to get out for green as wi-fi didn't seem to good tonight but green never the less
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@jeffrey-holtby nothing hitting my filter today but will follow with interest