Todays Football 18/12/18
-
Being a quiet day I think I have found a game that could be quite good to trade on.
German Bundesliga
Monchengladbach V FC Nunberg 17.30 kick offGladback won 7 out of 7 home games second in league
Nunberg lost 5 and drew 2 away games 2nd from bottom in leagueGladback scored 33 at home 23 being in the second half
Nunberg scored 5 away from home conceded 25Gldbach leading in 3 at home and drawing 4 which were all 0-0 at half time
Nunberg have never taken the lead in any of there 7 away gamesGladbach have scored an average of 3 goals a game
Gladbach 86% games over 2.5 and 43% over 3.5Conclusion What I would be looking for is a quiet first 10 mins then look at Backing over 3.5 and over 4.5 then trade as goals go in
Could also look to lay Nunberg if they did take the lead
Also lay the Draw at some point around Half Time if still LevelAll the stats lead to Goals and a Gladbach win But until the game has started I would try to get a read on it first before entering.
I look forward to your thoughts on this
Kev -
@kevin-childs Exactly, its the thought process where we all learn from each other matey - how people look at a potential trade and connect the dots
By doing this we all become better traders, I always say I've learnt loads from all the guys here by people sharing their thought process.
-
@ryan-carruthers Thanks I will have a look later just waiting for my new TV to come.I felt bad for James who followed me as like all hate losing and having no chance to get out as goal came to late,but on the other hand was nice to talk things through with him and give him some insight to how I think and even if he just picks up a bit that he finds helpful I would be pleased
-
@kevin-childs
Yes I agree, all the stats pointed to exactly what you spoke about it was excellent analysis. Thank you for sharing it buddy
great to see members posting stuff like this, really gets people thinking. -
@ryan-carruthers It was just one of those games
all ifs and buts if goals came a little earlier would of made profit but instead lost 1pt I split my stake 3/4 pt on over 2.5 then 1/4 pt on over3.5 so another goal would of seen some nice green but hey ho thats football but would still do the same as percentages I believe were in my favour -
@kevin-childs Excellent write up, as you said as well lay the draw at HT then 47 mins goal! Thorgan Hazard as well a player that a lot of teams will be looking at I think - got some talent, especially now he has stopped trying to play like his brother
-
ok will keep an eye on that match then. What would the minimum odds you should be looking for please?
-
@james-everard just a quick one keep an eye on the hertha v augsurg game if still 0-1 at half time could be worth laying augsburg if odds ok
-
ok will do thanks
-
@james-everard havent had chance to go over many more and yes your right have a plan and stick to it how that game only had 2 goals just sums football up sometimes but if you do your research and stick to your plan you will succeed
-
Never mind one of them things, like a lot of the videos I have watched they stress you will always lose trades but stick at it and if you stick to your gameplan you will win more than you lose. Any more ideas for tonights matches ?
-
@james-everard well james sorry about this goal came 10mins to late
-
@james-everard i would want under 3 be better around 2.5
-
@kevin-childs
I thought the odds looked too high as well what are you looking at it dropping down to ?
-
they have missed now time to lay the draw then I think
-
@james-everard need the draw price to drop more before getting involved thats my personal choice
-
they have missed now time to lay the draw then I think
-
He's chipped it over the bar! Idiot!
-
Penalty to Gladbach
-
Might be worth backing over O.5 first half goals for a small stake, Gladbach looking dominant.
